Alert archive / Virginia / Caroline County

Weather alerts in Caroline County, Virginia, 2024

126 weather alerts in 2024, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Caroline County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2024. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
126
Warnings
34
Watches
21
Advisories
24
Busiest month
August33 alerts
Busiest day
August 18, 20248 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

1 of 5 tornado warnings covering Caroline County in 2024 had a tornado report inside them; 1 of 1 tornado reports fell inside a warning, on average 9 minutes after it went out.

Caroline County, 2024

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings5180%1100%9 min
Severe thunderstorm warnings19185%1362%26 min
Flash flood warnings5420%475%24 min

Each office's whole area, 2024

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Wakefield, VA: tornado warnings43393%3100%11 min
NWS Wakefield, VA: severe thunderstorm warnings20214827%31587%23 min
NWS Wakefield, VA: flash flood warnings14411024%21298%74 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 8, 1:53 PM ESTFlood WatchAKQ35 hr
Jan 8, 3:10 PM ESTWind AdvisoryAKQ33 hr
Jan 9, 4:40 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ65 min
Jan 9, 6:13 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ47 min
Jan 10, 9:32 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningAKQ58 hr
Jan 12, 3:20 AM ESTFlood WatchAKQ25 hr
Jan 14, 8:19 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAKQ42 hr
Jan 18, 3:10 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAKQ29 hr
Feb 16, 3:21 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAKQ25 hr
Mar 18, 3:45 PM EDTFire Weather WatchAKQ24 hr
Mar 19, 3:23 PM EDTRed Flag WarningAKQ29 hr
Apr 3, 11:20 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC115 min
Apr 3, 12:38 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC6 hr
Apr 3, 2:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ48 min
Apr 3, 3:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ41 min
Apr 12, 12:01 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ44 min
Apr 12, 12:15 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Apr 12, 12:45 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ30 min
Apr 15, 1:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC117 min
Apr 15, 1:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
Apr 15, 4:40 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC95 min
Apr 15, 4:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ41 min
Apr 15, 5:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ51 min
Apr 15, 5:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ47 min
Apr 22, 3:26 AM EDTFrost AdvisoryAKQ29 hr
May 6, 7:54 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAKQ11 min
May 6, 8:05 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAKQ3 hr
May 10, 12:23 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ37 min
May 24, 3:21 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAKQ114 min
May 24, 3:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ49 min
May 26, 1:55 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ35 min
May 26, 2:27 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningAKQ2 hr
May 26, 8:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC3 hr
May 26, 9:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ68 min
May 26, 10:03 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ42 min
May 27, 11:53 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
May 27, 3:39 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr
May 27, 4:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min
May 29, 3:57 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ48 min
Jun 5, 3:25 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 6, 1:45 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC90 min
Jun 6, 2:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 6, 4:16 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ44 min
Jun 6, 4:18 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC87 min
Jun 21, 2:39 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryAKQ29 hr
Jun 22, 2:18 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryAKQ30 hr
Jun 26, 4:34 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ41 min
Jun 26, 6:43 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 26, 9:56 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ49 min
Jun 30, 12:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 30, 3:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 30, 6:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC87 min
Jun 30, 6:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ50 min
Jun 30, 6:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatAKQ41 min
Jun 30, 7:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ27 min
Jun 30, 7:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ45 min
Jun 30, 8:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC95 min
Jul 4, 3:28 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryAKQ29 hr
Jul 5, 4:01 AM EDTExcessive Heat WarningAKQ16 hr
Jul 5, 3:01 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryAKQ29 hr
Jul 8, 2:32 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryAKQ29 hr
Jul 9, 3:27 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryAKQ29 hr
Jul 10, 12:52 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC113 min
Jul 10, 1:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
Jul 10, 4:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC113 min
Jul 11, 2:43 PM EDTFlood WatchAKQ33 hr
Jul 14, 12:56 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jul 14, 3:17 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryAKQ29 hr
Jul 15, 3:06 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryAKQ29 hr
Jul 15, 6:18 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ42 min
Jul 16, 2:36 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryAKQ29 hr
Jul 17, 2:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC79 min
Jul 17, 2:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jul 17, 4:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC94 min
Jul 17, 6:26 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ49 min
Jul 17, 7:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 23, 3:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jul 25, 3:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC89 min
Jul 30, 12:39 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 31, 3:06 PM EDTExcessive Heat WatchAKQ23 hr
Jul 31, 3:06 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryAKQ29 hr
Aug 1, 2:29 PM EDTExcessive Heat WarningAKQ30 hr
Aug 1, 2:53 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 2, 5:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min
Aug 3, 2:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Aug 7, 4:29 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAKQ2 hr
Aug 8, 12:43 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC6 hr
Aug 8, 6:37 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC12 hr
Aug 8, 6:46 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQ23 min
Aug 8, 7:04 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQ26 min
Aug 8, 8:38 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 9, 4:23 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQ37 min
Aug 9, 4:38 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Aug 9, 4:47 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQ28 min
Aug 9, 5:39 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQ21 min
Aug 9, 6:17 AM EDTTornado WatchSPC8 hr
Aug 17, 5:39 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ51 min
Aug 17, 6:05 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAKQ115 min
Aug 17, 7:43 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAKQ2 hr
Aug 17, 8:17 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAKQ2 hr
Aug 18, 1:09 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC96 min
Aug 18, 2:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 18, 3:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Aug 18, 4:30 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC90 min
Aug 18, 4:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ48 min
Aug 18, 5:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ38 min
Aug 18, 5:28 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ32 min
Aug 19, 3:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 26, 2:42 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ48 min
Aug 26, 3:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ44 min
Aug 28, 2:53 AM EDTHeat AdvisoryAKQ41 hr
Aug 28, 3:38 PM EDTFlood WatchAKQ33 hr
Aug 29, 5:40 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC95 min
Aug 29, 10:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ43 min
Sep 16, 3:19 PM EDTFlood WatchAKQ34 hr
Oct 16, 10:50 AM EDTFrost AdvisoryAKQ20 hr
Oct 17, 2:56 PM EDTFrost AdvisoryAKQ18 hr
Oct 26, 2:31 PM EDTFreeze WatchAKQ12 hr
Oct 27, 2:59 AM EDTFreeze WarningAKQ30 hr
Nov 5, 2:28 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryAKQ7 hr
Dec 10, 6:39 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryAKQ4 hr
Dec 18, 4:02 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryAKQ5 hr
Dec 31, 4:04 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC116 min
Dec 31, 4:30 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ45 min
Dec 31, 5:20 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ25 min
Dec 31, 5:23 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ37 min

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20232025

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.