Alert archive / Virginia / Caroline County
Weather alerts in Caroline County, Virginia, 2025
153 weather alerts in 2025, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Caroline County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2025. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 153
- Warnings
- 42
- Watches
- 25
- Advisories
- 23
- Busiest month
- July49 alerts
- Busiest day
- July 1, 202510 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
0 of 1 tornado warnings covering Caroline County in 2025 had a tornado report inside them.
Caroline County, 2025
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 1 | 0 | 100% | 0 | ||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 27 | 25 | 7% | 12 | 92% | 18 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 6 | 5 | 17% | 4 | 100% | 55 min |
Each office's whole area, 2025
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Wakefield, VA: tornado warnings | 21 | 3 | 86% | 6 | 50% | 4 min |
| NWS Wakefield, VA: severe thunderstorm warnings | 329 | 221 | 33% | 621 | 92% | 23 min |
| NWS Wakefield, VA: flash flood warnings | 173 | 131 | 24% | 324 | 92% | 84 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2:50 AM EST | Winter Storm Watch | AKQ | 25 hr |
| Jan 4, 4:01 PM EST | Winter Storm Warning | AKQ | 57 hr |
| Jan 6, 2:44 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jan 6, 3:20 PM EST | Cold Weather Advisory | AKQ | 17 hr |
| Jan 7, 2:31 PM EST | Cold Weather Advisory | AKQ | 18 hr |
| Jan 10, 2:12 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 29 hr |
| Jan 21, 4:04 AM EST | Cold Weather Advisory | AKQ | 30 hr |
| Jan 22, 2:31 PM EST | Cold Weather Advisory | AKQ | 19 hr |
| Feb 5, 3:22 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 28 hr |
| Feb 9, 2:51 PM EST | Winter Storm Watch | AKQ | 24 hr |
| Feb 10, 2:40 AM EST | Winter Storm Warning | AKQ | 3 days |
| Feb 11, 2:49 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 4 hr |
| Feb 15, 2:42 AM EST | Wind Advisory | AKQ | 45 hr |
| Feb 16, 10:04 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 41 min |
| Feb 16, 10:18 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 42 min |
| Feb 16, 10:18 AM EST | Tornado Warning | AKQ | 27 min |
| Feb 16, 12:55 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Feb 17, 2:39 PM EST | Winter Storm Watch | AKQ | 24 hr |
| Feb 18, 2:22 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 49 hr |
| Mar 1, 3:57 AM EST | Red Flag Warning | AKQ | 16 hr |
| Mar 5, 10:27 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Mar 5, 12:14 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 46 min |
| Mar 5, 12:50 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 40 min |
| Mar 16, 6:17 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Mar 20, 5:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 28 min |
| Mar 31, 2:45 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Mar 31, 6:31 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 119 min |
| Mar 31, 7:18 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 42 min |
| Mar 31, 7:53 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 52 min |
| Mar 31, 8:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 35 min |
| Mar 31, 8:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 49 min |
| Apr 8, 2:33 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | AKQ | 30 hr |
| Apr 11, 6:35 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 3 hr |
| Apr 14, 5:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Apr 14, 6:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| Apr 14, 8:40 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 95 min |
| Apr 16, 3:15 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | AKQ | 29 hr |
| Apr 26, 2:05 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Apr 26, 2:45 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 45 min |
| Apr 26, 3:33 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 57 min |
| May 5, 9:08 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 52 min |
| May 5, 1:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| May 5, 5:29 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 5, 6:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 27 min |
| May 6, 7:11 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | AKQ | 118 min |
| May 8, 10:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 43 min |
| May 8, 11:14 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 46 min |
| May 12, 3:08 PM EDT | Flood Watch | AKQ | 34 hr |
| May 14, 12:33 PM EDT | Flood Watch | AKQ | 8 hr |
| May 14, 4:45 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | AKQ | 3 hr |
| May 15, 5:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| May 16, 3:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| May 17, 4:05 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 40 min |
| May 30, 3:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| May 30, 5:01 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| May 30, 6:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 46 min |
| May 31, 11:52 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 6, 5:31 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| Jun 8, 1:04 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 86 min |
| Jun 8, 2:26 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Jun 8, 4:31 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| Jun 8, 7:06 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 39 min |
| Jun 8, 7:17 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Jun 8, 7:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 35 min |
| Jun 8, 8:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 29 min |
| Jun 13, 2:57 AM EDT | Flood Watch | AKQ | 4 days |
| Jun 14, 8:12 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| Jun 14, 10:50 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 25 min |
| Jun 14, 10:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 47 min |
| Jun 14, 11:41 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | AKQ | 106 min |
| Jun 14, 11:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 32 min |
| Jun 15, 5:48 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 42 min |
| Jun 16, 4:55 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | AKQ | 29 hr |
| Jun 19, 1:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Jun 19, 1:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
| Jun 19, 3:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Jun 19, 5:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 38 min |
| Jun 19, 5:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 50 min |
| Jun 22, 2:01 PM EDT | Extreme Heat Warning | AKQ | 3 days |
| Jun 25, 1:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Jun 25, 2:44 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | AKQ | 28 hr |
| Jun 26, 1:54 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 29, 1:07 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 29, 6:51 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 39 min |
| Jul 1, 11:48 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Jul 1, 12:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
| Jul 1, 3:02 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Jul 1, 5:56 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 1, 6:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 40 min |
| Jul 1, 6:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 48 min |
| Jul 1, 6:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 50 min |
| Jul 1, 7:32 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 43 min |
| Jul 1, 7:38 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | AKQ | 2 hr |
| Jul 1, 7:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 46 min |
| Jul 1, 8:29 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | AKQ | 3 hr |
| Jul 1, 8:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 61 min |
| Jul 7, 1:43 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | AKQ | 30 hr |
| Jul 8, 12:34 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jul 8, 1:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 8, 1:50 PM EDT | Flood Watch | AKQ | 58 hr |
| Jul 8, 6:46 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 119 min |
| Jul 9, 2:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Jul 9, 3:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jul 9, 5:35 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 40 min |
| Jul 9, 6:16 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 44 min |
| Jul 9, 6:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 51 min |
| Jul 12, 2:13 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 3 hr |
| Jul 12, 2:17 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 43 min |
| Jul 13, 11:20 AM EDT | Flood Watch | AKQ | 57 hr |
| Jul 14, 2:20 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 14, 8:31 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 29 min |
| Jul 14, 9:06 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 39 min |
| Jul 15, 5:31 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | AKQ | 3 hr |
| Jul 16, 2:04 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | AKQ | 30 hr |
| Jul 17, 1:54 PM EDT | Flood Watch | AKQ | 36 hr |
| Jul 18, 1:05 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Jul 18, 10:10 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 50 min |
| Jul 19, 3:43 AM EDT | Flood Watch | AKQ | 20 hr |
| Jul 19, 1:08 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 19, 3:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 19, 4:21 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| Jul 19, 6:50 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Jul 19, 7:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 41 min |
| Jul 19, 7:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 48 min |
| Jul 19, 8:00 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | AKQ | 2 hr |
| Jul 25, 2:36 AM EDT | Heat Advisory | AKQ | 4 days |
| Jul 27, 1:50 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Jul 27, 4:19 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 41 min |
| Jul 27, 4:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 46 min |
| Jul 27, 5:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 67 min |
| Jul 31, 2:12 AM EDT | Flood Watch | AKQ | 21 hr |
| Jul 31, 1:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 31, 4:02 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Aug 13, 3:02 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 43 min |
| Aug 14, 6:44 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 46 min |
| Aug 14, 6:44 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 46 min |
| Sep 4, 1:41 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Sep 4, 3:40 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 50 min |
| Sep 4, 5:39 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| Sep 6, 1:27 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Oct 19, 7:59 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Oct 23, 2:09 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | AKQ | 31 hr |
| Oct 24, 1:59 PM EDT | Freeze Warning | AKQ | 19 hr |
| Nov 9, 6:58 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 47 min |
| Nov 15, 1:07 PM EST | Fire Weather Watch | AKQ | 12 hr |
| Nov 16, 1:17 AM EST | Red Flag Warning | AKQ | 17 hr |
| Dec 4, 1:46 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 54 hr |
| Dec 6, 7:45 PM EST | Freezing Fog Advisory | AKQ | 15 hr |
| Dec 7, 2:10 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 43 hr |
| Dec 7, 8:17 PM EST | Freezing Fog Advisory | AKQ | 9 hr |
| Dec 13, 1:11 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 36 hr |
| Dec 13, 1:08 PM EST | Cold Weather Advisory | AKQ | 44 hr |
| Dec 19, 6:51 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 39 min |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20242026
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.