Alert archive / Arkansas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2025

Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Jackson, MS

March 15, 2025Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas; Morehouse Parish, Louisiana; Washington County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this flash flood warning at Mar 15, 2025, 7:56 AM CDT for Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas; Morehouse Parish, Louisiana; Washington County, Mississippi. It was in force for 4 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 15, 2025, 7:56 AM CDT (12:56 UTC)
Expired: Mar 15, 2025, 12:00 PM CDT
In force: 4 hr
Issued by: NWS Jackson, MS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

Counties Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Morehouse Parish, LA, Washington County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 184 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 174 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1647 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -81 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 648 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 369 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 427 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 2.2
Supercell composite: 15.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

794 
WGUS54 KJAN 151256
FFWJAN
ARC003-017-LAC067-MSC151-151700-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FF.W.0003.250315T1256Z-250315T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
756 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Ashley County in southeastern Arkansas...
  Chicot County in southeastern Arkansas...
  Morehouse Parish in northeastern Louisiana...
  Northwestern Washington County in northwestern Mississippi...

* Until noon CDT.

* At 756 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 3 inches of rain 
  have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches are 
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected 
  to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Greenville, Bastrop, Crossett, Leland, Hamburg, Lake Village, 
  Dermott, North Crossett, Eudora, West Crossett, Metcalfe, Mer 
  Rouge, Wilmot, Portland, Montrose, Collinston, Bonita, Parkdale, 
  Fountain Hill and Oak Ridge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3326 9206 3330 9198 3338 9196 3340 9199
      3339 9146 3356 9145 3352 9135 3353 9085
      3334 9088 3311 9121 3301 9144 3289 9149
      3285 9157 3262 9167 3251 9191 3266 9191
      3271 9197 3271 9206 3300 9207 3310 9214

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

EC

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Mar 15, 6:54 AM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 15, 6:54 AM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
654 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 230 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

Saturday through next Friday...

Saturday:

A severe weather outbreak is expected today through this evening as
all modes of severe weather will be possible including strong to
violent, long-track tornadoes. Damaging winds 60-70 mph and large
hail will be likely as well. As a strong, upper lvl trough pushes
towards the area, the low-lvl jet will strengthen during the
afternoon over the region. As a result,  strong deep-layer shear/SRH
and favorable instability in place will lead to multiple rounds of
convection with supercell potential throughout mid morning until the
evening.

A high risk for severe weather continues to be advertised in the
greater threat area for violent tornadoes over central into east MS
where supercells will have great access to the most unstable air and
backed low level flow. Scattered to numerous supercells are likely
to develop in the warm sector, and given the fast cell motions and
classic nature of the storms, would expect the potential for long
tornado tracks, so this continues to be messaged. Outside of severe
storms, gusty winds are expected throughout the day. Heavy rainfall
is less of concern but flash flooding will be possible within areas
that experience training storms.

Sunday through next Friday:

Ridging pattern along with upper-lvl zonal flow will filter into the
region into next week. Temps will start off cooler but will be near
seasonal averages. Next chance for rainfall will come on Wednesday
as a shortwave trough swings through the area. Mostly showers and a
brief cooldown are expected with this disturbance. /SW/EC/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 645 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

Poor flying conditions are expected this morning and aftn. MVFR
cigs and gusty winds 25-30kts wl prevail through the aftn away
from +TSRA that will become numerous across the area today. At
1130Z a band of +TSRA was noted on local radars across the nw.
This band will continue shifting east today while additional +TSRA
develop ahead of the band. Conditions are expected to improve
this evening with VFR conditions areawide by 06Z. /22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       78  51  65  40 /  90  40   0   0
Meridian      77  51  68  39 /  90  60   0   0
Vicksburg     76  50  64  40 /  90  30   0   0
Hattiesburg   78  53  73  41 /  80  30   0   0
Natchez       77  50  65  40 /  90  20   0   0
Greenville    72  48  59  40 /  90  30   0   0
Greenwood     75  50  61  38 / 100  50  10   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

/SW/22

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 15, 5:16 AM CDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
516 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

MSZ018-151045-
Bolivar MS-
516 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN BOLIVAR COUNTY
THROUGH 545 AM CDT...

At 515 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Winstonville, or near Shelby, moving northeast at
55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Winstonville, Duncan, and Shelby around 520 AM CDT.
  Alligator around 525 AM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3394 9066 3376 9091 3382 9105 3384 9106
      3412 9074 3412 9066
TIME...MOT...LOC 1015Z 223DEG 49KT 3389 9085

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SAS

Special weather statement, Mar 15, 5:44 AM CDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
544 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-008-151130-
Chicot AR-Ashley AR-Morehouse LA-West Carroll LA-
544 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN CHICOT AND EASTERN
ASHLEY COUNTIES...NORTHERN MOREHOUSE AND NORTH CENTRAL WEST CARROLL
PARISHES THROUGH 630 AM CDT...

At 543 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms over Beekman, or 8 miles north of Bastrop, moving
northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Bonita and Galion around 550 AM CDT.
  Jones and Berlin around 555 AM CDT.
  Wilmot around 600 AM CDT.
  Parkdale around 605 AM CDT.
  Portland around 615 AM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3284 9206 3285 9206 3335 9177 3335 9137
      3301 9133 3276 9186 3283 9207 3284 9207
TIME...MOT...LOC 1043Z 225DEG 40KT 3289 9187

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SAS

Local storm report, Mar 15, 6:34 AM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
634 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1040 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 N Belzoni             33.25N 90.48W
03/14/2025                   Humphreys          MS   Law Enforcement

            Report of multiple trees and powerlines
            downed, as well as damage to a residence on
            Malcolm Drive.

&&

KP

Local storm report, Mar 15, 6:42 AM CDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
642 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1240 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Elliott                 33.69N 89.75W
03/15/2025                   Grenada            MS   Law Enforcement

            Report of extensive damage to Elliott
            community; downed power lines and multiple
            residences destroyed.

&&

KP

Local storm report, Mar 15, 6:45 AM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
645 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 AM     Hail             2 SE Dermott            33.50N 91.41W
03/15/2025  M0.25 Inch       Chicot             AR   Fire Dept/Rescue

&&

KP

Local storm report, Mar 15, 6:57 AM CDT, 59 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
657 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1240 AM     Tornado          Elliott                 33.69N 89.75W
03/15/2025                   Grenada            MS   Law Enforcement

            Report of extensive damage to Elliott
            community; downed power lines and multiple
            residences destroyed.

&&

KP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 14, 7:38 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Chicot	67 min
Mar 15, 5:44 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Ashley	46 min
Mar 15, 6:04 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Ashley, Chicot	56 min
Mar 15, 6:15 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Ashley	60 min
Mar 15, 6:43 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Ashley, Chicot	62 min
Mar 15, 6:58 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Ashley, Chicot	62 min
Mar 15, 7:56 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Ashley, Chicot	64 min
Mar 15, 8:59 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Ashley, Chicot	61 min
Mar 15, 9:10 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Chicot	65 min
Mar 15, 9:18 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Ashley	57 min
Mar 15, 9:43 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Chicot	62 min
Mar 15, 11:25 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Chicot	4 hr
Mar 14, 9:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	East Carroll	62 min
Mar 15, 8:38 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	East Carroll, Franklin, Madison, Morehouse, Richland, West Carroll	67 min
Mar 15, 9:50 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	East Carroll, West Carroll	55 min
Mar 15, 10:33 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Catahoula, Franklin, Madison, Richland, Tensas	42 min
Mar 15, 10:56 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	East Carroll	64 min
Mar 15, 12:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	JAN	East Carroll	58 min
Mar 14, 7:35 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Bolivar	55 min
Mar 14, 8:31 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Sunflower	59 min
Mar 14, 10:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Humphreys, Issaquena, Leflore, Sharkey, Sunflower, Washington	62 min
Mar 14, 11:11 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Carroll, Holmes, Humphreys, Leflore, Sunflower	64 min
Mar 14, 11:58 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	JAN	Carroll, Grenada, Leflore, Montgomery, Webster	62 min
Mar 15, 12:28 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Grenada	47 min
Mar 15, 12:36 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Newton, Scott	54 min
Mar 15, 12:47 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Rankin, Scott	43 min
Mar 15, 1:22 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Kemper, Neshoba	53 min
Mar 15, 1:26 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Leake, Neshoba, Winston	64 min
Mar 15, 1:31 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Scott	44 min
Mar 15, 1:44 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Lowndes, Noxubee, Winston	61 min
Mar 15, 2:12 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Noxubee, Winston	29 min
Mar 15, 2:22 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Newton	38 min
Mar 15, 2:38 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Lowndes	52 min
Mar 15, 2:57 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Kemper, Neshoba, Newton	63 min
Mar 15, 3:16 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Grenada	29 min
Mar 15, 3:33 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Lowndes	27 min
Mar 15, 5:16 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Bolivar	29 min
Mar 15, 6:21 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Sunflower, Washington	54 min
Mar 15, 7:14 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Sunflower	46 min
Mar 15, 7:57 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Sunflower, Washington	48 min
Mar 15, 8:30 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Bolivar	4 hr
Mar 15, 8:34 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Sunflower, Washington	41 min
Mar 15, 9:06 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Carroll, Grenada, Holmes	39 min
Mar 15, 9:32 AM CDT	Wind Advisory	JAN	Attala, Choctaw, Clarke, Clay, Copiah, Covington and 23 more	9 hr
Mar 15, 10:07 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Carroll, Grenada, Leflore, Sunflower	53 min
Mar 15, 10:26 AM CDT	Tornado Warning Considerable damage threat	JAN	Humphreys, Leflore, Sharkey, Sunflower, Washington	64 min
Mar 15, 10:41 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	JAN	Carroll, Leflore	49 hr
Mar 15, 10:59 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln	61 min
Mar 15, 11:04 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Holmes, Humphreys, Issaquena, Sharkey, Washington	36 min
Mar 15, 11:08 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Carroll, Grenada, Leflore, Sunflower	67 min
Mar 15, 11:18 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Carroll, Holmes, Humphreys, Leflore, Sunflower	57 min
Mar 15, 11:38 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Carroll, Holmes, Humphreys, Yazoo	67 min
Mar 15, 11:50 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Carroll, Holmes, Humphreys, Yazoo	55 min
Mar 15, 11:56 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Carroll, Grenada, Leflore, Montgomery	49 min
Mar 15, 12:02 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Copiah, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson	58 min
Mar 15, 12:31 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Attala, Carroll, Choctaw, Grenada, Holmes, Montgomery and 1 more	59 min
Mar 15, 12:39 PM CDT	Tornado Warning EmergencyTornado observedConsiderable damage threat	JAN	Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Marion	66 min
Mar 15, 12:43 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Carroll, Grenada, Holmes, Humphreys, Leflore, Montgomery and 1 more	4 hr
Mar 15, 12:47 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Considerable damage threat	JAN	Rankin, Scott, Simpson, Smith	30 min
Mar 15, 12:48 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jasper, Newton, Scott, Smith	57 min
Mar 15, 12:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Leake, Madison, Rankin, Scott	27 min
Mar 15, 12:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Carroll, Holmes, Leflore	46 min
Mar 15, 1:26 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Choctaw, Montgomery, Webster	2 hr
Mar 15, 1:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Copiah, Lincoln, Simpson	62 min
Mar 15, 1:30 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Kemper, Lauderdale, Neshoba, Newton	60 min
Mar 15, 1:30 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Considerable damage threat	JAN	Covington, Jones, Smith	60 min
Mar 15, 1:32 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Considerable damage threat	JAN	Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Marion	58 min
Mar 15, 1:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Carroll, Grenada, Montgomery, Webster	40 min
Mar 15, 1:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Attala, Holmes, Madison, Yazoo	48 min
Mar 15, 1:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Hinds, Madison, Yazoo	65 min
Mar 15, 2:03 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	JAN	Covington, Jefferson Davis, Jones	57 min
Mar 15, 2:09 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threat	JAN	Clarke, Jasper	66 min
Mar 15, 2:11 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Lowndes, Noxubee	43 min
Mar 15, 2:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Attala, Carroll, Choctaw, Holmes, Montgomery, Webster	46 min
Mar 15, 2:16 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Kemper	44 min
Mar 15, 2:26 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Lincoln, Marion	64 min
Mar 15, 2:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Copiah, Lawrence, Lincoln, Rankin, Simpson	40 min
Mar 15, 2:35 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	JAN	Covington, Jones, Smith	26 min
Mar 15, 2:43 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Copiah, Covington, Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Lincoln, Marion and 4 more	4 hr
Mar 15, 2:49 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	JAN	Lauderdale, Newton	56 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2025 Flash Flood Warnings in Louisiana, 2025 Flash Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2025 Every flash flood warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.