Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Warnings in 2025

Flash Flood Warning 34, NWS Raleigh, NC

July 6, 20256 counties in North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this flash flood warning at Jul 6, 2025, 3:50 PM EDT for 6 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 11 hr. 18 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 6, 2025, 3:50 PM EDT (19:50 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 2025, 3:00 AM EDT
In force
11 hr
Issued by
NWS Raleigh, NC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

Counties Alamance County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Durham County, NC, Lee County, NC, Orange County, NC, Randolph County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 6, 4:19 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD1 Nnw Pittsboro, NCOakwood Drive flooded.
Jul 6, 6:00 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD4 Ese Fearrington, NC*** 1 FATAL *** Two boaters launched a canoe from Marthas Chapel Road around 5pm on Sunday, one boater was found Tuesday morning.
Jul 6, 6:00 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD4 Ese Fearrington, NC*** 2 FATAL *** Corrects previous flash flood report from 4 ESE Fearrington. Two boaters launched a canoe from Marthas Chapel Road around 5pm on Sunday, one body was found Tuesday morning, the other Wednesday morning. Exact time has been estimated.
Jul 6, 7:30 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD4 Wnw Goldston, NCBoth lanes of Highway 902 just west of Chatham Central High School have been washed out. Nearly 20 feet of roadway have been washed away.
Jul 6, 7:52 PM EDTFLASH FLOODSiler City, NCNumerous instances of flooded roads, stalled cars, and water rescues across the county, including one at the location noted in this report.
Jul 6, 8:25 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD2 S Haw River, NCThe left lane is closed from Exit 150 (Jimmie Kerr Rd) to Exit 153 (Trollingwood-Hawfields Rd). 1 of 4 lanes closed.
Jul 6, 9:00 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD1 E Chapel Hill, NCStranded/submerged vehicles, apartments flooded, and law enforcement performed multiple water rescues at Camelot Village earlier.
Jul 6, 9:00 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD1 E Chapel Hill, NCVehicles submerged and apartments flooded with law enforcement performing multiple swift water boat rescues earlier.
Jul 6, 9:40 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD1 E Chapel Hill, NCMail trucks submerged in Chapel Hill near S Estes drive/Willow Drive.
Jul 6, 9:40 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD1 Ene Chapel Hill, NCHouses flooded with stranded vehicles reported near Rt 501/15 and S. Elliot Road.
Jul 6, 10:28 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD4 Nne Chapel Hill, NCroad closed due to flooding.
Jul 6, 10:30 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD3 Ese Mebane, NCFlooding reported along portions of I-85/40. Eastbound i-40/85 was closed near Buckhorn Road.
Jul 6, 10:38 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD3 Ese Mebane, NCThe road is closed due to flooding at Exit 157 (Buckhorn Road). Near Hillsborough / Mile Marker 157 to 0 Both Directions.
Jul 6, 10:45 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD6 Wnw Bynum, NCNC-87 impassable where it crosses Terrel Creek, near Chicken Bridge Road, and where it crosses Long Branch, near Castle Rock Farm road.
Jul 6, 11:31 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD3 Ene Fearrington, NC*** 1 FATAL *** 1 person died when their car traveling on Farrington Point Road entered floodwaters and was swept away.
Jul 6, 11:35 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD4 S Mebane, NC*** 1 FATAL *** DELAYED REPORT: Deputies responded to a report of a missing person last seen driving near Jones Rd and Calloway Dr. The body of a man was later recovered in a creek downstream.
Jul 7, 1:00 AM EDTRAIN 7.544 N Carrboro, NCMesonet station DKCN7 DUKE FOREST DURHAM 11 W.
Jul 7, 2:54 AM EDTRAIN 4.622 Ne Alamance, NCASOS station KBUY Burlington.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 17 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 29 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 165 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2025-07-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2025-07-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 69 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
691 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
69 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
55 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

416 
WGUS52 KRAH 061950
FFWRAH
NCC001-037-063-105-135-151-062215-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FF.W.0034.250706T1950Z-250706T2215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
350 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Alamance County in central North Carolina...
  Chatham County in central North Carolina...
  Southwestern Durham County in central North Carolina...
  Northern Lee County in central North Carolina...
  Southern Orange County in central North Carolina...
  Eastern Randolph County in central North Carolina...

* Until 615 PM EDT.

* At 350 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the 
  warned area. Up to 3 inches of rain have fallen. Additional 
  rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are possible in the warned area. 
  Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing
           flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
           urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Durham, Chapel Hill, Burlington, Graham, Hillsborough, Pittsboro, 
  Siler City, North Carolina Zoo, Carrboro, Mebane, Goldston, 
  Seagrove, Elon, Gibsonville, Liberty, Haw River, Ramseur, 
  Broadway, Franklinville and Swepsonville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3590 7965 3590 7954 3624 7953 3593 7881
      3587 7883 3587 7891 3561 7900 3558 7892
      3542 7907 3556 7920 3553 7927 3555 7929
      3552 7933 3551 7984

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

10
7 follow-up statements
154 
WGUS52 KRAH 062125
FFWRAH
NCC001-037-063-105-135-151-070115-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FF.W.0034.000000T0000Z-250707T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
525 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Alamance County in central North Carolina...
  Chatham County in central North Carolina...
  Southwestern Durham County in central North Carolina...
  Northern Lee County in central North Carolina...
  Southern Orange County in central North Carolina...
  Eastern Randolph County in central North Carolina...

* Until 915 PM EDT.

* At 525 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the 
  warned area. Up to 5 inches of rain have fallen, with the highest 
  totals across western Chatham county. Additional rainfall amounts 
  of 2 to 4 inches are possible, especially across Alamance and 
  western Chatham counties. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to 
  begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing
           flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
           urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Durham, Chapel Hill, Burlington, Graham, Hillsborough, Pittsboro, 
  Siler City, North Carolina Zoo, Carrboro, Mebane, Goldston, 
  Seagrove, Elon, Gibsonville, Liberty, Haw River, Ramseur, 
  Broadway, Franklinville and Swepsonville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3590 7965 3590 7954 3624 7953 3593 7881
      3587 7883 3587 7891 3561 7900 3558 7892
      3542 7907 3556 7920 3553 7927 3555 7929
      3552 7933 3551 7984

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

10
494 
WGUS72 KRAH 070001
FFSRAH

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
801 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

NCC105-070011-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FF.W.0034.000000T0000Z-250707T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lee NC-
801 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR NORTHERN LEE COUNTY...

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to 
heed remaining road closures.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 600 AM EDT Monday for a 
portion of central North Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3570 7975 3590 7965 3590 7954 3624 7953
      3593 7881 3587 7883 3587 7891 3561 7900
      3563 7914 3558 7920 3556 7920 3555 7922
      3557 7922 3557 7924 3553 7927 3556 7929
      3554 7932 3553 7931 3552 7934 3552 7957

$$

NCC001-037-063-135-151-070115-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.W.0034.000000T0000Z-250707T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Alamance NC-Chatham NC-Durham NC-Orange NC-Randolph NC-
801 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM EDT THIS 
EVENING FOR ALAMANCE, CHATHAM, SOUTHWESTERN DURHAM, SOUTHERN ORANGE 
AND EASTERN RANDOLPH COUNTIES...

At 801 PM EDT, emergency management reported flooding due to 
thunderstorms producing heavy rain in numerous locations across the 
warned area. Between 2 and 6 inches of rain have fallen. Additional 
rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in the warned area. 
Flash flooding is already occurring.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding.

SOURCE...Emergency management reported.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
         urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Durham, Chapel Hill, Burlington, Graham, Hillsborough, Pittsboro, 
  Siler City, Carrboro, Mebane, Goldston, Elon, Gibsonville, 
  Liberty, Haw River, Ramseur, Franklinville, Swepsonville, 
  Alamance, Staley and Sutphin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3570 7975 3590 7965 3590 7954 3624 7953
      3593 7881 3587 7883 3587 7891 3561 7900
      3563 7914 3558 7920 3556 7920 3555 7922
      3557 7922 3557 7924 3553 7927 3556 7929
      3554 7932 3553 7931 3552 7934 3552 7957

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

10
878 
WGUS52 KRAH 070011
FFWRAH
NCC001-037-063-135-151-070515-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FF.W.0034.000000T0000Z-250707T0515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
811 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Alamance County in central North Carolina...
  Chatham County in central North Carolina...
  Southwestern Durham County in central North Carolina...
  Southern Orange County in central North Carolina...
  Eastern Randolph County in central North Carolina...

* Until 115 AM EDT.

* At 811 PM EDT, emergency management reported flooding due to 
  thunderstorms producing heavy rain in numerous locations across 
  the warned area, including Pittsboro, Chapel Hill, and Mebane. 
  Between 2 and 6 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall 
  amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash 
  flooding is already occurring.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Emergency management reported.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
           urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Durham, Chapel Hill, Burlington, Graham, Hillsborough, Pittsboro, 
  Siler City, Carrboro, Mebane, Goldston, Elon, Gibsonville, 
  Liberty, Haw River, Ramseur, Franklinville, Swepsonville, 
  Alamance, Staley and Sutphin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3570 7975 3590 7965 3590 7954 3624 7953
      3593 7881 3587 7883 3587 7891 3561 7900
      3563 7914 3558 7920 3556 7920 3555 7922
      3557 7922 3557 7924 3553 7927 3556 7929
      3554 7932 3553 7931 3552 7934 3552 7957

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

10
184 
WGUS52 KRAH 070232
FFWRAH
NCC001-037-063-135-151-070600-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FF.W.0034.000000T0000Z-250707T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1032 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Alamance County in central North Carolina...
  Chatham County in central North Carolina...
  Southwestern Durham County in central North Carolina...
  Southern Orange County in central North Carolina...
  Eastern Randolph County in central North Carolina...

* Until 200 AM EDT.

* At 1032 PM EDT, Widespread flash flooding is ongoing across much 
  of Orange, Alamance and Chatham Counties this evening as rainfall 
  amounts of 4 to 7 inches have been observed in the area with 
  localized amounts in excess of 8 inches. Numerous water rescues 
  have occurred this evening and some homes flooded. Please do not 
  travel unless absolutely necessary. It is very difficult to see 
  the dangers of flooding at night.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Emergency management reported.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
           urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Chapel Hill, Burlington, Graham, Hillsborough, Pittsboro, Siler 
  City, Carrboro, Mebane, Goldston, Elon, Gibsonville, Liberty, Haw 
  River, Ramseur, Franklinville, Swepsonville, Alamance, Staley and 
  Sutphin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3570 7975 3590 7965 3590 7954 3624 7953
      3593 7881 3587 7883 3587 7891 3561 7900
      3563 7914 3558 7920 3556 7920 3555 7922
      3557 7922 3557 7924 3553 7927 3556 7929
      3554 7932 3553 7931 3552 7934 3552 7957

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

Blaes
408 
WGUS72 KRAH 070409
FFSRAH

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1209 AM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

NCC151-070419-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FF.W.0034.000000T0000Z-250707T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Randolph NC-
1209 AM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR EASTERN RANDOLPH COUNTY...

Heavy rain that produced flooding earlier has ended and rivers and 
creeks are receding. The threat of widespread flooding has ended.

&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3593 7881 3587 7883 3587 7891
      3561 7900 3563 7914 3558 7920 3556 7920
      3555 7922 3557 7922 3557 7924 3553 7927
      3556 7929 3554 7932 3553 7932 3552 7934
      3552 7954 3568 7953 3590 7954

$$

NCC001-037-063-135-070600-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.W.0034.000000T0000Z-250707T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Alamance NC-Chatham NC-Durham NC-Orange NC-
1209 AM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT EARLY THIS 
MORNING FOR ALAMANCE, CHATHAM, SOUTHWESTERN DURHAM AND SOUTHERN 
ORANGE COUNTIES...

At 1209 AM EDT, Observers and emergency management reported heavy 
rain across the warned area with between 3 and 8 inches of rain 
measured. Flash flooding has been occurring and continues.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing
         flash flooding.

SOURCE...Emergency management reported.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
         urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

This includes the following flood prone locations...
Morgan Creek at Mason Farm Rd, Booker Creek and Willow Dr, Fordham 
Rams Place and Ephesus Church Rd, Fordham Bypass Lane by S. Elliot 
Rd., University between Durham-Chapel Hill Blvd and Forest Hills and 
Stagecoach Rd.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3593 7881 3587 7883 3587 7891
      3561 7900 3563 7914 3558 7920 3556 7920
      3555 7922 3557 7922 3557 7924 3553 7927
      3556 7929 3554 7932 3553 7932 3552 7934
      3552 7954 3568 7953 3590 7954

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

Blaes
133 
WGUS52 KRAH 070537
FFWRAH
NCC001-037-063-135-070700-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FF.W.0034.000000T0000Z-250707T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
137 AM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Alamance County in central North Carolina...
  Chatham County in central North Carolina...
  Southwestern Durham County in central North Carolina...
  Southern Orange County in central North Carolina...

* Until 300 AM EDT.

* At 137 AM EDT, emergency management officials continue to report 
  flooding across the area. A few water rescues were still ongoing 
  over the past hour. Between 3 and 9 inches of rain have fallen 
  across the area and any lingering rain should end by 200 am. While 
  the rain has largely ended, creeks and streams will remain high 
  overnight and lingering flood waters will be slow to recede. Use 
  caution when traveling tonight as it is difficult to identify the 
  dangers of flooding at night.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by heavy rain.

  SOURCE...Emergency management reported.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Durham, Chapel Hill, Burlington, Graham, Hillsborough, Pittsboro, 
  Siler City, Carrboro, Mebane, Haw River, Swepsonville, Bynum and 
  Snow Camp.

This includes the following flood prone locations...
Morgan Creek at Mason Farm Rd, Booker Creek and Willow Dr, Fordham 
Rams Place and Ephesus Church Rd, Fordham Bypass Lane by S. Elliot 
Rd., University between Durham-Chapel Hill Blvd and Forest Hills and 
Stagecoach Rd.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3593 7881 3587 7883 3587 7891
      3561 7900 3563 7914 3558 7920 3556 7920
      3555 7922 3557 7922 3557 7924 3553 7927
      3556 7929 3554 7932 3553 7932 3552 7934
      3552 7954 3568 7953 3590 7954

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

Blaes
139 
WGUS72 KRAH 070702
FFSRAH

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
302 AM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

NCC001-037-063-135-070712-
/O.EXP.KRAH.FF.W.0034.000000T0000Z-250707T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Alamance NC-Chatham NC-Durham NC-Orange NC-
302 AM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR ALAMANCE, CHATHAM, 
SOUTHWESTERN DURHAM AND SOUTHERN ORANGE COUNTIES...

The threat for flash flooding has ended. While the rain has ended, 
creeks and streams will remain high overnight into Monday morning 
and lingering flood waters will be slow to recede. Use caution when 
traveling early this morning as it is difficult to identify the 
dangers of flooding at night. Please continue to heed remaining road 
closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3593 7881 3587 7883 3587 7891
      3561 7900 3563 7914 3558 7920 3556 7920
      3555 7922 3557 7922 3557 7924 3553 7927
      3556 7929 3554 7932 3553 7932 3552 7934
      3552 7954 3568 7953 3590 7954

$$

AS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 6, 2:15 PM EDT, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 6, 2:15 PM EDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
215 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Tropical Depression Chantal will weaken to a remnant low as it
drifts northeastward through central North Carolina this afternoon
through tonight. This low will exit to our northeast early Monday,
leaving behind a weak surface trough through central North Carolina
and above normal temperatures over our area through mid week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 200 PM Sunday...

* Flood Watch remains in effect for all but the northeast CWA
  through tonight.

* Risk of isolated weak tornadoes persists through the afternoon and
  early evening in the SE CWA.

The remnant low of what is now TD Chantal will continue to drive our
weather through tonight, as it tracks NNE through the forecast area.
The latest analysis shows the center near the SE edge of the CWA,
with the heavier rain having shifted to just N and NW of the center,
a trend which was first depicted on yesterday's CAMs. The model
forecast rainfall and probabilities, including HREF neighborhood
probs of 1" and 3" in 3 hrs, agrees well with radar trends,
including recent instantaneous rain rates and ARIs. These indicators
along with the deep tropical moisture in place, including high PWs
near 2.5" and a deep LCL-0C layer, support maintaining the Flood
Watch, although we may be able to clear out the far SE (Coastal
Plain counties) by this evening. The fact that the low is moving is
good news, although training and pivoting rainbands and heavy
embedded deeper convection will still focus heavier totals in spots,
leading to isolated pockets and bands of torrential flooding rain.
Widespread 1-4" remains possible, with isolated 4-6", values we've
already seen in the last 6 hours near the Hoke/Scotland county line
according to MRMS data. The higher HREF NPs of higher amounts favor
the existing heavy rain area translating northward through the
western and central CWA, correlating well with the watch area.

The chance for quick spinups of weak tropical tornadoes persists as
well for the next several hours. Current 0-1 km shear and SRH are
maximized W-E through the central of the CWA, and where this area
overlaps with greater SBCAPE (~1500-2500 J/kg over the NE Piedmont
and N/C Coastal Plain) and CAPE advection will present the most
likely places for such spinups, particularly associated with
deepening updrafts within these tropical rainbands.

Will maintain high chance pops, likely to categorical, into the
evening, with a SW-to-NE downturn in pops later in the evening and
overnight, in line with the consensus of recent guidance. The low is
expected to shift just NE of the CWA near sunrise, so this area will
be the last to see lower pops. Considerable cloudiness will hold as
well, with areas of stratus likely. Lows from 69 to 75. -GIH

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 215 PM Sunday...

Chantal's remnant low will continue to pull away from the NE CWA Mon
morning, so we may still see morning showers in the NE CWA where
high PWs will linger along with weak low level mass convergence. A
weak trailing trough is expected to extend through the heart of the
CWA through Mon night, with high dewpoints in the 70s lingering
along and E of the trough. With low to mid level flow from the W and
WNW, albeit light, to the west of the trough, the far W Piedmont may
mix out enough to drop surface dewpoints down into the upper 60s and
limit SBCAPE a bit, so despite what should be good heating (after
the morning stratus burns off), the lowest pops should be in our far
W. In the E, within higher PW and higher surface dewpoints, isolated
to scattered storms remain possible in the afternoon. Recent CAM
runs are less enthusiastic, with scant coverage, due perhaps in part
to large-scale post-TC subsidence. Will hold onto scattered showers
and storms in the afternoon into early evening here, but there is a
chance for lesser coverage in later forecasts. Expect highs in the
upper 80s to lower 90s, followed by lows in the low-mid 70s. -GIH

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 1233 PM Sunday...

Expect a return to diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms on
Tuesday after a surface trough sets up across the central portion of
North Carolina. Tuesday is also expected to have the least cloud
cover of any day this week, which will help it to be the warmest day
of the week - widespread low to mid 90s are in the forecast for
temperatures and it is the primary day that may reach heat advisory
criteria of 105 degrees. The entire forecast area is under a
marginal (level 1 of 5) risk for severe thunderstorms on Tuesday,
primarily due to the inverted-V soundings which could mix stronger
wind down to the surface. The storms will have plenty of instability
to work with, although deep level shear will be weak and will have a
harder time organizing thunderstorms.

As an upper trough develops over the eastern half of the United
States for the second half of the week, this will increase the
coverage of showers and thunderstorms Wednesday, Thursday, and
Friday. This should result in a slight reduction of temperatures -
although most places will still reach the low 90s on Wednesday and
highs in the upper 80s will be more typical on Thursday and Friday
with the increased cloud cover. Once the trough axis moves farther
east and gets closer to the Atlantic coastline over the weekend,
coverage of showers and thunderstorms should decrease somewhat,
returning more to scattered showers/storms each afternoon, with a
slight increase in highs back into the low 90s. While some upper 60s
are possible for overnight lows, most locations will not fall out of
the 70s through much of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 1230 PM Sunday...

Adverse aviation conditions will dominate at all terminals across
central NC through much of tonight, with SW-to-NE improvement Mon
morning. What is now TD Chantal centered just S of LBT will continue
to track slowly to the NNE and NE through central NC through
tonight, while continuing to weaken to a remnant low. Numerous to
widespread showers, and isolated storms, will bring MVFR to IFR
conditions (both cigs and vsbys) as the storm center tracks through,
with the IFR conditions most likely where the rain is heaviest. Wind
concerns are now lower as the storm weakens, although sporadic
surface gusts up to 15-20 kts are possible anywhere, with isolated
up to 20-35 kts in and near the heavier showers and isolated storms,
mostly this afternoon through early evening. Once the low center
tracks NE of central NC early Mon morning, leaving behind a weak
trough down through the area, cigs and vsbys will quickly trend to
VFR, with just mid and high clouds over the area and light surface
winds through the end of the TAF valid period.

Looking beyond 18z Mon, a few showers and storms are possible with
heating Mon from mid afternoon to early evening, mainly at RWI/FAY.
Additional rounds of scattered storms are expected each afternoon
through mid evening Tue-Fri as a weak upper trough holds to our
west, and early-morning areas of sub-VFR fog and stratus are
possible each day Wed-Fri. -GIH

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through late tonight for NCZ007-008-021>025-038>042-
073>078-083>086-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Hartfield
NEAR TERM...Hartfield
SHORT TERM...Hartfield
LONG TERM...Green
AVIATION...Hartfield
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 6, 4:54 AM EDT, 10 hours 56 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
454 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

NCZ042-077-078-085-086-088-089-070900-
Johnston-Harnett-Wayne-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
454 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

In addition to the potential for locally heavy rain, an isolated,
brief tornado or two is also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

High temperatures in the lower to mid 90s on Tuesday combined with a
very humid airmass will result in afternoon heat index values of 100
to 105.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

NCZ007-008-024-025-040-041-073>076-083-084-070900-
Person-Granville-Orange-Durham-Chatham-Wake-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-
Lee-Anson-Richmond-
454 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

High temperatures in the lower to mid 90s on Tuesday combined with a
very humid airmass will result in afternoon heat index values of 100
to 105.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ021>023-038-039-070900-
Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Davidson-Randolph-
454 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ009>011-026>028-043-070900-
Vance-Warren-Halifax-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Wilson-
454 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Periods of locally heavy rain are possible later today and tonight
which could result in localized flooding of poor drainage areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

High temperatures in the lower to mid 90s on Tuesday combined with a
very humid airmass will result in afternoon heat index values of 100
to 105.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 6, 2:06 PM EDT, 1 hour 44 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
206 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0142 PM     Flash Flood      1 NW Bowmore            34.95N 79.33W
07/06/2025                   Hoke               NC   911 Call Center

            Norton Road flooded and closed due to flood
            waters.

&&

np
Local storm report, Jul 6, 2:42 PM EDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
242 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0224 PM     Flash Flood      1 NNE Aberdeen          35.15N 79.42W
07/06/2025                   Moore              NC   Public

            Received a public report with photo which
            shows impassable depth and rapidly-flowing
            water covering US 15-501 in Southern Pines.

&&

np

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 5, 8:25 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHChatham, Lee65 min
Jul 6, 1:52 AM EDTFlood WatchRAHAlamance, Anson, Chatham, Cumberland, Davidson, Durham and 18 more24 hr
Jul 6, 5:53 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHSampson52 min
Jul 6, 6:59 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHSampson, Wayne61 min
Jul 6, 10:52 AM EDTTornado WarningRAHHoke38 min
Jul 6, 11:33 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHHoke, Scotland3 hr
Jul 6, 12:54 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHHoke, Lee, Moore36 min
Jul 6, 1:22 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHHarnett, Hoke, Lee, Montgomery, Moore, Richmond and 1 more14 hr
Jul 6, 1:30 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHEdgecombe, Nash, Wilson45 min
Jul 6, 1:49 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHHarnett, Lee41 min
Jul 6, 3:08 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHAlamance, Chatham, Durham, Guilford, Lee, Orange and 2 more8 hr
Jul 6, 3:19 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHChatham, Lee26 min
Jul 6, 3:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAlamance, Chatham, Durham, Orange, Wake47 min
Jul 6, 3:48 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHAlamance, Chatham, Orange16 min
Jul 6, 5:01 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHAlamance, Durham, Orange2 hr
Jul 6, 5:47 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHAlamance, Durham, Orange58 min
Jul 6, 6:13 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHAlamance, Orange32 min
Jul 6, 6:38 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHAlamance, Orange9 min
Jul 6, 6:56 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatRAHMoore6 hr
Jul 6, 6:58 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHAlamance, Orange21 min
Jul 6, 7:04 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHAlamance, Durham, Orange6 hr
Jul 6, 7:37 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHChatham33 hr
Jul 6, 7:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHAlamance, Chatham, Durham, Orange77 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2025Every flash flood warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.