Alert archive / Georgia / River Flood Warnings in 2023

River Flood Warning 62, NWS Atlanta, GA

March 26, 2023Baldwin County, Washington County, Wilkinson County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this river flood warning at Mar 26, 2023, 2:52 PM EDT for Baldwin County, Washington County, Wilkinson County, Georgia. It took effect at Mar 26, 2023, 5:26 PM EDT. It was in force for 51 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 26, 2023, 2:52 PM EDT (18:52 UTC)
In effect from: Mar 26, 2023, 5:26 PM EDT
Expired: Mar 28, 2023, 8:16 PM EDT
In force: 51 hr
Issued by: NWS Atlanta, GA
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Baldwin County, GA, Washington County, GA, Wilkinson County, GA

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Oconee River at Milledgeville (MLGG1). The gauge peaked at 30.70 ft at Mar 28, 2023, 12:00 AM EDT.

Action stage: 20 ft
Minor stage: 22 ft
Moderate stage: 32 ft
Major stage: 38 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02223000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

296 
WGUS42 KFFC 261852
FLWFFC

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
252 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

...The National Weather Service in Peachtree City GA has issued a 
Flood Warning for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River at Milledgeville affecting Baldwin, Washington and 
  Wilkinson Counties.

For the Oconee River Basin...including Penfield, Milledgeville, 
Oconee, Oconee, McIntyre, Irwinton, Oconee, Dublin, Mount Vernon...
Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&


GAC009-303-319-270700-
/O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0062.230326T2126Z-230327T1127Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.230326T2126Z.230327T0000Z.230327T0526Z.NO/
252 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Milledgeville.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 27 feet, Minor flooding continues in the woodlands 
  and pasture upstream and downstream from the gage located around 
  one half mile upstream from the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. 
  The parking lot and the Oconee River Greenway Park just downstream 
  from the bridge will be completely flooded with water several feet 
  deep. Sinclair Dam will have three to four gates open to reach 
  this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:30 PM EDT Sunday the stage was 17.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near 25 feet this
    evening and then fall just under flood stage early Monday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 22 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324


$$

7 follow-up statements

147 
WGUS82 KFFC 270353
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1153 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Oconee River at Milledgeville affecting Baldwin, Wilkinson and 
  Washington Counties.

For the Oconee River Basin...including Penfield, Milledgeville, 
Oconee, Oconee, McIntyre, Irwinton, Oconee, Dublin, Mount Vernon...
Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&


GAC009-303-319-271600-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-230328T0541Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.230326T2033Z.230327T0600Z.230327T2341Z.NO/
1153 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Milledgeville.

* WHEN...Until early Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 30.0 feet, Minor flooding continues to expand further 
  into the woodlands and pasture upstream and downstream from the 
  gage near the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. Fishing Creek 
  backs up and a few buildings along the creek will be flooded. Also 
  Tanyard Branch Stream between East Thomas and East Charleston 
  Streets in Milledgeville will flood. Sinclair Dam will likely have 
  four to five gates open to reach this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:30 PM EDT Sunday the stage was 28.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 11:30 PM EDT Sunday was 28.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 29.4
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage tomorrow evening.
  - Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    30.6 feet on 03/16/1976.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324


$$

162 
WGUS82 KFFC 270744
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
344 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River at Milledgeville affecting Washington, Wilkinson and 
  Baldwin Counties.

For the Oconee River Basin...including Penfield, Milledgeville, 
Oconee, Oconee, McIntyre, Irwinton, Oconee, Dublin, Mount Vernon...
Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&


GAC009-303-319-271945-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-230328T0541Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.230326T2033Z.230327T0430Z.230327T2341Z.NO/
344 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT 
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and forecast to continue.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Milledgeville.

* WHEN...Until just after midnight tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 27 feet, Minor flooding continues in the woodlands 
  and pasture upstream and downstream from the gage located around 
  one half mile upstream from the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. 
  The parking lot and the Oconee River Greenway Park just downstream 
  from the bridge will be completely flooded with water several feet 
  deep. Sinclair Dam will have three to four gates open to reach 
  this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 3:15 AM EDT Monday the stage was 27.6 feet and falling.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    this evening and continue falling to 9.8 feet Friday evening.
  - Flood stage is 22 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324


$$

883 
WGUS82 KFFC 271827
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
227 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River at Milledgeville affecting Baldwin, Washington and 
  Wilkinson Counties.

For the Oconee River Basin...including Milledgeville...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&


GAC009-303-319-280545-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-230328T0541Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.230326T2033Z.230328T0000Z.230328T0904Z.NO/
227 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT 
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Milledgeville.

* WHEN...Until just after midnight tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 30 feet, Minor flooding continues to expand further 
  into the woodlands and pasture upstream and downstream from the 
  gage near the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. Fishing Creek 
  backs up and a few buildings along the creek will be flooded. Also 
  Tanyard Branch Stream between East Thomas and East Charleston 
  Streets in Milledgeville will flood. Sinclair Dam will likely have 
  four to five gates open to reach this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:15 PM EDT Monday the stage was 29.2 feet and rising.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 29.4
    feet this evening. It will then fall below flood stage late
    tonight.
  - Flood stage is 22 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324


$$

402 
WGUS82 KFFC 280144
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
944 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Oconee River at Milledgeville affecting Washington, Wilkinson and 
  Baldwin Counties.

For the Oconee River Basin...including Penfield, Milledgeville, 
Oconee, Oconee, McIntyre, Irwinton, Oconee, Dublin, Mount Vernon...
Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&


GAC009-303-319-281345-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-230328T1815Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.230326T2033Z.230328T0130Z.230328T1215Z.NO/
944 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Milledgeville.

* WHEN...Until early tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 30 feet, Minor flooding continues to expand further 
  into the woodlands and pasture upstream and downstream from the 
  gage near the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. Fishing Creek 
  backs up and a few buildings along the creek will be flooded. Also 
  Tanyard Branch Stream between East Thomas and East Charleston 
  Streets in Milledgeville will flood. Sinclair Dam will likely have 
  four to five gates open to reach this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 PM EDT Monday the stage was 30.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:30 PM EDT Monday was 30.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow
    morning to 10.9 feet Wednesday morning. It will then rise to
    14.3 feet early Wednesday afternoon. It will fall to 11.3
    feet Friday morning. It will then rise to 13.2 feet Friday
    evening. It will fall again and remain below flood stage.
  - Flood stage is 22 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324


$$

084 
WGUS82 KFFC 280925
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
525 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2023

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River at Avant Mine near Oconee affecting Wilkinson and 
  Washington Counties.

  Oconee River at Milledgeville affecting Baldwin, Wilkinson and 
  Washington Counties.

For the Oconee River Basin...including Penfield, Milledgeville, 
Oconee, Oconee, McIntyre, Irwinton, Oconee, Dublin, Mount Vernon...
Major flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&


GAC303-319-282130-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCOG1.1.ER.230327T1146Z.230328T0745Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
525 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2023

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring. This approaches the flood of 
  record.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Avant Mine near Oconee.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 20 feet, Moderate flooding begins. Significant 
  flooding occurs in the woodlands and wetlands along the river 
  upstream and downstream from a gage located by a dirt boat ramp on 
  the west side of Avant Mine off Adams Road in Washington County. 
  The water will be around two feet deep around an elevated USGS 
  gage house. The dirt road by the boat ramp will begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 3:45 AM EDT Tuesday the stage was 19.7 feet and steady.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 18 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311


$$

GAC009-303-319-281815-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-230328T1815Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.230326T2033Z.230328T0445Z.230328T1215Z.NO/
525 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2023

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and forecast to continue.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Milledgeville.

* WHEN...Until this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 30 feet, Minor flooding continues to expand further 
  into the woodlands and pasture upstream and downstream from the 
  gage near the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. Fishing Creek 
  backs up and a few buildings along the creek will be flooded. Also 
  Tanyard Branch Stream between East Thomas and East Charleston 
  Streets in Milledgeville will flood. Sinclair Dam will likely have 
  four to five gates open to reach this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:15 AM EDT Tuesday the stage was 29.3 feet and falling.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 4:15 AM EDT Tuesday was 30.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage this morning
    to 10.9 feet tomorrow morning. It will then rise to 14.3 feet
    early tomorrow afternoon. It will fall to 11.3 feet Friday
    morning. It will then rise to 13.2 feet Friday evening. It
    will fall again and remain below flood stage.
  - Flood stage is 22 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324


$$

605 
WGUS82 KFFC 281533
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1133 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2023

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Wilkinson, Johnson and 
  Washington Counties.

  Oconee River at Milledgeville affecting Wilkinson, Washington and 
  Baldwin Counties.

  Oconee River at Dublin affecting Wilkinson, Johnson, Washington 
  and Laurens Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River at Avant Mine near Oconee affecting Wilkinson and 
  Washington Counties.

For the Oconee River Basin...including Penfield, Milledgeville, 
Oconee, Oconee, McIntyre, Irwinton, Oconee, Dublin, Mount Vernon...
Major flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at weather.gov/atlanta.

&&


GAC167-303-319-290345-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCNG1.3.ER.230328T0812Z.230330T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1133 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River near Oconee.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 25 feet, Major flooding occurs. Most of Old Balls 
  Ferry Road north of Georgia Highway 57 will be under one to three 
  feet of water. The water level reaches the bottom of the USGS 
  gaging equipment near the boat ramp. Widespread flooding up to 
  several feet deep of the woodlands near the river occurs.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:00 AM EDT Tuesday the stage was 20.2 feet and rising.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 11:00 AM EDT Tuesday was 20.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 25.1
    feet tomorrow evening.
  - Flood stage is 17 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300


$$

GAC009-303-319-290345-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-230329T1855Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.230326T2033Z.230328T0445Z.230329T1255Z.NO/
1133 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding will continue.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Milledgeville.

* WHEN...Until early tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 27 feet, Minor flooding continues in the woodlands 
  and pasture upstream and downstream from the gage located around 
  one half mile upstream from the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. 
  The parking lot and the Oconee River Greenway Park just downstream 
  from the bridge will be completely flooded with water several feet 
  deep. Sinclair Dam will have three to four gates open to reach 
  this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:00 AM EDT Tuesday the stage was 26.9 feet and falling.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 11:00 AM EDT Tuesday was 30.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow morning and continue falling to 12.3 feet by Sunday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 22 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324


$$

GAC167-175-303-319-290345-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0085.230330T0045Z-000000T0000Z/
/DBNG1.2.ER.230330T0045Z.230401T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1133 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Dublin.

* WHEN...From Wednesday evening until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 27 feet, Significant flooding expands into the 
  woodlands and agricultural areas upstream and downstream from the 
  gage on U.S. Highway 80. The flood waters will be around 4 feet 
  deep on Rex Miller Road and Old River Lane. Several homes on these 
  roads will be under two feet of water. Also a few homes on River 
  Ridge Road will be flooded with a foot of water. Portions of the 
  Riverview Park Golf Course will be flooded.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:45 AM EDT Tuesday the stage was 13.4 feet and rising.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    tomorrow evening and continue rising to a crest of 26.7 feet
    Friday evening.
  - Flood stage is 21 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3265 8298 3267 8289 3257 8284 3238 8268
      3236 8277 3254 8293


$$

GAC303-319-290345-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCOG1.1.ER.230327T1146Z.230328T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1133 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2023

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring. This approaches the flood of 
  record.

* WHERE...Oconee River at Avant Mine near Oconee.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 20 feet, Moderate flooding begins. Significant 
  flooding occurs in the woodlands and wetlands along the river 
  upstream and downstream from a gage located by a dirt boat ramp on 
  the west side of Avant Mine off Adams Road in Washington County. 
  The water will be around two feet deep around an elevated USGS 
  gage house. The dirt road by the boat ramp will begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:45 AM EDT Tuesday the stage was 19.7 feet and nearly
    steady.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:45 AM EDT Tuesday was 19.8 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a record crest of
    20.67 feet on 04/15/1998.


&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311


$$

130 
WGUS82 KFFC 290016
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
816 PM EDT Tue Mar 28 2023

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Oconee River at Milledgeville affecting Washington, Wilkinson and 
  Baldwin Counties.

GAC009-303-319-290130-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-230329T0016Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.230326T2033Z.230328T0445Z.230328T2335Z.NO/
816 PM EDT Tue Mar 28 2023

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Oconee River at Milledgeville.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM EDT Tuesday the stage was 21.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 11.9 feet early
    Sunday afternoon.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 26, 1:57 PM EDT, 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 26, 1:57 PM EDT, 55 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
157 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

...New 18Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 346 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

A favorable environment for active weather remains in place across
the entire south east. The OOZ sounding indicates steep low level
lapse rates and SB CAPE at 1200K/KG. Dewpoints have remain in the
mid to upper 60s south of a cold front that has all but stalled
across northern Georgia. The only thing the environment needs is a
push to get things going. Which it may get with a short wave that
pushes through this morning.

A few storms in Alabama have already begin to pop along the front
and have found themselves in environment favorable for developing a
significant hail core and damaging winds. We're expecting this trend
to continue and these storms will likely begin to impact our CWA
after 5 AM.

Timing and location have still been challenging to nail down. A Td
boundary has set up across northern GA slicing the metro in two
along an SW to NE axis. Given the latest guidance, confidence is
beginning to grow that the severe threat will remain largely south
and east of a line from LaGrange to Athens. The primary threat with
these storms will be damaging winds and large hail but an isolated
tornado can't be ruled out; especially closer to the GA/AL border
where SRH will approach 200 m2/s-2.

This afternoon, the threat for severe weather will begin to
diminish, but heavy rain and thunderstorms are expected to continue
along the front leading to the next potential hazard which will be
flash flooding. WPC indicates a slight risk for excessive rainfall
supported by a bullseye of QPF along and south of the cold front in
excess of 3" Sunday and into Monday. A flood watch may be warranted
later this morning.

Vaughn

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 346 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

A short-lived reprieve from a very active Short Term period will
begin Monday night as a weak frontal boundary stalls across Central
Georgia once again. With a reinforcing push from a drier,
continental airmass on its way, one final wave of precipitation is
expected Tuesday morning and afternoon. A weak upper-level impulse
will be moving embedded within quasi-zonal flow aloft with just
enough moisture and lift to squeezed out a round of numerous, light
showers and isolated thunderstorms primarily across Central Georgia
ahead of a stronger cold front forecast on Tuesday Night.

By Wednesday, a surface high pressure will finally dominate the
weather pattern across the state as surface dewpoints drop into the
mid 30s in North Georgia and mid 40s in Central Georgia. This break
in the active weather is expected to last roughly through Friday,
with some mid-level ridging setting up on Thursday morning through
Friday morning before upper-level southwesterly flow sets in. With
the surface high pressure in place, temperatures are expected to
gradually climb each day with highs in the upper 60s forecast on
Wednesday climb to near 80 on Friday. Additionally, PWATs will also
gradually increase as mid- and upper-level moisture advect in to the
area over the surface high with values jumping from 0.25-0.50 inches
on Wednesday morning to around 1.25 inches on Friday afternoon,
priming the area for the next round of active showers and storms.

On Saturday, an upper-level shortwave with an accompanied low
pressure system across the MidWest will pull up Gulf moisture into
the region before a cold front enters the Southeastern CONUS. Model
consensus is pretty high currently, but seeing how this is well in
the extended forecast, changes may occur in the coming days.
However, at this moment rain showers and thunderstorms are once
again expected, though there's hope that at least this system could
be one that exits quickly and doesn't linger for several days.

Thiem

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 141 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

A very complex forecast will be in place over this TAF period with
rounds of showers and storms as well as reduced cigs/vsbys.
Initial shra/tsra have shifted largely south of ATL area sites,
though shra could potentially approach sites through this
afternoon. Otherwise, cigs will vary between MVFR and patchy IFR
at times this afternoon with IFR becoming predominant after 00Z.
Widespread shra/tsra also expected to return after 00Z and
spread SE through 12Z. Shra/tsra will end from NW to SE from
12-18Z Monday. Cigs will gradually improve after 15Z. Winds will
remain largely SSW this afternoon becoming SSE after 00Z and
returning SSW after 06Z at speeds 5-10 kts.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Low to medium on all elements.

RW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          61  79  50  68 / 100  40  20  40
Atlanta         63  77  52  67 / 100  30  20  40
Blairsville     55  72  44  64 /  90  10  10  30
Cartersville    60  77  48  67 / 100  10  20  30
Columbus        64  81  56  70 /  80  70  30  50
Gainesville     60  77  50  67 / 100  20  20  30
Macon           64  80  56  70 /  80  70  30  50
Rome            60  77  48  69 /  90  10  10  30
Peachtree City  62  79  51  69 / 100  40  30  40
Vidalia         67  81  61  73 /  40  70  40  60

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Monday morning for GAZ036>039-046>062-
066>076-078>085-089>095.

&&

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....Thiem
AVIATION...RW

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 26, 9:06 AM EDT, 5 hours 46 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
906 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-271000-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
906 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

A stationary frontal boundary will remain situated across north
and central portions of Georgia through tonight. The boundary
will serve as a focus for multiple waves of showers and
thunderstorms through early morning. Heavy rainfall will be
likely, and a Flash Flood Watch has been issued for widespread
totals of 1 to 3 inches of rainfall, with locally higher amounts
of up to 5 inches possible.

In addition, strong to severe storms will be possible later this
afternoon and into the overnight hours, mainly along and south of
the Interstate 20 corridor. The primary severe weather hazards
will be damaging wind gusts and large hail. Brief tornadoes will
also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

There is the potential for multiple rounds of heavy showers and
thunderstorms through Tuesday, with strong to severe storms and
isolated flash flooding possible each day.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 26, 2:03 PM EDT, 49 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
203 PM EDT SUN MAR 26 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0203 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NW LIFSEY SPRINGS     33.05N 84.40W
03/26/2023                   PIKE               GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            INTERSECTION CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

NLIST

Local storm report, Mar 26, 2:05 PM EDT, 47 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
205 PM EDT SUN MAR 26 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0205 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 ESE CONCORD           33.08N 84.41W
03/26/2023                   PIKE               GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROAD CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

NLIST

Local storm report, Mar 26, 2:06 PM EDT, 46 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
206 PM EDT SUN MAR 26 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0206 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SSW LIFSEY SPRINGS    33.01N 84.39W
03/26/2023                   PIKE               GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROAD CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

NLIST

Local storm report, Mar 26, 2:08 PM EDT, 44 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
208 PM EDT SUN MAR 26 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0207 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 S CONCORD             33.05N 84.44W
03/26/2023                   PIKE               GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROAD CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

NLIST

Local storm report, Mar 26, 2:12 PM EDT, 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
212 PM EDT SUN MAR 26 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0211 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 ESE ZEBULON           33.09N 84.30W
03/26/2023                   PIKE               GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CAMPGROUND ROAD IS WASHED OUT.

&&

NLIST

Local storm report, Mar 26, 2:13 PM EDT, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
213 PM EDT SUN MAR 26 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0213 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NW MOLENA             33.02N 84.51W
03/26/2023                   PIKE               GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DANIEL ROAD CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

NLIST

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 25, 8:17 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Stewart	28 min
Mar 25, 9:26 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Muscogee	34 min
Mar 26, 3:09 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Troup	36 min
Mar 26, 4:11 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Harris, Troup	64 min
Mar 26, 4:28 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Heard	32 min
Mar 26, 4:55 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Meriwether	50 min
Mar 26, 5:03 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Coweta, Heard	27 min
Mar 26, 5:24 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	FFC	Clayton, Coweta, Fayette, Henry, Spalding	51 min
Mar 26, 5:28 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Lamar, Pike, Upson	47 min
Mar 26, 5:37 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Troup	38 min
Mar 26, 5:39 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Heard	51 min
Mar 26, 5:52 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Upson	8 min
Mar 26, 6:02 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Monroe	43 min
Mar 26, 6:05 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Butts, Henry, Spalding	40 min
Mar 26, 6:10 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Butts, Jasper, Jones, Lamar, Monroe, Putnam	50 min
Mar 26, 6:11 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Coweta, Meriwether, Troup	34 min
Mar 26, 6:31 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Troup	59 min
Mar 26, 6:34 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Jasper, Morgan, Newton, Putnam	12 min
Mar 26, 6:38 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Coweta, Fayette, Lamar, Meriwether, Pike, Spalding	52 min
Mar 26, 6:52 AM EDT	Tornado Warning	FFC	Harris, Meriwether, Troup	38 min
Mar 26, 6:57 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Baldwin, Greene, Hancock, Jasper, Jones, Putnam	48 min
Mar 26, 7:11 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Meriwether	49 min
Mar 26, 7:23 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Butts, Henry, Lamar, Monroe, Pike, Spalding	32 min
Mar 26, 7:25 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Meriwether	35 min
Mar 26, 7:37 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Baldwin, Hancock, Washington	53 min
Mar 26, 7:41 AM EDT	Tornado Warning	FFC	Baldwin, Hancock	34 min
Mar 26, 7:45 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Lamar, Meriwether, Pike, Upson	30 min
Mar 26, 7:58 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Putnam	47 min
Mar 26, 8:01 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Troup	44 min
Mar 26, 8:05 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Butts	40 min
Mar 26, 8:15 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Glascock, Hancock, Warren, Washington	45 min
Mar 26, 8:16 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Upson	29 min
Mar 26, 8:31 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	FFC	Meriwether, Pike, Upson	8 hr
Mar 26, 8:50 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Lamar, Monroe, Pike	55 min
Mar 26, 8:56 AM EDT	Flood Watch	FFC	Baldwin, Banks, Barrow, Bibb, Butts, Carroll and 55 more	29 hr
Mar 26, 9:13 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Troup	47 min
Mar 26, 9:15 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Jasper	30 min
Mar 26, 9:35 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	FFC	Jasper, Jones, Lamar, Monroe, Putnam	6 hr
Mar 26, 9:39 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Hancock, Warren	66 min
Mar 26, 9:47 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	FFC	Meriwether, Pike, Troup	4 hr
Mar 26, 9:58 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Glascock	32 min
Mar 26, 10:04 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Glascock, Jefferson, Warren	26 min
Mar 26, 10:06 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	FFC	Fayette, Spalding	56 hr
Mar 26, 10:26 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	FFC	Baldwin, Hancock, Putnam, Warren	6 hr
Mar 26, 10:36 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Baldwin, Glascock	54 min
Mar 26, 11:12 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Troup	33 min
Mar 26, 12:08 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	FFC	Jones	42 hr
Mar 26, 3:00 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	FFC	Johnson, Washington, Wilkinson	6 days
Mar 26, 4:16 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	FFC	Bibb, Houston, Jones, Monroe, Twiggs	4 days
Mar 26, 4:36 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Chattahoochee, Muscogee	39 min
Mar 26, 5:00 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	FFC	Stewart, Webster	45 min
Mar 26, 5:04 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	FFC	Troup	51 hr
Mar 26, 5:06 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Chattahoochee, Muscogee, Talbot	39 min
Mar 26, 5:35 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Upson	25 min
Mar 26, 5:39 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	FFC	Stewart, Webster	51 min
Mar 26, 6:15 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Schley	30 min
Mar 26, 6:46 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Macon, Schley	29 min
Mar 26, 7:10 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Harris	35 min
Mar 26, 7:19 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Harris, Troup	41 min
Mar 26, 7:50 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Henry	25 min
Mar 26, 7:52 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Harris, Meriwether, Troup	38 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2023 Every river flood warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.