Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 497

August 22, 20155 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 22, 2015, 2:35 PM CDT for 5 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 22, 2015, 2:35 PM CDT (19:35 UTC)
Expired
Aug 22, 2015, 9:49 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 87 counties

Buena Vista County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Cherokee County, IA, Clay County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Ida County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Lyon County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Plymouth County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Sac County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Anoka County, MN, Benton County, MN, Big Stone County, MN, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Carver County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Cottonwood County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Jackson County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Lincoln County, MN, Lyon County, MN, Martin County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Murray County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Nobles County, MN, Pipestone County, MN, Pope County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rice County, MN, Rock County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Steele County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Washington County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Dakota County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Clay County, SD, Lincoln County, SD, Union County, SD, Pierce County, WI, Polk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
90%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 22, 4:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDIda, Woodbury39 min
Aug 22, 4:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXPocahontas20 min
Aug 22, 5:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBenton, Kanabec, Mille Lacs, Morrison34 min
Aug 22, 7:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXSaint Croix23 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2015-08-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 445 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2015-08-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -7 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
445 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-348 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1017 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-7 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
65 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

918 
WWUS20 KWNS 221932
SEL7  
SPC WW 221932
IAZ000-MNZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-WIZ000-230400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 497
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM CDT SAT AUG 22 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  NORTHERN AND WESTERN IOWA
  SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA
  FAR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA
  FAR EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
  FAR WESTERN WISCONSIN

* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
  1100 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
    TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING SHORT LINES AND BANDS OF
SUPERCELLS...EXPECTED TO FORM OVER WATCH AREA BEGINNING LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT. THE STORMS WILL MOVE/DEVELOP
GENERALLY NORTHEAST AND WILL BE CAPABLE OF TORNADOES...DAMAGING
WIND...AND HAIL.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
SAINT CLOUD MINNESOTA TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF STORM LAKE
IOWA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 22, 2:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cerro Gordo and 33 more62 min
Aug 22, 2:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 19 more65 min
Aug 22, 3:48 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 25 more8 hr
Aug 22, 5:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Cerro Gordo, Clay, Emmet, Franklin, Hamilton and 10 more83 min
Aug 22, 6:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Bremer, Butler, Chickasaw, Clayton, Fayette and 4 more63 min
Aug 22, 6:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Carroll, Cass, Clarke and 15 more84 min
Aug 22, 2:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Becker, Beltrami, Cass, Clay, Clearwater and 18 more55 min
Aug 22, 2:56 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAitkin, Becker, Beltrami, Carlton, Cass, Clay and 20 more8 hr
Aug 22, 5:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Becker, Beltrami, Carlton, Cass, Clearwater and 16 more93 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2015Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2015Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.