Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 482
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 8, 2015, 8:51 PM CDT for 16 counties in Iowa; 11 counties in Missouri; 6 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 8, 2015, 8:51 PM CDT (01:51 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 9, 2015, 3:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 33 counties
Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Worth County, MO, Cass County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE
The radar
The Omaha radar (KOAX), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 8:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Nemaha, Richardson | 33 min |
| Aug 8, 9:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Nemaha | 28 min |
| Aug 8, 9:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Johnson, Nemaha | 27 min |
| Aug 8, 9:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Montgomery, Page | 39 min |
| Aug 8, 9:25 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Johnson, Nemaha | 35 min |
| Aug 8, 9:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Nemaha, Richardson | 29 min |
| Aug 8, 9:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Montgomery | 33 min |
| Aug 8, 10:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Nemaha, Richardson | 45 min |
| Aug 8, 10:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Richardson | 29 min |
| Aug 8, 10:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Richardson | 18 min |
| Aug 8, 10:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Atchison, Holt | 44 min |
| Aug 8, 10:33 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Richardson | 27 min |
| Aug 8, 10:41 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Atchison, Holt | 3 hr |
| Aug 8, 10:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Richardson | 30 min |
| Aug 8, 11:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Holt | 45 min |
| Aug 8, 11:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Dallas, Madison, Polk, Warren | 42 min |
| Aug 8, 11:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Andrew, Nodaway | 62 min |
| Aug 9, 12:00 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Andrew, Holt | 30 min |
| Aug 9, 12:49 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | DeKalb, Gentry | 26 min |
| Aug 9, 1:12 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Atchison, Nodaway | 3 hr |
| Aug 9, 1:21 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Fremont, Page | 24 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 119 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 430 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -176 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1221 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 27 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 277 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 3.2
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 8:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Cass, Clarke, Decatur, Fremont and 7 more | 114 min |
| Aug 8, 11:11 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Clarke, Decatur, Fremont, Montgomery, Page and 3 more | 94 min |
| Aug 9, 1:37 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Appanoose, Cass, Clarke, Davis, Decatur and 8 more | 83 min |
| Aug 9, 1:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cherokee, Lyon, Monona, O'Brien, Osceola, Plymouth and 2 more | 115 min |
| Aug 9, 1:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Cherokee, Ida, Lyon, O'Brien, Osceola, Plymouth and 2 more | 9 hr |
| Aug 9, 4:03 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cherokee, Ida, Lyon, O'Brien, Osceola, Plymouth and 2 more | 117 min |
| Aug 9, 3:55 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Bollinger, Boone, Callaway, Camden, Cape Girardeau and 40 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 9, 5:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Crawford, Dent, Franklin, Gasconade, Iron, Jefferson and 9 more | 4 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.