Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2023

Tornado Watch 1

January 2, 202345 counties in Arkansas; 17 parishes in Louisiana; 21 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 2, 2023, 1:22 PM CST for 45 counties in Arkansas; 17 parishes in Louisiana; 21 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jan 2, 2023, 1:22 PM CST (19:22 UTC)
Expired: Jan 2, 2023, 9:00 PM CST
In force: 8 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected: 1.5 in
Strongest gust expected: 60 kt

All 83 counties

Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Miller County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Newton County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Union County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Panola County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes: 60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes: 40%
Ten or more severe wind reports: 70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more: 10%
Ten or more severe hail reports: 40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more: 20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports: 80%

Warnings issued inside it

39 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 2, 2:00 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Little River, Sevier	45 min
Jan 2, 2:07 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Angelina, Sabine, San Augustine	53 min
Jan 2, 2:21 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LZK	Johnson, Logan	39 min
Jan 2, 2:35 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Sabine	29 min
Jan 2, 2:36 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Sabine	24 min
Jan 2, 2:39 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Faulkner, Perry	91 min
Jan 2, 2:44 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LZK	Garland, Perry, Saline	16 min
Jan 2, 2:56 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	De Soto, Natchitoches, Red River, Sabine	49 min
Jan 2, 3:12 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	De Soto, Sabine	33 min
Jan 2, 3:15 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Johnson, Newton, Pope, Searcy	45 min
Jan 2, 3:19 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Clark, Montgomery, Pike	26 min
Jan 2, 3:36 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Bienville, Natchitoches, Red River	19 min
Jan 2, 3:38 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Conway, Logan, Perry, Pope, Yell	37 min
Jan 2, 3:43 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Bienville, Jackson, Natchitoches, Red River, Winn	47 min
Jan 2, 3:48 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Bienville, Natchitoches, Winn	42 min
Jan 2, 3:57 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	De Soto, Natchitoches, Red River, Sabine	48 min
Jan 2, 4:11 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Bienville, Jackson, Lincoln	34 min
Jan 2, 4:28 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Bienville, Jackson, Lincoln, Winn	47 min
Jan 2, 4:42 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SHV	Bienville, Natchitoches, Red River	3 hr
Jan 2, 4:58 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SHV	De Soto, Natchitoches, Red River, Sabine	5 hr
Jan 2, 5:01 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SHV	Bienville, Jackson, Lincoln, Natchitoches, Ouachita, Winn	3 hr
Jan 2, 5:09 PM CST	Tornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threat	SHV	Jackson, Lincoln, Ouachita, Union	51 min
Jan 2, 5:17 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SHV	Grant, Natchitoches, Winn	3 hr
Jan 2, 5:36 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Cleburne, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Lawrence, Randolph and 3 more	5 hr
Jan 2, 5:42 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SHV	Grant, Jackson, Lincoln, Natchitoches, Ouachita, Union and 1 more	3 hr
Jan 2, 5:47 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Caldwell, Jackson, Lincoln, Ouachita, Union	58 min
Jan 2, 5:53 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Union	47 min
Jan 2, 6:00 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LZK	Prairie, White, Woodruff	18 min
Jan 2, 6:33 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Jackson, Ouachita, Union	42 min
Jan 2, 6:53 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Ouachita	52 min
Jan 2, 7:22 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning Considerable damage threat	SHV	Caldwell, Jackson, Ouachita, Union	3 hr
Jan 2, 7:45 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Ouachita	30 min
Jan 2, 7:50 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SHV	Bossier, Caddo, De Soto, Webster	5 hr
Jan 2, 7:55 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SHV	Columbia, Lafayette	7 hr
Jan 2, 7:56 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, Webster	38 min
Jan 2, 8:27 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Union	48 min
Jan 2, 8:38 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Howard, Little River, Sevier	52 min
Jan 2, 8:47 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Union	43 min
Jan 2, 8:49 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SHV	Union	5 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 847 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -49 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 555 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 205 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 216 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 2.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 2, 11:34 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 20 more	2 hr
Jan 2, 2:02 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more	118 min
Jan 2, 3:19 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Baxter, Boone, Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Izard and 10 more	86 min
Jan 2, 3:34 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more	6 hr
Jan 2, 2:39 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Bossier, Caddo, De Soto, Red River, Sabine, Webster	96 min
Jan 2, 4:45 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Anderson, Brazos, Burleson, Cherokee, Delta, Fannin and 21 more	90 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2023 Tornado Watches in Texas, 2023 Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2023 Every tornado watch in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.