Alert archive / Arkansas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2023

Flash Flood Warning 2, NWS Little Rock, AR

January 2, 20239 counties in Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this flash flood warning at Jan 2, 2023, 5:36 PM CST for 9 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jan 2, 2023, 5:36 PM CST (23:36 UTC)
Expired: Jan 2, 2023, 10:35 PM CST
In force: 5 hr
Issued by: NWS Little Rock, AR
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

Counties Cleburne County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Sharp County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 126 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 243 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 709 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 138 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 140 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jan 2, 5:32 PM CST, 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 2, 5:32 PM CST, 4 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 2, 2:11 PM CST, 3 hours 25 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
211 PM CST Mon Jan 2 2023

ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-031100-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
211 PM CST Mon Jan 2 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Strong and severe thunderstorms will be possible today and
tonight as a storm system affects the region. All modes of severe
weather will be possible. There is also the potential for heavy
rainfall, which may lead to localized flooding. The greatest
potential for flooding appears to be across the southeast half of
Arkansas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Showers and thunderstorms will be tapering off across eastern
Arkansas Tuesday morning. Otherwise, the remainder of the period
will see little in the way of active weather.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will likely be needed this afternoon and
tonight. Spotters are urged to monitor the latest forecast and
relay any severe weather reports to the National Weather Service
in Little Rock.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

71/51

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 2, 2:18 PM CST, 3 hours 18 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
218 PM CST Mon Jan 2 2023

ARZ121-130-221-230-022045-
Western and Northern Logan County AR-
Southern and Eastern Logan County AR-
Johnson County Higher Elevations AR-Southern Johnson County AR-
218 PM CST Mon Jan 2 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of north central Logan
and western Johnson Counties through 245 PM CST...

At 218 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Ratcliff, or near Paris, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Clarksville...                    Paris...
Magazine...                       Subiaco...
Hartman...                        Ratcliff...
Hoyt...                           Woodland...
Hinkle...                         Coal Hill...
Caulksville...                    Oak Grove in Johnson County...
Harmony...                        Roseville...
Yale...                           Friley...
Union City...                     Oark...
Hunt...                           Wolf Pen Campground...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CST for western
Arkansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3523 9392 3532 9391 3532 9381 3543 9381
      3540 9379 3536 9375 3538 9371 3577 9369
      3577 9367 3557 9337 3516 9380 3523 9393
TIME...MOT...LOC 2018Z 216DEG 41KT 3527 9384

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

233

Special weather statement, Jan 2, 2:40 PM CST, 2 hours 56 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
240 PM CST Mon Jan 2 2023

ARZ039-042-043-022115-
Perry AR-Saline AR-Garland AR-
240 PM CST Mon Jan 2 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Perry, north
central Garland and northwestern Saline Counties through 315 PM
CST...

At 240 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Jessieville, or 10 miles northwest of Hot Springs Village, moving
northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Hot Springs Village...            Perryville...
Adona...                          Jessieville...
Williams Junction...              Wye Mountain...
Aplin...                          Antioch in Perry County...
Oak Grove in Perry County...      Long Mountain...
Thornburg...                      Pleasant Valley in Perry County...
Cherry Hill in Perry County...    Deberrie...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CST for central
Arkansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3507 9288 3497 9261 3491 9270 3491 9275
      3488 9275 3468 9305 3477 9319
TIME...MOT...LOC 2040Z 220DEG 25KT 3478 9305

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

46

Special weather statement, Jan 2, 3:21 PM CST, 2 hours 15 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jan 2, 3:26 PM CST, 2 hours 10 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jan 2, 3:29 PM CST, 2 hours 7 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jan 2, 4:13 PM CST, 1 hour 23 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 2, 2:33 AM CST	Flood Watch	LZK	Arkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 23 more	27 hr
Jan 2, 6:58 AM CST	Dense Fog Advisory	LZK	Baxter, Boone, Fulton, Izard, Marion, Newton and 4 more	3 hr
Jan 2, 9:30 AM CST	River Flood Warning	LZK	Bradley, Calhoun, Union	10 days
Jan 2, 9:32 AM CST	River Flood Warning	LZK	Jackson, Woodruff	98 days
Jan 2, 11:58 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Jefferson, Monroe	47 min
Jan 2, 12:27 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Jefferson	33 min
Jan 2, 12:39 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Jefferson, Lonoke, Prairie	21 min
Jan 2, 12:52 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Monroe	38 min
Jan 2, 1:03 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Lonoke	27 min
Jan 2, 1:07 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Prairie	23 min
Jan 2, 2:15 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Faulkner	45 min
Jan 2, 2:18 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Johnson	27 min
Jan 2, 2:21 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LZK	Johnson, Logan	39 min
Jan 2, 2:39 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Faulkner, Perry	91 min
Jan 2, 2:40 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Perry	35 min
Jan 2, 2:44 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LZK	Garland, Perry, Saline	16 min
Jan 2, 3:15 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Johnson, Newton, Pope, Searcy	45 min
Jan 2, 3:19 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Clark, Montgomery, Pike	26 min
Jan 2, 3:21 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Yell	39 min
Jan 2, 3:38 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Conway, Logan, Perry, Pope, Yell	37 min
Jan 2, 4:13 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Conway, Van Buren	32 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2023 Every flash flood warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.