Flash Flood Warning 33, NWS Raleigh, NC

322 
WGUS72 KRAH 061851
FFSRAH

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
251 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

NCC085-061901-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FF.W.0033.000000T0000Z-250706T2115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Harnett NC-
251 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR SOUTHWESTERN HARNETT 
COUNTY...

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat, however there may 
be lingering water on roadways and area creeks and streams may still 
be running high. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 600 AM EDT Monday for a 
portion of central North Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3551 8007 3551 7934 3555 7930 3553 7927
      3556 7924 3556 7919 3542 7907 3527 7922
      3511 7924 3508 7936 3498 7955 3491 7956
      3486 7963 3501 7990 3504 7988 3512 7992
      3515 8001

$$

NCC093-105-123-125-153-165-062115-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.W.0033.000000T0000Z-250706T2115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hoke NC-Lee NC-Montgomery NC-Moore NC-Richmond NC-Scotland NC-
251 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EDT THIS 
AFTERNOON FOR NORTHWESTERN HOKE, LEE, MONTGOMERY, MOORE, RICHMOND 
AND NORTH CENTRAL SCOTLAND COUNTIES...

At 251 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across the warned area. 4 to 6 inches of rain have fallen 
across portions of Moore and Richmond counties, with widespread 1 to 
3 inches elsewhere in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing in 
Moore County and is ongoing or expected to begin shortly elsewhere 
in the warned area.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Sanford, Southern Pines, Rockingham, Troy, Carthage, Pinehurst, 
  Aberdeen, Biscoe, Hoffman, Whispering Pines, Pinebluff, Robbins, 
  Ellerbe, Foxfire, Star, Dobbins Heights, Candor and Taylortown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3551 8007 3551 7934 3555 7930 3553 7927
      3556 7924 3556 7919 3542 7907 3527 7922
      3511 7924 3508 7936 3498 7955 3491 7956
      3486 7963 3501 7990 3504 7988 3512 7992
      3515 8001

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

10

178 
WGUS72 KRAH 061913
FFSRAH

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
313 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

NCC165-061923-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FF.W.0033.000000T0000Z-250706T2115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Scotland NC-
313 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR NORTH CENTRAL SCOTLAND 
COUNTY...

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to 
heed remaining road closures.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 600 AM EDT Monday for a 
portion of central North Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3551 8007 3551 7934 3555 7930 3553 7927
      3556 7924 3556 7919 3542 7907 3527 7922
      3511 7924 3508 7936 3503 7945 3504 7946
      3503 7951 3499 7957 3515 8001

$$

NCC093-105-123-125-153-062115-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.W.0033.000000T0000Z-250706T2115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hoke NC-Lee NC-Montgomery NC-Moore NC-Richmond NC-
313 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EDT THIS 
AFTERNOON FOR NORTHWESTERN HOKE, LEE, MONTGOMERY, MOORE AND 
NORTHEASTERN RICHMOND COUNTIES...

At 313 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across the warned area. 4 to 6 inches of rain have fallen 
across portions of Moore and Richmond counties, with widespread 1 to 
3 inches elsewhere in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing in 
Moore County and is ongoing or expected to begin shortly elsewhere 
in the warned area.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
         urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Sanford, Southern Pines, Carthage, Pinehurst, Aberdeen, Biscoe, 
  Hoffman, Whispering Pines, Pinebluff, Robbins, Ellerbe, Foxfire, 
  Star, Candor, Taylortown, Vass, Cameron and Norman.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3551 8007 3551 7934 3555 7930 3553 7927
      3556 7924 3556 7919 3542 7907 3527 7922
      3511 7924 3508 7936 3503 7945 3504 7946
      3503 7951 3499 7957 3515 8001

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

10

466 
WGUS52 KRAH 062036
FFWRAH
NCC093-105-123-125-153-062315-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FF.W.0033.000000T0000Z-250706T2315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
436 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northwestern Hoke County in central North Carolina...
  Lee County in central North Carolina...
  Montgomery County in central North Carolina...
  Moore County in central North Carolina...
  Northeastern Richmond County in central North Carolina...

* Until 715 PM EDT.

* At 436 PM EDT, Emergency management reported widespread flooding 
  across Moore County, where doppler radar indicates 4 to 6 inches 
  of rain has fallen. Widespread 1 to 3 inches elsewhere in the 
  warned area and flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
  shortly.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
           urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Sanford, Southern Pines, Troy, Carthage, Pinehurst, Aberdeen, 
  Biscoe, Hoffman, Whispering Pines, Pinebluff, Robbins, Foxfire, 
  Star, Candor, Taylortown, Vass, Cameron and Norman.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3551 8007 3551 7934 3555 7930 3553 7927
      3556 7924 3556 7919 3542 7907 3527 7922
      3511 7924 3508 7936 3503 7945 3504 7946
      3503 7951 3499 7957 3515 8001

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

10

311 
WGUS52 KRAH 062309
FFWRAH
NCC093-105-123-125-153-070315-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FF.W.0033.000000T0000Z-250707T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
709 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northwestern Hoke County in central North Carolina...
  Lee County in central North Carolina...
  Montgomery County in central North Carolina...
  Moore County in central North Carolina...
  Northeastern Richmond County in central North Carolina...

* Until 1115 PM EDT.

* At 709 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated the heavy rain has largely 
  ended, however earlier thunderstorms produced up to 7 inches of 
  over Moore County. Flooding is ongoing.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Sanford, Southern Pines, Troy, Carthage, Pinehurst, Aberdeen, 
  Biscoe, Hoffman, Whispering Pines, Pinebluff, Robbins, Foxfire, 
  Star, Candor, Taylortown, Vass, Cameron and Norman.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3551 8007 3551 7934 3555 7930 3553 7927
      3556 7924 3556 7919 3542 7907 3527 7922
      3511 7924 3508 7936 3503 7945 3504 7946
      3503 7951 3499 7957 3515 8001

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

10

527 
WGUS72 KRAH 062328
FFSRAH

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
728 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

NCC123-153-062338-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FF.W.0033.000000T0000Z-250707T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Montgomery NC-Richmond NC-
728 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR MONTGOMERY AND NORTHEASTERN 
RICHMOND COUNTIES...

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to 
heed remaining road closures.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 600 AM EDT Monday for a 
portion of central North Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3507 7957 3512 7958 3519 7966 3524 7967
      3525 7970 3551 7977 3551 7934 3555 7930
      3553 7927 3556 7924 3556 7919 3542 7907
      3527 7922 3511 7924 3508 7936 3503 7945
      3506 7948

$$

NCC093-105-125-070315-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.W.0033.000000T0000Z-250707T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hoke NC-Lee NC-Moore NC-
728 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM EDT THIS 
EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN HOKE, LEE AND MOORE COUNTIES...

At 728 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated the heavy rain has largely 
ended, however earlier thunderstorms produced up to 7 inches of over 
Moore County. Flooding is ongoing.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Sanford, Southern Pines, Carthage, Pinehurst, Aberdeen, Whispering 
  Pines, Pinebluff, Robbins, Foxfire, Taylortown, Vass, Cameron, 
  Glendon, Seven Lakes, Highfalls, Eagle Springs, Tramway, Ashley 
  Heights, Lemon Springs and Gum Springs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3507 7957 3512 7958 3519 7966 3524 7967
      3525 7970 3551 7977 3551 7934 3555 7930
      3553 7927 3556 7924 3556 7919 3542 7907
      3527 7922 3511 7924 3508 7936 3503 7945
      3506 7948

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

10

057 
WGUS72 KRAH 070309
FFSRAH

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1109 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

NCC093-105-070319-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FF.W.0033.000000T0000Z-250707T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hoke NC-Lee NC-
1109 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR NORTHWESTERN HOKE AND LEE 
COUNTIES...

Heavy rain that produced flooding earlier has ended and rivers and 
creeks are falling. The threat of widespread flooding has ended.


&&

LAT...LON 3526 7970 3551 7977 3551 7935 3550 7934
      3547 7936 3542 7933 3540 7929 3535 7927
      3531 7918 3527 7922 3521 7923 3521 7925
      3516 7933 3504 7946 3506 7948 3507 7957
      3512 7958 3519 7966 3524 7967

$$

NCC125-070315-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.W.0033.000000T0000Z-250707T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Moore NC-
1109 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM EDT THIS 
EVENING FOR MOORE COUNTY...

At 1109 PM EDT, radar estimates and observations indicate that 
between 3 and 7 inches of rain fell across the areas and flash 
flooding was observed. Numerous rivers and creeks flooded roads 
earlier and while the rain has ended and water is beginning to 
recede, some lingering areas of flooding remain. Please do not 
travel as the dangers of flooding are hard to see at night.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
         urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that have and may still experience flash flooding 
include...Southern Pines, Carthage, Pinehurst, Aberdeen, Whispering 
Pines, Pinebluff, Robbins, Vass, Cameron, Seven Lakes, Eagle 
Springs, and Glendon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3526 7970 3551 7977 3551 7935 3550 7934
      3547 7936 3542 7933 3540 7929 3535 7927
      3531 7918 3527 7922 3521 7923 3521 7925
      3516 7933 3504 7946 3506 7948 3507 7957
      3512 7958 3519 7966 3524 7967

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

Blaes

588 
WGUS52 KRAH 070310
FFWRAH
NCC125-070600-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FF.W.0033.000000T0000Z-250707T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1110 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Moore County in central North Carolina...

* Until 200 AM EDT.

* At 1110 PM EDT, radar estimates and observations indicate that 
  between 3 and 7 inches of rain fell across the areas and flash 
  flooding was observed. Numerous rivers and creeks flooded roads 
  earlier and while the rain has ended and water is beginning to 
  recede, some lingering areas of flooding remain. Please do not 
  travel as the dangers of flooding are hard to see at night.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Emergency management reported.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Southern Pines, Carthage, Pinehurst, Aberdeen, Whispering Pines, 
  Pinebluff, Robbins, Foxfire, Taylortown, Vass, Cameron, Seven 
  Lakes, Eagle Springs, Highfalls and Glendon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3526 7970 3551 7977 3551 7935 3550 7934
      3547 7936 3542 7933 3540 7929 3535 7927
      3531 7918 3527 7922 3521 7923 3521 7925
      3516 7933 3504 7946 3506 7948 3507 7957
      3512 7958 3519 7966 3524 7967

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

Blaes

059 
WGUS52 KRAH 070532
FFWRAH
NCC125-070700-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FF.W.0033.000000T0000Z-250707T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
132 AM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Moore County in central North Carolina...

* Until 300 AM EDT.

* At 132 AM EDT, emergency management and public safety officials 
  report flooded roads in Moore County. Between 3 and 8 inches of 
  rain have fallen. While the rain has ended, creeks and streams 
  will remain high overnight and lingering flood waters will be slow 
  to recede. Use caution when traveling tonight as it is difficult 
  to identify the dangers of flooding at night.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by heavy rain.

  SOURCE...Emergency management reported.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Southern Pines, Carthage, Pinehurst, Aberdeen, Whispering Pines, 
  Pinebluff, Robbins, Taylortown, Vass, Cameron, and Glendon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3526 7970 3551 7977 3551 7935 3550 7934
      3547 7936 3542 7933 3540 7929 3535 7927
      3531 7918 3527 7922 3521 7923 3521 7925
      3516 7933 3504 7946 3506 7948 3507 7957
      3512 7958 3519 7966 3524 7967

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

Blaes

140 
WGUS72 KRAH 070702 RRA
FFSRAH

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
302 AM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

NCC125-070712-
/O.EXP.KRAH.FF.W.0033.000000T0000Z-250707T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Moore NC-
302 AM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR MOORE COUNTY...

The threat for flash flooding has ended. While the rain has ended, 
creeks and streams will remain high overnight into Monday morning 
and lingering flood waters will be slow to recede. Use caution when 
traveling early this morning as it is difficult to identify the 
dangers of flooding at night. Please continue to heed remaining road 
closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3526 7970 3551 7977 3551 7935 3550 7934
      3547 7936 3542 7933 3540 7929 3535 7927
      3531 7918 3527 7922 3521 7923 3521 7925
      3516 7933 3504 7946 3506 7948 3507 7957
      3512 7958 3519 7966 3524 7967

$$

AS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1233 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Tropical Depression Chantal will weaken to a remnant low as it
drifts northeastward through central North Carolina this afternoon
through tonight. This low will exit to our northeast early Monday,
leaving behind a weak surface trough through central North Carolina
and above normal temperatures over our area through mid week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY AND TONIGHT/...
As of 250 AM Sunday...

* Flood Watch in effect for all but the northeast zones of central NC

* Remnants of Chantal will bring a low-end tornado threat for the
  Sandhills into the Central Coastal Plain south of US-1

A Flood Watch was hoisted for all but the northeast zones of central
NC. The remnants of Tropical Storm Chantal will bring widespread
showers and embedded storms to most of central NC through early Mon
with highs this afternoon mainly in the 80s. Chantal as of 2 am was
about 85 miles southwest of Wilmington, NC, with maximum sustained
winds of 50 kt (60 mph) and 1002 mb. Satellite and radar do depict
the system is starting to wrap up and become more defined. The
latest NHC track takes the system to the NW before moving into the
central NC Sandhills and weakening as a depression as it tracks ENE
into the northern Coastal Plain by Mon morning.

While the model guidance has come into much better agreement with
regards to Chantal's track and QPF footprint, there is still some
uncertainty. Nevertheless, there was enough confidence to go with a
Flood Watch for most of the area. In discussions with WPC with
respect to left/right track solutions, the anticipated QPF footprint
did not change much from the day shift Sat. If anything, the system
may be moving a bit faster overall. The highest QPF, based on a
suite of model guidance, including the CAMs/HREF and which matches
well with the ECMWF AIFS model, shows the highest totals from the
Triangle westward, over the western and southern Piedmont to
Sandhills region of central NC. It appears that a trough over the MO
valley region to Great Lakes and over the north-central Gulf may be
helping to pull Chantal further to the NW, producing a band of
higher QPF on its NW side. In this region of central NC, rainfall
amounts of 1 to 3 inches, locally 4+, are possible. However, as has
happened so often in our area, the QPF footprint may be off by 50 to
100 miles. Also, some guidance is still indicating other alternate
scenarios, such as the HRRR, which shows higher totals to the north
and east of Chantal over the Coastal Plain. As such, given this
potential uncertainty, we included portions of the Coastal Plain in
the Flood Watch, in case minor changes to the track/QPF occur with
future updates.

In addition to the flash flood threat, a tornado threat will exist
for the Sandhills to the central Coastal Plain, largely south and
east of the Triangle. Enhanced low-level flow/shear and instability
with low/mid 70s dewpoints will favor the potential for low-topped
supercells over eastern NC, where the right front quadrant of
Chantal will overspread. It would appear the greatest threat for any
isolated tornadoes would be between mid-morning into early evening,
when the system is more wrapped up, during peak heating, and prior
to becoming an extratropical depression.

Pockets of scattered showers and embedded storms will exist into the
overnight, but should lessen after midnight as the system pulls NE.
Lows will be in the low/mid 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 250 AM Sunday...

The remnants of Chantal will gradually lift NE into VA during the
aftn or eve on Mon. Morning pockets of showers and clouds should
give way to some partial sunshine in the aftn/eve as weak westerly
flow aloft overspreads the area. That should favor a warmer and also
humid day with upper 80s E to low 90s W. Even with its departure,
scattered showers and storms will be possible, especially along/east
of US-1 closer to the departing low. That said, I would not be
surprised if there is less overall storm coverage owing to weak
westerly downslope flow. There will, however, be a weak trough over
the OH valley with a developing weak lee trough in western NC that
could still favor isolated/scattered storms. Any storms should die
out after sunset, with lows muggy in the mid 70s with possible fog
and stratus.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 1233 PM Sunday...

Expect a return to diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms on
Tuesday after a surface trough sets up across the central portion of
North Carolina. Tuesday is also expected to have the least cloud
cover of any day this week, which will help it to be the warmest day
of the week - widespread low to mid 90s are in the forecast for
temperatures and it is the primary day that may reach heat advisory
criteria of 105 degrees. The entire forecast area is under a
marginal (level 1 of 5) risk for severe thunderstorms on Tuesday,
primarily due to the inverted-V soundings which could mix stronger
wind down to the surface. The storms will have plenty of instability
to work with, although deep level shear will be weak and will have a
harder time organizing thunderstorms.

As an upper trough develops over the eastern half of the United
States for the second half of the week, this will increase the
coverage of showers and thunderstorms Wednesday, Thursday, and
Friday. This should result in a slight reduction of temperatures -
although most places will still reach the low 90s on Wednesday and
highs in the upper 80s will be more typical on Thursday and Friday
with the increased cloud cover. Once the trough axis moves farther
east and gets closer to the Atlantic coastline over the weekend,
coverage of showers and thunderstorms should decrease somewhat,
returning more to scattered showers/storms each afternoon, with a
slight increase in highs back into the low 90s. While some upper 60s
are possible for overnight lows, most locations will not fall out of
the 70s through much of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 1230 PM Sunday...

Adverse aviation conditions will dominate at all terminals across
central NC through much of tonight, with SW-to-NE improvement Mon
morning. What is now TD Chantal centered just S of LBT will continue
to track slowly to the NNE and NE through central NC through
tonight, while continuing to weaken to a remnant low. Numerous to
widespread showers, and isolated storms, will bring MVFR to IFR
conditions (both cigs and vsbys) as the storm center tracks through,
with the IFR conditions most likely where the rain is heaviest. Wind
concerns are now lower as the storm weakens, although sporadic
surface gusts up to 15-20 kts are possible anywhere, with isolated
up to 20-35 kts in and near the heavier showers and isolated storms,
mostly this afternoon through early evening. Once the low center
tracks NE of central NC early Mon morning, leaving behind a weak
trough down through the area, cigs and vsbys will quickly trend to
VFR, with just mid and high clouds over the area and light surface
winds through the end of the TAF valid period.

Looking beyond 18z Mon, a few showers and storms are possible with
heating Mon from mid afternoon to early evening, mainly at RWI/FAY.
Additional rounds of scattered storms are expected each afternoon
through mid evening Tue-Fri as a weak upper trough holds to our
west, and early-morning areas of sub-VFR fog and stratus are
possible each day Wed-Fri. -GIH

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through late tonight for NCZ007-008-021>025-038>042-
073>078-083>086-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Hartfield
NEAR TERM...Kren
SHORT TERM...Kren
LONG TERM...Green
AVIATION...Hartfield

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
454 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

NCZ042-077-078-085-086-088-089-070900-
Johnston-Harnett-Wayne-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
454 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

In addition to the potential for locally heavy rain, an isolated,
brief tornado or two is also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

High temperatures in the lower to mid 90s on Tuesday combined with a
very humid airmass will result in afternoon heat index values of 100
to 105.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

NCZ007-008-024-025-040-041-073>076-083-084-070900-
Person-Granville-Orange-Durham-Chatham-Wake-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-
Lee-Anson-Richmond-
454 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

High temperatures in the lower to mid 90s on Tuesday combined with a
very humid airmass will result in afternoon heat index values of 100
to 105.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ021>023-038-039-070900-
Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Davidson-Randolph-
454 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ009>011-026>028-043-070900-
Vance-Warren-Halifax-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Wilson-
454 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Periods of locally heavy rain are possible later today and tonight
which could result in localized flooding of poor drainage areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

High temperatures in the lower to mid 90s on Tuesday combined with a
very humid airmass will result in afternoon heat index values of 100
to 105.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.