Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 499
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 22, 2015, 3:48 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 22, 2015, 3:48 PM CDT (20:48 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 23, 2015, 12:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 111 counties
Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Boone County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Greene County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Polk County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Story County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Warren County, IA, Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Miami County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osage County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Republic County, KS, Riley County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Smith County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Platte County, MO, Ray County, MO, Worth County, MO, Adams County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Clay County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Gage County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Polk County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE
The radar
The Omaha radar (KOAX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 95%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 50%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 80%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 4:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Harrison, Monona | 30 min |
| Aug 22, 5:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Gage, Saline | 27 min |
| Aug 22, 5:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Gage, Jefferson | 35 min |
| Aug 22, 6:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Pottawattamie | 29 min |
| Aug 22, 6:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Gage, Jefferson | 47 min |
| Aug 22, 6:47 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OAX | Gage | 3 hr |
| Aug 22, 6:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Fremont, Mills, Montgomery, Pottawattamie | 40 min |
| Aug 22, 6:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Gage, Jefferson | 39 min |
| Aug 22, 7:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Marshall, Washington | 51 min |
| Aug 22, 7:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Fremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page | 25 min |
| Aug 22, 7:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Marshall, Washington | 52 min |
| Aug 22, 8:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Marshall, Washington | 47 min |
| Aug 22, 8:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Clay, Marshall, Pottawatomie, Riley, Washington | 29 min |
| Aug 22, 8:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Pottawatomie, Riley | 46 min |
| Aug 22, 9:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Ringgold, Taylor | 47 min |
| Aug 22, 9:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Jewell, Smith | 39 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 58 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1047 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -293 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 629 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 19 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 194 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 157 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.6
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
252
WWUS20 KWNS 222047
SEL9
SPC WW 222047
IAZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-230500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 499
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
340 PM CDT SAT AUG 22 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND WESTERN IOWA
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KANSAS
WESTERN AND NORTHERN MISSOURI
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NEBRASKA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM 340 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT
CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT
GUSTS TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL
EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING A FEW LONGER-LIVED
SUPERCELLS...EXPECTED TO FORM OVER EASTERN NEB AND WESTERN IA OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE A FEW TORNADOES...IN
ADDITION TO VERY LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND...AS THEY
MOVE/DEVELOP GENERALLY EASTWARD. THE STORMS LIKELY WILL BE JOINED BY
ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY FORMING SOUTHWARD INTO PARTS OF NORTHERN KS AND
NW MO A BIT LATER THIS EVENING. THE STORMS LIKELY WILL MERGE INTO
ONE OR TWO LARGE CLUSTERS. THESE COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY A
CONTINUING RISK FOR SEVERE WIND...HAIL...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES AS
THEY MOVE GENERALLY S OR SE ACROSS NE KS...NW MO...AND SRN IA
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 120 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
DENISON IOWA TO 30 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANHATTAN KANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 497...WW 498...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2:13 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cerro Gordo and 33 more | 62 min |
| Aug 22, 2:35 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Buena Vista, Calhoun, Cerro Gordo, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson and 21 more | 7 hr |
| Aug 22, 2:55 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 19 more | 65 min |
| Aug 22, 5:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Buena Vista, Cerro Gordo, Clay, Emmet, Franklin, Hamilton and 10 more | 83 min |
| Aug 22, 6:12 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allamakee, Bremer, Butler, Chickasaw, Clayton, Fayette and 4 more | 63 min |
| Aug 22, 6:21 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Audubon, Carroll, Cass, Clarke and 15 more | 84 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2015Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2015Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.