Alert archive / North Carolina / Orange County
Weather alerts in Orange County, North Carolina, 2025
196 weather alerts in 2025, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Orange County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2025. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 196
- Warnings
- 53
- Watches
- 26
- Advisories
- 57
- Busiest month
- July59 alerts
- Busiest day
- July 6, 202513 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
1 of 4 tornado warnings covering Orange County in 2025 had a tornado report inside them; 1 of 4 tornado reports fell inside a warning, on average 0 minutes after it went out.
Orange County, 2025
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 4 | 1 | 75% | 4 | 25% | 0 min |
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 26 | 23 | 12% | 16 | 88% | 19 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 12 | 11 | 8% | 27 | 85% | 159 min |
Each office's whole area, 2025
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Raleigh, NC: tornado warnings | 17 | 3 | 82% | 17 | 47% | 8 min |
| NWS Raleigh, NC: severe thunderstorm warnings | 271 | 205 | 24% | 507 | 89% | 21 min |
| NWS Raleigh, NC: flash flood warnings | 71 | 49 | 31% | 160 | 93% | 110 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 8:09 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 28 min |
| Jan 3, 5:10 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 50 min |
| Jan 5, 3:03 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | RAH | 20 hr |
| Jan 8, 3:24 PM EST | Cold Weather Advisory | RAH | 18 hr |
| Jan 9, 3:50 AM EST | Winter Storm Watch | RAH | 11 hr |
| Jan 9, 2:39 PM EST | Winter Storm Warning | RAH | 39 hr |
| Jan 10, 10:27 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jan 19, 4:59 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | RAH | 6 hr |
| Jan 20, 1:54 AM EST | Cold Weather Advisory | RAH | 32 hr |
| Jan 21, 2:22 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | RAH | 29 hr |
| Jan 21, 2:29 AM EST | Cold Weather Advisory | RAH | 32 hr |
| Feb 7, 12:15 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 60 min |
| Feb 7, 1:03 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 87 min |
| Feb 10, 2:03 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | RAH | 41 hr |
| Feb 15, 2:44 PM EST | Wind Advisory | RAH | 25 hr |
| Feb 16, 8:08 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 52 min |
| Feb 17, 3:14 PM EST | Winter Storm Watch | RAH | 17 hr |
| Feb 18, 8:43 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | RAH | 54 hr |
| Feb 19, 1:08 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
| Feb 20, 2:45 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | RAH | 19 hr |
| Feb 28, 1:51 PM EST | Fire Weather Watch | RAH | 14 hr |
| Mar 1, 3:24 AM EST | Red Flag Warning | RAH | 19 hr |
| Mar 4, 2:17 PM EST | Wind Advisory | RAH | 29 hr |
| Mar 5, 7:47 AM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Mar 5, 10:22 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 53 min |
| Mar 5, 10:35 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Mar 5, 11:01 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 74 min |
| Mar 15, 2:31 PM EDT | Wind Advisory | RAH | 23 hr |
| Mar 16, 6:12 AM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Mar 16, 9:49 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Mar 16, 11:03 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 57 min |
| Mar 16, 4:25 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 95 min |
| Mar 16, 6:17 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Mar 16, 7:38 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Mar 20, 2:57 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 33 min |
| Mar 21, 2:12 PM EDT | Red Flag Warning | RAH | 30 hr |
| Mar 26, 2:46 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | RAH | 30 hr |
| Mar 31, 2:45 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Mar 31, 4:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 7, 12:44 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 61 min |
| Apr 7, 3:29 PM EDT | Freeze Watch | RAH | 12 hr |
| Apr 8, 3:30 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | RAH | 30 hr |
| Apr 12, 1:15 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | RAH | 20 hr |
| Apr 16, 3:13 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | RAH | 29 hr |
| Apr 22, 3:14 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Apr 22, 3:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 49 min |
| Apr 22, 4:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 47 min |
| May 2, 4:32 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 43 min |
| May 3, 8:36 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 39 min |
| May 4, 1:33 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 57 min |
| May 5, 5:48 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | RAH | 3 hr |
| May 5, 12:05 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| May 8, 2:37 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 83 min |
| May 8, 4:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| May 8, 7:11 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 64 min |
| May 11, 2:26 AM EDT | Flood Watch | RAH | 69 hr |
| May 12, 11:43 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 47 min |
| May 13, 4:42 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 3 hr |
| May 13, 5:19 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 14, 11:38 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| May 14, 4:10 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 3 hr |
| May 15, 12:42 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | RAH | 8 hr |
| May 15, 5:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| May 16, 3:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| May 17, 4:35 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| May 17, 5:25 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 65 min |
| May 17, 6:51 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
| May 21, 5:04 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 26 min |
| May 29, 8:37 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 3 hr |
| May 30, 1:06 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| May 30, 1:37 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| May 30, 4:29 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 91 min |
| May 30, 6:37 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 23 min |
| May 31, 4:54 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 66 min |
| Jun 1, 3:13 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jun 6, 8:25 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 50 min |
| Jun 6, 8:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 40 min |
| Jun 7, 2:31 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 11, 2:55 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 50 min |
| Jun 13, 3:41 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 2 hr |
| Jun 15, 2:18 AM EDT | Flood Watch | RAH | 21 hr |
| Jun 16, 12:48 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 3 hr |
| Jun 16, 2:59 AM EDT | Flood Watch | RAH | 23 hr |
| Jun 16, 7:49 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 41 min |
| Jun 16, 8:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 38 min |
| Jun 16, 8:28 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 71 min |
| Jun 18, 5:28 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 77 min |
| Jun 19, 5:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 46 min |
| Jun 19, 6:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 47 min |
| Jun 19, 6:30 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 19, 7:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 54 min |
| Jun 22, 12:46 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | RAH | 3 days |
| Jun 22, 1:11 PM EDT | Extreme Heat Watch | RAH | 24 hr |
| Jun 23, 1:11 PM EDT | Extreme Heat Warning | RAH | 55 hr |
| Jun 25, 3:41 AM EDT | Heat Advisory | RAH | 39 hr |
| Jun 25, 12:17 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Jun 25, 3:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 11 hr |
| Jun 25, 4:40 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 95 min |
| Jun 27, 4:50 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Jun 28, 1:59 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 91 min |
| Jun 28, 2:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 47 min |
| Jun 28, 2:47 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 3 hr |
| Jun 29, 1:07 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 2, 12:19 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 56 min |
| Jul 6, 1:52 AM EDT | Flood Watch | RAH | 24 hr |
| Jul 6, 3:08 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 8 hr |
| Jul 6, 3:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 47 min |
| Jul 6, 3:48 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | RAH | 16 min |
| Jul 6, 3:50 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 11 hr |
| Jul 6, 4:44 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 91 min |
| Jul 6, 5:01 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 2 hr |
| Jul 6, 5:47 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 58 min |
| Jul 6, 6:13 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | RAH | 32 min |
| Jul 6, 6:38 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | RAH | 9 min |
| Jul 6, 6:58 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | RAH | 21 min |
| Jul 6, 7:04 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 6 hr |
| Jul 6, 7:43 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 77 min |
| Jul 6, 9:26 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 79 min |
| Jul 6, 9:42 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 63 min |
| Jul 7, 1:22 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 98 min |
| Jul 7, 2:54 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 10 hr |
| Jul 7, 12:36 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | RAH | 12 hr |
| Jul 7, 1:39 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | RAH | 30 hr |
| Jul 8, 2:04 PM EDT | Flood Watch | RAH | 60 hr |
| Jul 8, 2:04 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jul 9, 1:07 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Jul 9, 6:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 62 min |
| Jul 9, 7:19 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 6 hr |
| Jul 9, 8:03 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 3 hr |
| Jul 9, 8:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 33 min |
| Jul 9, 8:36 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 5 hr |
| Jul 10, 4:55 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 65 min |
| Jul 10, 5:12 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 96 min |
| Jul 14, 3:12 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 48 min |
| Jul 14, 5:53 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 52 min |
| Jul 14, 6:06 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 104 min |
| Jul 14, 6:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 39 min |
| Jul 14, 7:50 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | RAH | 2 hr |
| Jul 15, 4:22 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 5 hr |
| Jul 15, 5:37 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 3 hr |
| Jul 17, 1:43 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | RAH | 30 hr |
| Jul 17, 5:20 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 40 min |
| Jul 17, 5:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 36 min |
| Jul 18, 1:02 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | RAH | 31 hr |
| Jul 18, 1:05 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Jul 18, 1:48 PM EDT | Flood Watch | RAH | 9 hr |
| Jul 19, 1:08 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 19, 2:00 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | RAH | 30 hr |
| Jul 19, 3:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 19, 3:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 63 min |
| Jul 19, 5:31 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 3 hr |
| Jul 19, 6:52 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 3 hr |
| Jul 19, 7:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 48 min |
| Jul 19, 8:56 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 3 hr |
| Jul 19, 10:08 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 98 min |
| Jul 20, 1:04 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | RAH | 31 hr |
| Jul 24, 12:02 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | RAH | 32 hr |
| Jul 25, 1:57 AM EDT | Extreme Heat Watch | RAH | 11 hr |
| Jul 25, 1:02 PM EDT | Extreme Heat Warning | RAH | 3 days |
| Jul 27, 7:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 40 min |
| Jul 28, 1:57 AM EDT | Heat Advisory | RAH | 40 hr |
| Jul 29, 1:50 AM EDT | Heat Advisory | RAH | 41 hr |
| Aug 1, 4:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 53 min |
| Aug 1, 5:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 39 min |
| Aug 6, 2:57 AM EDT | Flood Watch | RAH | 18 hr |
| Aug 6, 3:53 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 4 hr |
| Aug 6, 4:39 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 3 hr |
| Aug 11, 5:20 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 4 hr |
| Aug 17, 4:32 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | RAH | 4 hr |
| Sep 4, 5:18 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 57 min |
| Sep 4, 5:39 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| Sep 6, 1:27 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Sep 26, 10:57 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 3 hr |
| Oct 19, 8:45 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 60 min |
| Oct 23, 2:00 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | RAH | 19 hr |
| Oct 24, 2:00 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | RAH | 19 hr |
| Oct 31, 3:20 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | RAH | 30 hr |
| Nov 1, 3:00 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | RAH | 18 hr |
| Nov 6, 12:28 PM EST | Frost Advisory | RAH | 20 hr |
| Nov 9, 12:08 AM EST | Freeze Watch | RAH | 13 hr |
| Nov 9, 1:23 PM EST | Freeze Warning | RAH | 44 hr |
| Nov 15, 2:02 PM EST | Fire Weather Watch | RAH | 11 hr |
| Nov 16, 12:57 AM EST | Red Flag Warning | RAH | 17 hr |
| Nov 21, 10:31 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | RAH | 7 hr |
| Nov 23, 8:19 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | RAH | 101 min |
| Dec 4, 1:53 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | RAH | 34 hr |
| Dec 5, 6:54 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | RAH | 13 hr |
| Dec 6, 9:34 PM EST | Freezing Fog Advisory | RAH | 14 hr |
| Dec 7, 1:04 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | RAH | 47 hr |
| Dec 7, 8:21 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | RAH | 10 hr |
| Dec 13, 11:56 AM EST | Cold Weather Advisory | RAH | 45 hr |
| Dec 19, 5:19 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 56 min |
| Dec 19, 5:41 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 49 min |
| Dec 19, 6:04 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 26 min |
| Dec 19, 6:21 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 39 min |
| Dec 28, 12:21 PM EST | Red Flag Warning | RAH | 30 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20242026
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.