Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 497
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 22, 2015, 2:35 PM CDT for 5 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 22, 2015, 2:35 PM CDT (19:35 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 22, 2015, 9:49 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 87 counties
Buena Vista County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Cherokee County, IA, Clay County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Ida County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Lyon County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Plymouth County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Sac County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Anoka County, MN, Benton County, MN, Big Stone County, MN, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Carver County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Cottonwood County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Jackson County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Lincoln County, MN, Lyon County, MN, Martin County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Murray County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Nobles County, MN, Pipestone County, MN, Pope County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rice County, MN, Rock County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Steele County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Washington County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Dakota County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Clay County, SD, Lincoln County, SD, Union County, SD, Pierce County, WI, Polk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI
The radar
The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 90%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 4:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Ida, Woodbury | 39 min |
| Aug 22, 4:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Pocahontas | 20 min |
| Aug 22, 5:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Benton, Kanabec, Mille Lacs, Morrison | 34 min |
| Aug 22, 7:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Saint Croix | 23 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 445 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -348 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1017 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 17 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -7 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 65 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
918
WWUS20 KWNS 221932
SEL7
SPC WW 221932
IAZ000-MNZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-WIZ000-230400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 497
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM CDT SAT AUG 22 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND WESTERN IOWA
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA
FAR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA
FAR EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
FAR WESTERN WISCONSIN
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING SHORT LINES AND BANDS OF
SUPERCELLS...EXPECTED TO FORM OVER WATCH AREA BEGINNING LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT. THE STORMS WILL MOVE/DEVELOP
GENERALLY NORTHEAST AND WILL BE CAPABLE OF TORNADOES...DAMAGING
WIND...AND HAIL.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
SAINT CLOUD MINNESOTA TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF STORM LAKE
IOWA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2:13 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cerro Gordo and 33 more | 62 min |
| Aug 22, 2:55 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 19 more | 65 min |
| Aug 22, 3:48 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 25 more | 8 hr |
| Aug 22, 5:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Buena Vista, Cerro Gordo, Clay, Emmet, Franklin, Hamilton and 10 more | 83 min |
| Aug 22, 6:12 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allamakee, Bremer, Butler, Chickasaw, Clayton, Fayette and 4 more | 63 min |
| Aug 22, 6:21 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Audubon, Carroll, Cass, Clarke and 15 more | 84 min |
| Aug 22, 2:35 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aitkin, Becker, Beltrami, Cass, Clay, Clearwater and 18 more | 55 min |
| Aug 22, 2:56 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Aitkin, Becker, Beltrami, Carlton, Cass, Clay and 20 more | 8 hr |
| Aug 22, 5:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aitkin, Becker, Beltrami, Carlton, Cass, Clearwater and 16 more | 93 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2015Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2015Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.