Tornado Warning 45, NWS Jackson, MS

415 
WWUS54 KJAN 151718
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

MSC163-151728-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0045.000000T0000Z-250315T1745Z/
Yazoo MS-
1218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL YAZOO COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CDT for central and
north central Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3347 8978 3342 8978 3342 8972 3340 8971
      3340 8967 3304 9021 3302 9035 3301 9037
      3301 9044 3299 9045 3298 9047 3303 9052
      3304 9052 3335 9024 3333 9018 3336 9017
      3334 9014 3354 8985
TIME...MOT...LOC 1718Z 220DEG 46KT 3330 9010 

$$

MSC015-051-053-151745-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0045.000000T0000Z-250315T1745Z/
Holmes MS-Carroll MS-Humphreys MS-
1218 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN
HOLMES...SOUTHERN CARROLL AND SOUTHEASTERN HUMPHREYS COUNTIES...

At 1218 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Seven Pines, or 12 miles north of Lexington, moving
northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Black Hawk, Coila, and Seven Pines around 1225 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3347 8978 3342 8978 3342 8972 3340 8971
      3340 8967 3304 9021 3302 9035 3301 9037
      3301 9044 3299 9045 3298 9047 3303 9052
      3304 9052 3335 9024 3333 9018 3336 9017
      3334 9014 3354 8985
TIME...MOT...LOC 1718Z 220DEG 46KT 3330 9010 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

86

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
949 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...New MESOSCALE UPDATE...

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
Issued at 934 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

Local radars were lit up with severe convection over our western
and delta regional zones. A severe weather outbreak is still
expected today. The 12Z Sat JAN sounding a decent cap at 850mb
that has helped suppress convection over central and east
Mississippi so far but, that cap is expected to erode. Recent
light shower development along and south of Interstate 20 was
already showing signs that the cap was eroding. In addition strong
gusty winds were being observed. These wind gusts will become
stronger this afternoon prompting the issuance of a Wind Advisory
for gusts of 45-50mph even away from storms. Otherwise, the
current Tornado Watch for the western half of the area expires at
1PM. A second Tornado Watch covering the eastern half of MS will
likely be issued prior to 1PM. Tornadoes, some strong to violent
and long-tracked remain the main threat with the storms this
afternoon. Damaging wind gusts and large hail will also be
possible. /22/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 230 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

Saturday through next Friday...

Saturday: A severe weather outbreak is expected today through
this evening as all modes of severe weather will be possible
including strong to violent, long-track tornadoes. Damaging winds
60-70 mph and large hail will be likely as well. As a strong,
upper lvl trough pushes towards the area, the low-lvl jet will
strengthen during the afternoon over the region. As a result,
strong deep- layer shear/SRH and favorable instability in place
will lead to multiple rounds of convection with supercell
potential throughout mid morning until the evening.

A high risk for severe weather continues to be advertised in the
greater threat area for violent tornadoes over central into east MS
where supercells will have great access to the most unstable air and
backed low level flow. Scattered to numerous supercells are likely
to develop in the warm sector, and given the fast cell motions and
classic nature of the storms, would expect the potential for long
tornado tracks, so this continues to be messaged. Outside of severe
storms, gusty winds are expected throughout the day. Heavy rainfall
is less of concern but flash flooding will be possible within areas
that experience training storms.

Sunday through next Friday: Ridging pattern along with upper-lvl
zonal flow will filter into the region into next week. Temps will
start off cooler but will be near seasonal averages. Next chance
for rainfall will come on Wednesday as a shortwave trough swings
through the area. Mostly showers and a brief cooldown are expected
with this disturbance. /SW/EC/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 645 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

Poor flying conditions are expected this morning and aftn. MVFR
cigs and gusty winds 25-30kts wl prevail through the aftn away
from +TSRA that will become numerous across the area today. At
1130Z a band of +TSRA was noted on local radars across the nw.
This band will continue shifting east today while additional +TSRA
develop ahead of the band. Conditions are expected to improve
this evening with VFR conditions areawide by 06Z. /22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       78  51  65  40 /  90  40   0   0
Meridian      77  51  68  39 /  90  60   0   0
Vicksburg     76  50  64  40 /  90  30   0   0
Hattiesburg   78  53  73  41 /  80  30   0   0
Natchez       77  50  65  40 /  90  20   0   0
Greenville    72  48  59  40 /  90  30   0   0
Greenwood     75  50  61  38 / 100  50  10   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ030>033-037>039-
     043>046-048>052-054>058-062>066-072>074.

LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

/SW/22

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1113 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1028 AM     Tornado          3 SW Grace              32.97N 90.99W
03/15/2025                   Issaquena          MS   Emergency Mngr

            Sharkey County EMA reports houses damaged
            and power lines down near Grace with an
            ambulance in route for possible injuries.

&&

EC

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1129 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1128 AM     Flash Flood      2 NNE Pioneer           32.76N 91.42W
03/15/2025                   West Carroll       LA   Law Enforcement

            Report of flooding on HWY-17 between Forest
            and Pioneer.

&&

KP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1130 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1009 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 WSW Ruleville         33.72N 90.57W
03/15/2025                   Sunflower          MS   Law Enforcement

            Law enforcement reported a tree down on a
            powerline near 101 Dorrough Rd in Ruleville.

&&

CR

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1136 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1056 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SSE Lake Providence   32.79N 91.18W
03/15/2025                   East Carroll       LA   Law Enforcement

            Report of multiple trees downed along
            HWY-65S as well as damage to residences and
            businesses in downtown Lake Providence.

&&

KP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1143 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1040 AM     Tornado          1 SSE Nitta Yuma        33.02N 90.84W
03/15/2025                   Sharkey            MS   Trained Spotter

            Utility pole snapped and trees snapped along
            US 61 just south of Nitta Yuma.

&&

DL

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1150 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     North Crossett          33.17N 91.94W
03/15/2025                   Ashley             AR   Law Enforcement

            Report of multiple trees downed along
            HWY-52, HWY-133, and Camp Rd.

&&

KP