Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2023
Tornado Watch 2
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 2, 2023, 3:34 PM CST for 7 counties in Arkansas; 14 counties in Kansas; 38 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 2, 2023, 3:34 PM CST (21:34 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 2, 2023, 10:00 PM CST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 59 counties
Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Madison County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Allen County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Elk County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Labette County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Adair County, OK, Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Coal County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Kay County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Noble County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK
The radar
The Tulsa radar (KINX), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 60%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 40%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 5:04 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | McIntosh, Pittsburg | 56 min |
| Jan 2, 5:05 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Mayes, Rogers, Wagoner | 40 min |
| Jan 2, 5:31 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Haskell, McIntosh, Pittsburg | 44 min |
| Jan 2, 5:31 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Craig, Delaware, Mayes | 44 min |
| Jan 2, 5:36 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Muskogee, Wagoner | 39 min |
| Jan 2, 6:01 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Cherokee, McIntosh, Muskogee, Sequoyah | 44 min |
| Jan 2, 6:09 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Delaware, Ottawa | 36 min |
| Jan 2, 6:30 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Haskell, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg | 45 min |
| Jan 2, 6:31 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Delaware, Muskogee | 44 min |
| Jan 2, 6:45 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Haskell, Muskogee, Pittsburg | 45 min |
| Jan 2, 7:18 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Haskell, Muskogee, Sequoyah | 42 min |
| Jan 2, 7:46 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair | 44 min |
| Jan 2, 7:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Sequoyah | 17 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 143 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 709 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 40 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 138 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 140 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
288
WWUS20 KWNS 022130
SEL2
SPC WW 022130
ARZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-030400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 2
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
335 PM CST Mon Jan 2 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northwest Arkansas
Southeast Kansas
Eastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 335 PM until
1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify rapidly this afternoon over
eastern Oklahoma and southeast Kansas. These storms will pose a
risk of large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes. Activity
will spread eastward into western Arkansas this evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles north northwest of Chanute KS
to 65 miles south southeast of Mcalester OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 1...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 11:34 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 20 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 2, 1:22 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland, Columbia, Conway and 39 more | 8 hr |
| Jan 2, 2:02 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more | 118 min |
| Jan 2, 3:19 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Izard and 10 more | 86 min |
| Jan 2, 5:45 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | McDonald | 90 min |
| Jan 2, 4:45 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Choctaw | 90 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2023Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2023Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2023Every tornado watch in 2023
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.