Alert archive / Iowa / Adair County
Weather alerts in Adair County, Iowa, 2015
118 weather alerts in 2015, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Adair County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 118
- Warnings
- 25
- Watches
- 27
- Advisories
- 31
- Busiest month
- November20 alerts
- Busiest day
- June 25, 20157 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
0 of 3 tornado warnings covering Adair County in 2015 had a tornado report inside them.
Adair County, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 3 | 0 | 100% | 0 | ||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 11 | 9 | 18% | 7 | 71% | 15 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 0 | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Des Moines, IA: tornado warnings | 38 | 14 | 63% | 37 | 62% | 13 min |
| NWS Des Moines, IA: severe thunderstorm warnings | 201 | 101 | 50% | 301 | 78% | 19 min |
| NWS Des Moines, IA: flash flood warnings | 39 | 22 | 44% | 86 | 86% | 121 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 3:51 AM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | DMX | 26 hr |
| Jan 4, 6:07 AM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | DMX | 27 hr |
| Jan 5, 4:11 AM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | DMX | 19 hr |
| Jan 6, 4:15 AM CST | Wind Chill Warning | DMX | 32 hr |
| Jan 6, 4:15 AM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | DMX | 53 hr |
| Jan 28, 3:36 PM CST | Wind Advisory | DMX | 17 hr |
| Jan 30, 10:48 AM CST | Winter Storm Watch | DMX | 17 hr |
| Jan 31, 3:31 AM CST | Winter Storm Warning | DMX | 41 hr |
| Feb 3, 3:22 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | DMX | 22 hr |
| Feb 17, 3:51 AM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | DMX | 32 hr |
| Feb 20, 3:08 PM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | DMX | 67 hr |
| Feb 24, 11:34 AM CST | Winter Storm Watch | DMX | 4 hr |
| Feb 24, 3:19 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | DMX | 30 hr |
| Mar 14, 11:06 AM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | DMX | 17 hr |
| Mar 15, 3:41 AM CDT | Red Flag Warning | DMX | 15 hr |
| Mar 16, 3:43 AM CDT | Red Flag Warning | DMX | 15 hr |
| Mar 20, 5:18 AM CDT | Dense Fog Advisory | DMX | 4 hr |
| Mar 28, 3:44 PM CDT | Wind Advisory | DMX | 26 hr |
| Mar 30, 4:14 AM CDT | Red Flag Warning | DMX | 15 hr |
| Mar 31, 3:38 PM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | DMX | 12 hr |
| Apr 1, 3:46 AM CDT | Red Flag Warning | DMX | 15 hr |
| Apr 8, 9:12 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | 33 min |
| Apr 20, 3:45 AM CDT | Wind Advisory | DMX | 15 hr |
| Apr 22, 3:23 PM CDT | Freeze Warning | DMX | 17 hr |
| May 3, 3:57 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 10, 10:46 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| May 15, 12:05 AM CDT | Dense Fog Advisory | DMX | 9 hr |
| May 25, 5:08 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 67 min |
| May 25, 5:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| May 25, 8:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| Jun 6, 11:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jun 7, 1:56 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 10, 2:12 PM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | DMX | 38 hr |
| Jun 11, 1:53 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 20, 3:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 22, 1:22 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Jun 23, 3:59 PM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | DMX | 38 hr |
| Jun 24, 12:39 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 66 min |
| Jun 24, 10:19 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jun 24, 2:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 24, 5:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 24, 6:21 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jun 24, 7:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | 45 min |
| Jun 24, 7:19 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | 26 min |
| Jun 24, 7:21 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | 24 min |
| Jun 24, 7:45 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | 45 min |
| Jun 24, 7:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jun 24, 8:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | 17 min |
| Jun 24, 11:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jul 11, 3:19 PM CDT | Heat Advisory | DMX | 28 hr |
| Jul 11, 3:19 PM CDT | Heat Advisory | DMX | 52 hr |
| Jul 15, 9:22 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Jul 15, 11:52 PM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | DMX | 10 hr |
| Jul 17, 3:57 AM CDT | Heat Advisory | DMX | 15 hr |
| Jul 18, 4:12 AM CDT | Heat Advisory | DMX | 12 hr |
| Jul 23, 3:55 PM CDT | Heat Advisory | DMX | 28 hr |
| Jul 24, 6:47 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Jul 24, 9:26 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DMX | 49 min |
| Jul 28, 3:40 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 28, 5:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jul 28, 8:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Aug 2, 4:48 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 2, 5:02 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DMX | 58 min |
| Aug 2, 5:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | 38 min |
| Aug 2, 5:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | 45 min |
| Aug 2, 6:22 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 53 min |
| Aug 2, 6:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | 49 min |
| Aug 2, 7:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | 51 min |
| Aug 8, 3:42 PM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | DMX | 15 hr |
| Aug 8, 8:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| Aug 8, 8:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Aug 10, 12:14 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | 46 min |
| Aug 22, 2:55 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 65 min |
| Aug 22, 3:48 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Aug 22, 6:21 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
| Aug 22, 8:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Aug 30, 6:08 AM CDT | Dense Fog Advisory | DMX | 4 hr |
| Sep 6, 4:06 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | DMX | 28 hr |
| Sep 6, 6:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Sep 6, 8:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| Sep 6, 11:41 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 64 min |
| Sep 7, 4:21 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | DMX | 30 hr |
| Sep 17, 5:47 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Sep 18, 10:34 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DMX | 56 min |
| Sep 22, 1:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
| Sep 22, 4:09 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DMX | 66 min |
| Sep 23, 9:17 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | DMX | 19 hr |
| Oct 11, 3:59 PM CDT | Wind Advisory | DMX | 26 hr |
| Oct 16, 3:54 AM CDT | Frost Advisory | DMX | 29 hr |
| Oct 18, 2:56 PM CDT | Red Flag Warning | DMX | 28 hr |
| Nov 3, 8:35 AM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | DMX | 2 hr |
| Nov 10, 3:20 AM CST | High Wind Watch | DMX | 24 hr |
| Nov 10, 3:39 PM CST | High Wind Warning | DMX | 38 hr |
| Nov 10, 3:39 PM CST | Wind Advisory | DMX | 50 hr |
| Nov 11, 10:17 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Nov 11, 11:25 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Nov 11, 1:42 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| Nov 11, 2:01 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | 44 min |
| Nov 11, 2:12 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | 48 min |
| Nov 11, 2:13 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | DMX | 92 min |
| Nov 11, 2:30 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | 45 min |
| Nov 18, 3:12 PM CST | Wind Advisory | DMX | 27 hr |
| Nov 18, 4:05 PM CST | Winter Storm Watch | DMX | 36 hr |
| Nov 20, 4:19 AM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | DMX | 26 hr |
| Nov 25, 3:52 AM CST | Winter Storm Watch | DMX | 24 hr |
| Nov 26, 4:13 AM CST | Freezing Rain Advisory | DMX | 22 hr |
| Nov 26, 7:18 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Nov 28, 3:55 PM CST | Winter Storm Watch | DMX | 24 hr |
| Nov 29, 3:46 PM CST | Winter Storm Warning | DMX | 36 hr |
| Nov 29, 3:46 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | DMX | 36 hr |
| Dec 6, 8:12 PM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | DMX | 15 hr |
| Dec 24, 3:27 AM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | DMX | 15 hr |
| Dec 25, 4:38 AM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | DMX | 4 hr |
| Dec 25, 9:10 AM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | DMX | 6 hr |
| Dec 26, 3:46 PM CST | Winter Storm Watch | DMX | 23 hr |
| Dec 27, 4:46 AM CST | Winter Storm Warning | DMX | 49 hr |
| Dec 28, 3:35 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Dec 28, 3:42 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 4 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 11 |
| Tornado Warning | 3 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 6 |
| Tornado Watch | 5 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 30 |
| Special Weather Statement | 5 |
| Flooding | |
| Flash Flood Watch | 7 |
| Winter | |
| Winter Storm Warning | 3 |
| Winter Storm Watch | 6 |
| Freezing Rain Advisory | 1 |
| Winter Weather Advisory | 7 |
| Heat | |
| Heat Advisory | 5 |
| Cold | |
| Freeze Warning | 1 |
| Wind Chill Warning | 1 |
| Frost Advisory | 1 |
| Wind Chill Advisory | 4 |
| Wind and dust | |
| High Wind Warning | 1 |
| High Wind Watch | 1 |
| Wind Advisory | 6 |
| Fire | |
| Red Flag Warning | 5 |
| Fire Weather Watch | 2 |
| Fog and smoke | |
| Dense Fog Advisory | 7 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20142016
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.