Alert archive / Virginia / Caroline County
Weather alerts in Caroline County, Virginia, 2024
126 weather alerts in 2024, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Caroline County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2024. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 126
- Warnings
- 34
- Watches
- 21
- Advisories
- 24
- Busiest month
- August33 alerts
- Busiest day
- August 18, 20248 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
1 of 5 tornado warnings covering Caroline County in 2024 had a tornado report inside them; 1 of 1 tornado reports fell inside a warning, on average 9 minutes after it went out.
Caroline County, 2024
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 5 | 1 | 80% | 1 | 100% | 9 min |
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 19 | 18 | 5% | 13 | 62% | 26 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 5 | 4 | 20% | 4 | 75% | 24 min |
Each office's whole area, 2024
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Wakefield, VA: tornado warnings | 43 | 3 | 93% | 3 | 100% | 11 min |
| NWS Wakefield, VA: severe thunderstorm warnings | 202 | 148 | 27% | 315 | 87% | 23 min |
| NWS Wakefield, VA: flash flood warnings | 144 | 110 | 24% | 212 | 98% | 74 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 1:53 PM EST | Flood Watch | AKQ | 35 hr |
| Jan 8, 3:10 PM EST | Wind Advisory | AKQ | 33 hr |
| Jan 9, 4:40 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 65 min |
| Jan 9, 6:13 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 47 min |
| Jan 10, 9:32 PM EST | River Flood Warning | AKQ | 58 hr |
| Jan 12, 3:20 AM EST | Flood Watch | AKQ | 25 hr |
| Jan 14, 8:19 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 42 hr |
| Jan 18, 3:10 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 29 hr |
| Feb 16, 3:21 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 25 hr |
| Mar 18, 3:45 PM EDT | Fire Weather Watch | AKQ | 24 hr |
| Mar 19, 3:23 PM EDT | Red Flag Warning | AKQ | 29 hr |
| Apr 3, 11:20 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Apr 3, 12:38 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 3, 2:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 48 min |
| Apr 3, 3:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 41 min |
| Apr 12, 12:01 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 44 min |
| Apr 12, 12:15 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 12, 12:45 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 30 min |
| Apr 15, 1:03 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Apr 15, 1:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Apr 15, 4:40 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 95 min |
| Apr 15, 4:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 41 min |
| Apr 15, 5:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 51 min |
| Apr 15, 5:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 47 min |
| Apr 22, 3:26 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | AKQ | 29 hr |
| May 6, 7:54 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 11 min |
| May 6, 8:05 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | AKQ | 3 hr |
| May 10, 12:23 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 37 min |
| May 24, 3:21 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | AKQ | 114 min |
| May 24, 3:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 49 min |
| May 26, 1:55 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 35 min |
| May 26, 2:27 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | AKQ | 2 hr |
| May 26, 8:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 3 hr |
| May 26, 9:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 68 min |
| May 26, 10:03 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 42 min |
| May 27, 11:53 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 27, 3:39 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| May 27, 4:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 86 min |
| May 29, 3:57 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 48 min |
| Jun 5, 3:25 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 6, 1:45 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 90 min |
| Jun 6, 2:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 6, 4:16 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 44 min |
| Jun 6, 4:18 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| Jun 21, 2:39 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | AKQ | 29 hr |
| Jun 22, 2:18 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | AKQ | 30 hr |
| Jun 26, 4:34 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 41 min |
| Jun 26, 6:43 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 26, 9:56 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 49 min |
| Jun 30, 12:11 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 30, 3:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 30, 6:03 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| Jun 30, 6:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 50 min |
| Jun 30, 6:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 41 min |
| Jun 30, 7:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 27 min |
| Jun 30, 7:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 45 min |
| Jun 30, 8:10 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 95 min |
| Jul 4, 3:28 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | AKQ | 29 hr |
| Jul 5, 4:01 AM EDT | Excessive Heat Warning | AKQ | 16 hr |
| Jul 5, 3:01 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | AKQ | 29 hr |
| Jul 8, 2:32 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | AKQ | 29 hr |
| Jul 9, 3:27 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | AKQ | 29 hr |
| Jul 10, 12:52 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Jul 10, 1:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Jul 10, 4:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Jul 11, 2:43 PM EDT | Flood Watch | AKQ | 33 hr |
| Jul 14, 12:56 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jul 14, 3:17 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | AKQ | 29 hr |
| Jul 15, 3:06 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | AKQ | 29 hr |
| Jul 15, 6:18 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 42 min |
| Jul 16, 2:36 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | AKQ | 29 hr |
| Jul 17, 2:11 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 79 min |
| Jul 17, 2:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 17, 4:26 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Jul 17, 6:26 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 49 min |
| Jul 17, 7:57 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 23, 3:57 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jul 25, 3:01 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| Jul 30, 12:39 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 31, 3:06 PM EDT | Excessive Heat Watch | AKQ | 23 hr |
| Jul 31, 3:06 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | AKQ | 29 hr |
| Aug 1, 2:29 PM EDT | Excessive Heat Warning | AKQ | 30 hr |
| Aug 1, 2:53 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 2, 5:34 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 86 min |
| Aug 3, 2:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Aug 7, 4:29 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 2 hr |
| Aug 8, 12:43 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Aug 8, 6:37 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 12 hr |
| Aug 8, 6:46 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | 23 min |
| Aug 8, 7:04 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | 26 min |
| Aug 8, 8:38 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 9, 4:23 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | 37 min |
| Aug 9, 4:38 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Aug 9, 4:47 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | 28 min |
| Aug 9, 5:39 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | 21 min |
| Aug 9, 6:17 AM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Aug 17, 5:39 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 51 min |
| Aug 17, 6:05 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | AKQ | 115 min |
| Aug 17, 7:43 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 2 hr |
| Aug 17, 8:17 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | AKQ | 2 hr |
| Aug 18, 1:09 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| Aug 18, 2:58 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 18, 3:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Aug 18, 4:30 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 90 min |
| Aug 18, 4:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 48 min |
| Aug 18, 5:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 38 min |
| Aug 18, 5:28 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 32 min |
| Aug 19, 3:24 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 26, 2:42 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 48 min |
| Aug 26, 3:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 44 min |
| Aug 28, 2:53 AM EDT | Heat Advisory | AKQ | 41 hr |
| Aug 28, 3:38 PM EDT | Flood Watch | AKQ | 33 hr |
| Aug 29, 5:40 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 95 min |
| Aug 29, 10:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 43 min |
| Sep 16, 3:19 PM EDT | Flood Watch | AKQ | 34 hr |
| Oct 16, 10:50 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | AKQ | 20 hr |
| Oct 17, 2:56 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | AKQ | 18 hr |
| Oct 26, 2:31 PM EDT | Freeze Watch | AKQ | 12 hr |
| Oct 27, 2:59 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | AKQ | 30 hr |
| Nov 5, 2:28 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | AKQ | 7 hr |
| Dec 10, 6:39 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | AKQ | 4 hr |
| Dec 18, 4:02 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | AKQ | 5 hr |
| Dec 31, 4:04 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Dec 31, 4:30 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 45 min |
| Dec 31, 5:20 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 25 min |
| Dec 31, 5:23 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 37 min |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 19 |
| Tornado Warning | 5 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 8 |
| Tornado Watch | 5 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 32 |
| Special Weather Statement | 15 |
| Flooding | |
| Flash Flood Warning | 5 |
| River Flood Warning | 1 |
| Flood Watch | 5 |
| Areal Flood Advisory | 3 |
| Winter | |
| Winter Weather Advisory | 3 |
| Heat | |
| Excessive Heat Warning | 2 |
| Excessive Heat Watch | 1 |
| Heat Advisory | 11 |
| Cold | |
| Freeze Warning | 1 |
| Freeze Watch | 1 |
| Frost Advisory | 3 |
| Wind and dust | |
| Wind Advisory | 1 |
| Fire | |
| Red Flag Warning | 1 |
| Fire Weather Watch | 1 |
| Fog and smoke | |
| Dense Fog Advisory | 3 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20232025
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.