Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 285

June 11, 201519 counties in Iowa; 13 counties in Missouri; 10 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 11, 2015, 1:53 PM CDT for 19 counties in Iowa; 13 counties in Missouri; 10 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 11, 2015, 1:53 PM CDT (18:53 UTC)
Expired
Jun 11, 2015, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 42 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO, Cass County, NE, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

39 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 11, 2:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXGage, Johnson33 min
Jun 11, 3:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXFremont, Page3 hr
Jun 11, 3:27 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXOtoe3 hr
Jun 11, 3:34 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXFremont, Page26 min
Jun 11, 3:36 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXAtchison24 min
Jun 11, 3:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Holt48 min
Jun 11, 3:57 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXAtchison, Nodaway33 min
Jun 11, 4:09 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedEAXAtchison, Nodaway18 min
Jun 11, 4:13 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXAtchison, Holt, Nodaway4 hr
Jun 11, 4:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPage29 min
Jun 11, 4:44 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXNodaway6 min
Jun 11, 4:46 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXHolt29 min
Jun 11, 4:47 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXHolt, Nodaway28 min
Jun 11, 4:49 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXGage, Johnson, Pawnee26 min
Jun 11, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXRichardson22 min
Jun 11, 5:12 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXNodaway33 min
Jun 11, 5:40 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXGentry, Nodaway, Worth7 hr
Jun 11, 5:40 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXGentry, Nodaway26 min
Jun 11, 5:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXHarrison, Worth46 min
Jun 11, 5:57 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXGentry, Harrison, Worth33 min
Jun 11, 6:04 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXRinggold, Taylor6 hr
Jun 11, 6:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Holt, Nodaway48 min
Jun 11, 6:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXTaylor41 min
Jun 11, 6:20 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXAndrew, Holt4 hr
Jun 11, 6:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXGrundy, Harrison, Mercer40 min
Jun 11, 6:25 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXGentry, Harrison, Worth4 hr
Jun 11, 6:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdams, Union33 min
Jun 11, 6:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, DeKalb, Gentry39 min
Jun 11, 6:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXGrundy, Mercer, Putnam, Sullivan50 min
Jun 11, 7:11 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXAndrew, Buchanan, Caldwell, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb and 2 more6 hr
Jun 11, 7:14 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXAdair, Grundy, Harrison, Mercer, Putnam, Schuyler and 1 more6 hr
Jun 11, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Buchanan, DeKalb43 min
Jun 11, 7:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXPutnam, Sullivan43 min
Jun 11, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCaldwell, Daviess, DeKalb, Grundy, Livingston48 min
Jun 11, 7:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Putnam, Schuyler, Sullivan51 min
Jun 11, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAppanoose, Monroe, Wayne44 min
Jun 11, 8:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXGrundy, Linn, Livingston, Sullivan38 min
Jun 11, 8:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAppanoose, Davis, Monroe, Wapello45 min
Jun 11, 8:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Macon, Schuyler50 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 100 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2015-06-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2015-06-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 288 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
630 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
288 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
416 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

560 
WWUS20 KWNS 111851
SEL5  
SPC WW 111851
IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-120200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 285
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
155 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHWEST IOWA
  NORTHWEST MISSOURI
  SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 155 PM UNTIL
  900 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM OVER
SOUTHEAST NEB AND TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS
AFTERNOON.  LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREATS. 
HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO COULD PRODUCE TORNADOES.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES NORTHEAST OF
SHENANDOAH IOWA TO 25 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF FALLS CITY
NEBRASKA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 284...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 11, 1:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Cass, Fremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page and 2 more119 min
Jun 11, 5:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDecatur, Fremont, Page, Ringgold, Taylor, Wayne87 min
Jun 11, 4:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Buchanan, Clay, Clinton, Platte58 min
Jun 11, 5:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBuchanan, Caldwell, Clay, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb and 3 more7 hr
Jun 10, 8:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Boone, Buffalo, Butler, Clay, Custer and 26 more64 min
Jun 11, 1:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Cheyenne, Kimball116 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2015Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2015Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.