Alert archive / Virginia / Caroline County

Weather alerts in Caroline County, Virginia, 2026

157 weather alerts in 2026, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Caroline County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2026. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts: 157
Warnings: 48
Watches: 23
Advisories: 27
Busiest month: July61 alerts
Busiest day: June 12, 202610 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

Caroline County, 2026

	Warnings	With a report	False alarm ratio	Reports	Inside a warning	Mean lead time
Tornado warnings	0			0
Severe thunderstorm warnings	41	37	10%	25	100%	22 min
Flash flood warnings	2	0	100%	0

Each office's whole area, 2026

	Warnings	With a report	False alarm ratio	Reports	Inside a warning	Mean lead time
NWS Wakefield, VA: tornado warnings	18	1	94%	2	50%	3 min
NWS Wakefield, VA: severe thunderstorm warnings	326	236	28%	583	97%	22 min
NWS Wakefield, VA: flash flood warnings	102	61	40%	169	96%	70 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

The year is still running; reports filed late and damage surveys can still change these figures.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jan 17, 1:34 PM EST	Winter Weather Advisory	AKQ	30 hr
Jan 22, 1:48 AM EST	Winter Storm Watch	AKQ	36 hr
Jan 22, 1:36 PM EST	Cold Weather Advisory	AKQ	46 hr
Jan 23, 2:16 PM EST	Winter Storm Warning	AKQ	59 hr
Jan 23, 2:16 PM EST	Winter Weather Advisory	AKQ	70 hr
Jan 25, 9:39 AM EST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	3 hr
Jan 26, 1:40 AM EST	Cold Weather Advisory	AKQ	32 hr
Jan 27, 1:33 PM EST	Cold Weather Advisory	AKQ	20 hr
Jan 28, 12:57 PM EST	Cold Weather Advisory	AKQ	21 hr
Jan 29, 1:13 PM EST	Extreme Cold Watch	AKQ	36 hr
Jan 30, 2:16 AM EST	Cold Weather Advisory	AKQ	47 hr
Feb 1, 12:43 AM EST	Cold Weather Advisory	AKQ	9 hr
Feb 6, 2:23 AM EST	Cold Weather Advisory	AKQ	3 days
Feb 6, 2:57 AM EST	Wind Advisory	AKQ	42 hr
Feb 7, 3:27 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	63 min
Feb 7, 4:27 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	48 min
Feb 20, 3:49 AM EST	Dense Fog Advisory	AKQ	6 hr
Feb 21, 2:13 AM EST	Winter Storm Watch	AKQ	22 hr
Feb 21, 2:42 PM EST	Winter Storm Warning	AKQ	37 hr
Feb 22, 12:36 AM EST	Winter Weather Advisory	AKQ	27 hr
Mar 5, 3:02 AM EST	Dense Fog Advisory	AKQ	7 hr
Mar 7, 2:18 AM EST	Dense Fog Advisory	AKQ	10 hr
Mar 9, 5:12 AM EDT	Dense Fog Advisory	AKQ	6 hr
Mar 16, 10:03 AM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Mar 16, 10:52 AM EDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr
Mar 16, 11:35 AM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	85 min
Mar 16, 1:44 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	46 min
Mar 16, 5:32 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	118 min
Mar 16, 8:15 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	4 hr
Mar 16, 8:20 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	55 min
Apr 1, 9:20 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	40 min
Apr 6, 2:25 PM EDT	Freeze Watch	AKQ	12 hr
Apr 7, 2:00 AM EDT	Freeze Warning	AKQ	31 hr
Apr 8, 1:10 PM EDT	Frost Advisory	AKQ	20 hr
Apr 19, 1:41 PM EDT	Freeze Watch	AKQ	13 hr
Apr 20, 2:47 AM EDT	Freeze Warning	AKQ	30 hr
May 27, 12:31 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	119 min
May 27, 1:00 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	60 min
May 27, 1:11 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	9 hr
May 27, 1:57 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	48 min
May 27, 3:21 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	114 min
Jun 7, 2:59 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Jun 11, 2:23 PM EDT	Heat Advisory	AKQ	30 hr
Jun 11, 3:02 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	118 min
Jun 11, 8:35 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	40 min
Jun 12, 2:36 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	24 min
Jun 12, 2:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr
Jun 12, 4:48 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	117 min
Jun 12, 4:55 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	65 min
Jun 12, 5:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	52 min
Jun 12, 5:53 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	52 min
Jun 12, 6:41 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	21 min
Jun 12, 7:19 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	86 min
Jun 12, 7:49 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	41 min
Jun 14, 3:17 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	118 min
Jun 14, 4:18 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr
Jun 14, 6:22 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	113 min
Jun 14, 6:25 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	50 min
Jun 22, 1:25 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Jun 22, 2:08 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr
Jun 22, 4:34 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	86 min
Jun 22, 5:28 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	47 min
Jun 22, 5:58 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	47 min
Jun 22, 6:14 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	46 min
Jun 22, 6:43 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	62 min
Jun 23, 11:45 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr
Jun 26, 3:37 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	113 min
Jun 30, 4:01 AM EDT	Heat Advisory	AKQ	40 hr
Jun 30, 4:01 AM EDT	Extreme Heat Watch	AKQ	57 hr
Jul 1, 1:58 PM EDT	Extreme Heat Warning	AKQ	3 days
Jul 4, 12:49 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Jul 4, 1:52 PM EDT	Heat Advisory	AKQ	30 hr
Jul 4, 2:16 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	9 hr
Jul 4, 3:20 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	40 min
Jul 4, 4:11 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	49 min
Jul 4, 4:49 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	41 min
Jul 4, 6:47 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	118 min
Jul 4, 7:49 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	41 min
Jul 5, 3:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	48 min
Jul 5, 4:56 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	49 min
Jul 5, 5:11 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	34 min
Jul 5, 5:25 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	50 min
Jul 5, 5:50 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	AKQ	2 hr
Jul 5, 6:00 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Jul 5, 6:26 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	49 min
Jul 5, 7:05 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	20 min
Jul 6, 3:03 AM EDT	Flood Watch	AKQ	21 hr
Jul 6, 2:27 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	3 hr
Jul 7, 5:54 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	AKQ	2 hr
Jul 8, 1:09 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	AKQ	2 hr
Jul 9, 2:05 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	115 min
Jul 9, 2:30 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr
Jul 9, 6:02 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	43 min
Jul 9, 6:39 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	51 min
Jul 9, 7:06 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	84 min
Jul 12, 1:35 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	AKQ	115 min
Jul 14, 1:29 PM EDT	Heat Advisory	AKQ	31 hr
Jul 18, 2:31 AM EDT	Heat Advisory	AKQ	17 hr
Jul 18, 2:14 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr
Jul 18, 4:09 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	51 min
Jul 18, 4:22 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	38 min
Jul 18, 4:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	48 min
Jul 18, 4:58 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	62 min
Jul 18, 5:03 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	42 min
Jul 18, 5:40 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	35 min
Jul 18, 6:13 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	47 min
Jul 21, 1:53 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	97 min
Jul 21, 1:59 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	46 min
Jul 21, 2:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	38 min
Jul 21, 2:42 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	48 min
Jul 21, 2:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	11 hr
Jul 21, 3:10 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	AKQ	3 hr
Jul 21, 3:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	44 min
Jul 21, 4:43 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	92 min
Jul 21, 7:57 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Jul 21, 10:39 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	66 min
Jul 22, 12:01 AM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	89 min
Jul 22, 1:40 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Jul 26, 9:04 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	116 min
Jul 26, 10:09 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	51 min
Jul 26, 10:48 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	AKQ	42 min
Jul 26, 11:21 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	24 min
Jul 26, 11:28 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	47 min
Jul 26, 11:56 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	37 min
Jul 27, 2:06 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	39 min
Jul 27, 2:35 AM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	55 min
Jul 27, 2:44 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	46 min
Jul 28, 2:04 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	116 min
Jul 28, 2:48 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	9 hr
Jul 28, 6:35 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	40 min
Aug 2, 5:59 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	AKQ	3 hr
Aug 2, 6:19 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	41 min
Aug 7, 7:20 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	24 min
Aug 8, 3:08 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	97 min
Aug 10, 4:25 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr
Aug 10, 4:58 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	47 min
Aug 10, 5:24 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	51 min
Aug 10, 5:43 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	19 min
Aug 10, 6:07 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	38 min
Aug 14, 7:52 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	23 min
Aug 16, 4:36 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr
Aug 16, 7:00 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	60 min
Aug 16, 8:00 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	45 min
Aug 20, 1:53 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Aug 20, 2:31 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr
Aug 22, 6:02 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Aug 22, 9:46 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	44 min
Sep 1, 1:38 PM EDT	Heat Advisory	AKQ	54 hr
Sep 2, 3:36 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	39 min
Sep 3, 6:19 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	116 min
Sep 3, 11:13 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	92 min
Sep 4, 1:02 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	43 min
Sep 4, 2:04 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr
Sep 4, 4:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AKQ	48 min
Sep 5, 12:11 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	34 min
Sep 13, 4:37 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	AKQ	3 hr
Sep 17, 4:46 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	AKQ	44 min

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

Product	Alerts
Severe storms
Severe Thunderstorm Warning	41
Severe Thunderstorm Watch	15
Tornado Watch	1
Mesoscale Discussion	38
Special Weather Statement	21
Flooding
Flash Flood Warning	2
Flood Watch	1
Areal Flood Advisory	5
Winter
Winter Storm Warning	2
Winter Storm Watch	2
Winter Weather Advisory	3
Heat
Extreme Heat Warning	1
Extreme Heat Watch	1
Heat Advisory	6
Cold
Freeze Warning	2
Extreme Cold Watch	1
Freeze Watch	2
Cold Weather Advisory	7
Frost Advisory	1
Wind and dust
Wind Advisory	1
Fog and smoke
Dense Fog Advisory	4

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force now Tornadoes on record Forecast The radar archive 2025

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.