Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 285
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 11, 2015, 1:53 PM CDT for 19 counties in Iowa; 13 counties in Missouri; 10 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 11, 2015, 1:53 PM CDT (18:53 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 11, 2015, 9:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 42 counties
Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO, Cass County, NE, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE
The radar
The Omaha radar (KOAX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
39 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Gage, Johnson | 33 min |
| Jun 11, 3:10 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OAX | Fremont, Page | 3 hr |
| Jun 11, 3:27 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OAX | Otoe | 3 hr |
| Jun 11, 3:34 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Fremont, Page | 26 min |
| Jun 11, 3:36 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Atchison | 24 min |
| Jun 11, 3:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Atchison, Holt | 48 min |
| Jun 11, 3:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Atchison, Nodaway | 33 min |
| Jun 11, 4:09 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Atchison, Nodaway | 18 min |
| Jun 11, 4:13 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Atchison, Holt, Nodaway | 4 hr |
| Jun 11, 4:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Page | 29 min |
| Jun 11, 4:44 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Nodaway | 6 min |
| Jun 11, 4:46 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Holt | 29 min |
| Jun 11, 4:47 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Holt, Nodaway | 28 min |
| Jun 11, 4:49 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Gage, Johnson, Pawnee | 26 min |
| Jun 11, 5:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Richardson | 22 min |
| Jun 11, 5:12 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Nodaway | 33 min |
| Jun 11, 5:40 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Gentry, Nodaway, Worth | 7 hr |
| Jun 11, 5:40 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Gentry, Nodaway | 26 min |
| Jun 11, 5:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Harrison, Worth | 46 min |
| Jun 11, 5:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Gentry, Harrison, Worth | 33 min |
| Jun 11, 6:04 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DMX | Ringgold, Taylor | 6 hr |
| Jun 11, 6:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Andrew, Holt, Nodaway | 48 min |
| Jun 11, 6:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Taylor | 41 min |
| Jun 11, 6:20 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Andrew, Holt | 4 hr |
| Jun 11, 6:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Grundy, Harrison, Mercer | 40 min |
| Jun 11, 6:25 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Gentry, Harrison, Worth | 4 hr |
| Jun 11, 6:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Adams, Union | 33 min |
| Jun 11, 6:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Andrew, DeKalb, Gentry | 39 min |
| Jun 11, 6:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Grundy, Mercer, Putnam, Sullivan | 50 min |
| Jun 11, 7:11 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Andrew, Buchanan, Caldwell, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb and 2 more | 6 hr |
| Jun 11, 7:14 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Adair, Grundy, Harrison, Mercer, Putnam, Schuyler and 1 more | 6 hr |
| Jun 11, 7:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Andrew, Buchanan, DeKalb | 43 min |
| Jun 11, 7:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Putnam, Sullivan | 43 min |
| Jun 11, 7:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Caldwell, Daviess, DeKalb, Grundy, Livingston | 48 min |
| Jun 11, 7:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Putnam, Schuyler, Sullivan | 51 min |
| Jun 11, 8:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Appanoose, Monroe, Wayne | 44 min |
| Jun 11, 8:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Grundy, Linn, Livingston, Sullivan | 38 min |
| Jun 11, 8:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Appanoose, Davis, Monroe, Wapello | 45 min |
| Jun 11, 8:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Macon, Schuyler | 50 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 100 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 630 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 36 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 288 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 416 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
560
WWUS20 KWNS 111851
SEL5
SPC WW 111851
IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-120200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 285
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
155 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST IOWA
NORTHWEST MISSOURI
SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 155 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM OVER
SOUTHEAST NEB AND TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREATS.
HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO COULD PRODUCE TORNADOES.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES NORTHEAST OF
SHENANDOAH IOWA TO 25 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF FALLS CITY
NEBRASKA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 284...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 1:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Cass, Fremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page and 2 more | 119 min |
| Jun 11, 5:48 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Decatur, Fremont, Page, Ringgold, Taylor, Wayne | 87 min |
| Jun 11, 4:47 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrew, Buchanan, Clay, Clinton, Platte | 58 min |
| Jun 11, 5:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Buchanan, Caldwell, Clay, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb and 3 more | 7 hr |
| Jun 10, 8:26 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Boone, Buffalo, Butler, Clay, Custer and 26 more | 64 min |
| Jun 11, 1:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Banner, Cheyenne, Kimball | 116 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2015Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2015Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.