Severe Thunderstorm Warning 375, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
316 PM EDT Sun Jul 30 2023

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 255 PM EDT Sun Jul 30 2023

Afternoon showers and thunderstorms have blossomed over the area
in the last hour, with activity now south of the metro Atlanta
area. A few storms have reached severe criteria, producing strong
winds and small hail. Central GA remains in a Marginal (level 1 of
5) Risk of severe storms. Temperatures warmed quickly today, with
Heat Index values soaring above the 105 Advisory criteria over the
southern third to half of the CWA. Although the Heat Advisory does
remain in place at this time for the southeast CWA, rain-cooled
conditions have contributed to early cancellation for the western
portions of the state. Expect adjustments to the Advisory as
needed through the afternoon.

In the wake of the storms, drier air returns to the state with a
quieter forecast. Expect slightly cooler morning temperatures and
lower dew points, which will keep a Heat Advisory at bay for
Monday.

31

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday morning through next Saturday)
Issued at 255 PM EDT Sun Jul 30 2023

The extended forecast continues with no major forecast concerns or
significant weather impacts expected.

Overall pattern in the extended is still defined by NW flow aloft.
Models showing upper level ridge over TX will build slowly east
through day 7. The over all NW flow starts off fairly dry but by
Wed/Thu we will see waves moving SE out of the Northern/Central
Plains pushing into GA with the upper level NWLY flow.

We could see some showers and thunderstorms Tuesday as there is
still some moisture around the area but the best MCS development
appears likely Wednesday thru the weekend. Between MCS, MCV
afternoon redevelopment and general pulse thunderstorms, will likely
see 30-50% coverage at least during the afternoons and evenings. In
addition to traditional convective threats, heavy rainfall and
flooding may also occur in this pattern. Heat risk could crop back
up again late this week as well.

VSS

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 216 PM EDT Sun Jul 30 2023

VFR conditions with pockets of MVFR associated in/near convection
this afternoon. TSRA has ramped up with daytime heating, but
largely stayed south of northern TAF sites. Expect main TS concern
to be at CSG and MCN through the next few hours. Patchy morning fog
may be an issue where convection holds into the late evening.
Gusty winds in convection, but otherwise, NW winds at 5-10kt will
become more N Monday.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
High confidence on all elements.

31

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          71  92  69  90 /  10  10  10  10
Atlanta         73  95  71  92 /  10   0   0   0
Blairsville     63  86  60  83 /   0  10   0  10
Cartersville    68  92  67  90 /  10   0   0   0
Columbus        74  96  74  95 /  20  10   0  10
Gainesville     70  92  69  89 /  10  10  10  10
Macon           72  95  72  93 /  30  10  10  10
Rome            70  93  68  90 /  10   0   0   0
Peachtree City  70  95  69  92 /  10   0   0   0
Vidalia         73  92  74  92 /  50  30  20  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 9 PM EDT this evening for GAZ039-049>051-
058>062-066>076-078>086-089>098-102>113.

&&

SHORT TERM...31
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...31

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1151 AM EDT Sun Jul 30 2023

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-311200-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1151 AM EDT Sun Jul 30 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening
with most of the activity shifting to middle Georgia after sunset.
Some of the storms will be strong and could even be briefly severe
with damaging winds, frequent lightning, and locally heavy
rainfall.

Elevated heat risk is also expected over middle Georgia this
afternoon with heat index values up to 106 expected. A heat
advisory is in effect through 9 PM this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

Isolated afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected Monday
and Tuesday with increasing coverage possible later this week.
Some of the storms could be strong to severe with very heavy
rain, lightning and damaging winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
428 PM EDT Sun Jul 30 2023

GAZ107>110-302115-
Telfair GA-Wilcox GA-Dodge GA-Pulaski GA-
428 PM EDT Sun Jul 30 2023

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Dodge, southeastern
Pulaski, west central Telfair and Wilcox Counties through 515 PM
EDT...

At 428 PM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from Dubois to near Rochelle, and moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Eastman, Abbeville, Rochelle, Rhine, Chauncey, Pitts, Union, Dubois,
Gresston, Cedar Creek, Antioch Church, Ocmulgee Banks, Browning, Five
Points, and Godwinsville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3193 8358 3229 8333 3232 8329 3226 8305
      3221 8303 3213 8302 3185 8319 3185 8321
      3184 8321
TIME...MOT...LOC 2028Z 279DEG 17KT 3230 8326 3198 8343

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
430 PM EDT Sun Jul 30 2023

GAZ061-062-302100-
Hancock GA-Warren GA-
430 PM EDT Sun Jul 30 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Warren
and northeastern Hancock Counties through 500 PM EDT...

At 430 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Springfield, or near
Sparta, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, up to penny sized hail and frequent
         cloud to ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Sparta, Springfield, Powelton, Mayfield, and Culverton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3323 8279 3322 8280 3329 8303 3345 8299
      3345 8294 3344 8292 3344 8289 3343 8276
TIME...MOT...LOC 2030Z 279DEG 17KT 3337 8293

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
444 PM EDT Sun Jul 30 2023

GAZ084-097-302130-
Wilkinson GA-Laurens GA-
444 PM EDT Sun Jul 30 2023

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of central Laurens and
southern Wilkinson Counties through 530 PM EDT...

At 444 PM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Jeffersonville to near Montrose to near
Plainfield, and moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Dublin, Irwinton, East Dublin, Dexter, Dudley, Cadwell, Toomsboro,
Rentz, Danville, Montrose, Allentown, Nicklesville, Harlow, and
Chappells Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3280 8335 3283 8299 3278 8296 3276 8296
      3275 8294 3271 8296 3271 8292 3254 8281
      3234 8281 3231 8308
TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 279DEG 26KT 3273 8328 3259 8312 3233 8314

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
452 PM EDT Sun Jul 30 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0257 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 S Columbus Metropolit 32.50N 84.94W
07/30/2023                   Muscogee           GA   Broadcast Media

            Tree reported down at Gentian Blvd and
            Cougar Ct.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
458 PM EDT Sun Jul 30 2023

GAZ074-302130-
Washington GA-
458 PM EDT Sun Jul 30 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern
Washington County through 530 PM EDT...

At 458 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Sandersville, moving
east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Sandersville, Davisboro, Tennille, and Riddleville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3288 8251 3286 8252 3282 8252 3282 8256
      3281 8259 3290 8289 3307 8282 3305 8261
      3303 8260 3303 8258 3301 8256 3302 8255
      3295 8254 3292 8251
TIME...MOT...LOC 2058Z 283DEG 24KT 3297 8276

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
509 PM EDT Sun Jul 30 2023

GAZ110-302200-
Telfair GA-
509 PM EDT Sun Jul 30 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Telfair County
through 600 PM EDT...

At 508 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Temperance, or 12 miles
east of Abbeville, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, up to penny sized hail and frequent
         cloud to ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Milan, Jacksonville, Temperance, China Hill, Horse Creek Wma, and
Workmore.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3181 8309 3182 8315 3186 8318 3187 8318
      3190 8321 3205 8303 3196 8272 3186 8276
      3186 8278 3185 8279 3184 8279 3182 8284
      3178 8286 3178 8289 3179 8290 3178 8292
      3179 8298 3177 8301
TIME...MOT...LOC 2108Z 283DEG 24KT 3193 8311

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH