Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2026

Tornado Watch 67

March 16, 202618 counties in Maryland; 74 counties in Virginia; Berkeley County, Jefferson County, Morgan County, West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 16, 2026, 10:52 AM EDT for 18 counties in Maryland; 74 counties in Virginia; Berkeley County, Jefferson County, Morgan County, West Virginia. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 16, 2026, 10:52 AM EDT (14:52 UTC)
Expired
Mar 16, 2026, 7:00 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
75 kt
All 95 counties

Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Washington County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Accomack County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King George County, VA, King William County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northampton County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Orange County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, Warren County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, York County, VA, Berkeley County, WV, Jefferson County, WV, Morgan County, WV

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
70%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

26 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 16, 10:55 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCulpeper, Fauquier, Orange, Spotsylvania33 min
Mar 16, 10:57 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLWXFrederick, Montgomery, Washington48 min
Mar 16, 10:57 AM EDTTornado WarningLWXFauquier, Loudoun, Prince William20 min
Mar 16, 11:14 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCulpeper, Fairfax, Fauquier, Orange, Prince William, Spotsylvania and 3 more23 min
Mar 16, 11:28 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLWXFrederick, Montgomery17 min
Mar 16, 11:29 AM EDTTornado WarningLWXMontgomery16 min
Mar 16, 11:40 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXBaltimore, Carroll, Frederick, Howard, Montgomery, Washington and 1 more50 min
Mar 16, 11:40 AM EDTTornado WarningLWXMontgomery20 min
Mar 16, 11:46 AM EDTTornado WarningLWXCarroll, Frederick14 min
Mar 16, 11:59 AM EDTTornado WarningLWXCarroll, Howard16 min
Mar 16, 12:00 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXCarroll, Frederick15 min
Mar 16, 12:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCulpeper, Fauquier, Orange, Prince William, Spotsylvania, Stafford39 min
Mar 16, 12:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQAmelia, Cumberland, Fluvanna, Nottoway, Powhatan, Prince Edward48 min
Mar 16, 12:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFairfax, Fauquier, Prince William, City of Manassas, City of Manassas Park21 min
Mar 16, 12:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXMontgomery36 min
Mar 16, 12:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCharles26 min
Mar 16, 2:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George's34 min
Mar 16, 2:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCharles, Prince George's, Saint Mary's44 min
Mar 16, 2:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXBaltimore, Carroll, Harford, Howard, City of Baltimore40 min
Mar 16, 2:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Prince George's, City of Baltimore31 min
Mar 16, 3:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCity of Chesapeake, City of Norfolk, City of Portsmouth, City of Virginia Beach18 min
Mar 16, 3:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCity of Virginia Beach40 min
Mar 16, 4:04 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAKQCity of Chesapeake, City of Norfolk, City of Portsmouth3 hr
Mar 16, 4:06 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAKQCity of Virginia Beach3 hr
Mar 16, 4:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQGloucester, Lancaster, Mathews, Middlesex32 min
Mar 16, 6:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQLunenburg, Mecklenburg, Prince Edward57 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2026-03-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 131 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2026-03-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 270 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
131 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-49 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
644 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
270 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
312 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 16, 11:30 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex6 hr
Mar 16, 3:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle91 min
Mar 16, 10:03 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Charles, Frederick and 9 more2 hr
Mar 16, 6:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Garrett4 hr
Mar 16, 12:41 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBuchanan, Dickenson, Lee, Russell, Scott, Washington and 3 more6 hr
Mar 16, 4:21 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBland, Buchanan, Carroll, Dickenson, Giles, Grayson and 9 more114 min
Mar 16, 4:36 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBland, Carroll, Craig, Floyd, Giles, Grayson and 7 more6 hr
Mar 16, 8:40 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbemarle, Alleghany, Amelia, Amherst, Appomattox, Augusta and 36 more2 hr
Mar 16, 8:54 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlleghany, Amherst, Appomattox, Bath, Bedford, Botetourt and 18 more5 hr
Mar 16, 11:35 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAmelia, Appomattox, Buckingham, Campbell, Caroline, Charlotte and 15 more85 min
Mar 16, 2:00 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrunswick, Charles City, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Gloucester, Greensville and 24 more90 min
Mar 16, 5:32 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbemarle, Amelia, Amherst, Appomattox, Brunswick, Buckingham and 57 more118 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2026Tornado Watches in Maryland, 2026Tornado Watches in West Virginia, 2026Every tornado watch in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.