Flash Flood Warning 9, NWS Jackson, MS

043 
WGUS74 KJAN 152116
FFSJAN

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
416 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

MSC023-031-061-067-069-075-099-101-160030-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.W.0009.000000T0000Z-250316T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Clarke MS-Covington MS-Jasper MS-Jones MS-Kemper MS-Lauderdale MS-
Neshoba MS-Newton MS-
416 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT THIS 
EVENING FOR CLARKE, JASPER, KEMPER, LAUDERDALE, SOUTHEASTERN 
NESHOBA, NEWTON, EASTERN COVINGTON AND JONES COUNTIES...

At 416 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 5 inches of rain have 
fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in 
the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring with water up 
to a foot covering some highways.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
         urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Meridian, Laurel, Philadelphia, Ellisville, Newton, Quitman, 
  Union, Decatur, Bay Springs, De Kalb, Collinsville, Marion, 
  Conehatta, Nellieburg, Stonewall, Toomsuba, Scooba, Sandersville, 
  Heidelberg and Tucker.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3179 8945 3180 8932 3259 8932 3292 8893
      3293 8835 3223 8844 3184 8877 3182 8894
      3143 8894 3144 8958

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

EC

004 
WGUS74 KJAN 152217
FFSJAN

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
517 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

MSC023-031-061-067-069-075-099-101-160030-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.W.0009.000000T0000Z-250316T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Clarke MS-Covington MS-Jasper MS-Jones MS-Kemper MS-Lauderdale MS-
Neshoba MS-Newton MS-
517 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT THIS 
EVENING FOR CLARKE, JASPER, KEMPER, LAUDERDALE, SOUTHEASTERN 
NESHOBA, NEWTON, EASTERN COVINGTON AND JONES COUNTIES...

At 517 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across much of the warned area. Between 2 and 6 inches of rain 
have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are 
possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring 
with water up to a foot covering some highways.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
         urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Meridian, Laurel, Philadelphia, Ellisville, Newton, Quitman, 
  Union, Decatur, Bay Springs, De Kalb, Collinsville, Marion, 
  Conehatta, Nellieburg, Stonewall, Toomsuba, Scooba, Sandersville, 
  Heidelberg and Tucker.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3179 8945 3180 8932 3259 8932 3292 8893
      3293 8835 3223 8844 3184 8877 3182 8894
      3143 8894 3144 8958

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

EC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
217 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...New DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 216 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

Tonight: Tornado outbreak is currently in progress for the eastern
half of our CWA. Strong to violent long-track tornadoes will remain
possible through the afternoon. Large hail and damaging winds will
also be possible.

Mid afternoon satellite imagery/RAP analysis showed the circulation
around a potent shortwave/trough over the southern Plains. Mid
afternoon surface analysis had a cold front dropping south across
our delta region and northeast Louisiana parishes. As the shortwave
trough continues shifting east the remainder of this afternoon and
evening, the cold front will shift east as well and bring an end to
the severe weather outbreak. Although the potential for severe
weather will end in east Mississippi early this evening, there will
be a low chance of light showers across the northern half of our CWA
until well after midnight as the axis of the shortwave trough swings
across our CWA. In the wake of the cold front and shortwave axis,
temperatures will bottom out much cooler than recent morning but
still a few degrees above normal in the upper 40s to lower 50s.
/22/

Through next Sunday: A ridging pattern will establish itself over
the region, bringing with it a welcome calm benign weather regime
for the work week. A weak cold front is expected to make its way
through the area Wednesday night, which will drop our high
temperatures from a balmy 75F to low-mid 60s to finish out the
work week. Low temperatures will also take a nosedive from the mid
50s Wednesday morning, to low-mid 30s Thursday and Friday
morning. At this time we are projected lows for the late week to
stay just above freezing however continual monitoring will be
needed for any minor adjustment that could drop our temperatures
another few degrees, which will put some sites (particularly
eastern ones) just below freezing. In conjunction with the
aforementioned front traversing the CWA, there is a chance for
some light scattered showers Wednesday night through Thursday
morning for zones east of I-20. Projected totals remains less than
half an inch for the entire period so impacts from this event
should remain minimal. Starting Friday afternoon, expect
temperatures and general conditions to rebound back to seasonal
norms./OAJ/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 117 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

Poor flying conditions are expected until around 7pm (00Z on the
16th) throughout the CWA. There is a large severe weather system
producing damaging winds of over 60kt and hail over 2in moving
through the CWA. As such vis/cigs will range from LIFR to VFR
intermittently while the system passes through. This system should
clear western sites by 18Z, central sites by 21Z, and finally
eastern sites by 00Z. Once this system clears the area in question,
expect benign weather and mostly VFR conditions with ceilings
ranging in the 3-4kft range for the remainder of the TAF period./OAJ/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       50  63  39  68 /  20   0   0   0
Meridian      51  66  38  67 /  60   0   0   0
Vicksburg     49  63  39  69 /  20   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   53  70  40  70 /  30   0   0   0
Natchez       49  64  39  70 /  10   0   0   0
Greenville    48  59  39  65 /  60   0   0   0
Greenwood     49  60  37  67 /  50  10   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ030>033-037>039-
     043>046-048>052-054>058-062>066-072>074.

LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

22/OAJ/

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
223 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0205 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 S Taylorsville        31.82N 89.43W
03/15/2025                   Smith              MS   Public

            Report of extensive tree damage along HWY-37
            and damage to the roof of a structure.

&&

KP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
243 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0154 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 WSW Georgetown        31.83N 90.24W
03/15/2025                   Copiah             MS   Law Enforcement

            Law enforcement reported multiple trees down
            near Hwy 472 along with marble size hail.

&&

CR

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
246 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0205 PM     Tornado          1 S Taylorsville        31.82N 89.43W
03/15/2025                   Smith              MS   Public

            Report of extensive tree damage along HWY-37
            and damage to the roof of a structure.

&&

KP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
253 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0210 PM     Tornado          1 E Taylorsville        31.83N 89.42W
03/15/2025                   Smith              MS   Public

            Pictures posted of swath of trees snapped
            with some uprooted, damage to metal
            structure and damage to tractor trailers.

&&

KP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
259 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0224 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     4 SE Hattiesburg        31.27N 89.25W
03/15/2025  M58 MPH          Forrest            MS   ASOS

&&

KP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
315 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0312 PM     Tornado          4 SW Bay Springs        31.95N 89.34W
03/15/2025                   Smith              MS   Public

            Report of extensive tree damage and downed
            trees blocking HWY-531.

&&

KP