Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Atlanta, GA

158 
WGUS72 KFFC 261805
FFSFFC

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
205 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

GAC199-231-285-261815-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-230326T1945Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Meriwether GA-Pike GA-Troup GA-
205 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR MERIWETHER, NORTHERN PIKE 
AND TROUP COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended and flooding is no longer expected to pose 
a threat. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 800 AM EDT Monday for portions 
of central Georgia, east central Georgia, north central Georgia, 
northeast Georgia and west central Georgia.

LAT...LON 3287 8518 3300 8521 3321 8486 3320 8487
      3319 8485 3322 8485 3322 8451 3319 8450
      3321 8443 3318 8435 3319 8425 3313 8425
      3313 8434 3305 8447 3301 8460 3301 8469
      3293 8483 3287 8484

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
928 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

...Morning Update...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 916 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

Widespread thunderstorms are ongoing this morning, focused near a
lingering stationary frontal boundary bisecting the center of the
CWA. These storms will train across the same areas as deep layer
flow remains aligned along the boundary. Given the training of
these efficient rainfall producers, a Flood Watch has been issued
for this area for the ongoing and increasing threat of flash
flooding. The watch will remain in place through 12Z Monday as an
additional round of showers and thunderstorms will occur within
these same areas overnight as another shortwave pushes through.
Additional rainfall amounts of 1-3" with locally higher amounts
of 3-5" are expected through this afternoon and into tonight. The
threat for severe weather also remains for these areas for the
next few hours where an ongoing Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm
Watch are in effect.

RW

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 346 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

A favorable environment for active weather remains in place across
the entire south east. The OOZ sounding indicates steep low level
lapse rates and SB CAPE at 1200K/KG. Dewpoints have remain in the
mid to upper 60s south of a cold front that has all but stalled
across northern Georgia. The only thing the environment needs is a
push to get things going. Which it may get with a short wave that
pushes through this morning.

A few storms in Alabama have already begin to pop along the front
and have found themselves in environment favorable for developing a
significant hail core and damaging winds. We're expecting this trend
to continue and these storms will likely begin to impact our CWA
after 5 AM.

Timing and location have still been challenging to nail down. A Td
boundary has set up across northern GA slicing the metro in two
along an SW to NE axis. Given the latest guidance, confidence is
beginning to grow that the severe threat will remain largely south
and east of a line from LaGrange to Athens. The primary threat with
these storms will be damaging winds and large hail but an isolated
tornado can't be ruled out; especially closer to the GA/AL border
where SRH will approach 200 m2/s-2.

This afternoon, the threat for severe weather will begin to
diminish, but heavy rain and thunderstorms are expected to continue
along the front leading to the next potential hazard which will be
flash flooding. WPC indicates a slight risk for excessive rainfall
supported by a bullseye of QPF along and south of the cold front in
excess of 3" Sunday and into Monday. A flood watch may be warranted
later this morning.

Vaughn

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 346 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

A short-lived reprieve from a very active Short Term period will
begin Monday night as a weak frontal boundary stalls across Central
Georgia once again. With a reinforcing push from a drier,
continental airmass on its way, one final wave of precipitation is
expected Tuesday morning and afternoon. A weak upper-level impulse
will be moving embedded within quasi-zonal flow aloft with just
enough moisture and lift to squeezed out a round of numerous, light
showers and isolated thunderstorms primarily across Central Georgia
ahead of a stronger cold front forecast on Tuesday Night.

By Wednesday, a surface high pressure will finally dominate the
weather pattern across the state as surface dewpoints drop into the
mid 30s in North Georgia and mid 40s in Central Georgia. This break
in the active weather is expected to last roughly through Friday,
with some mid-level ridging setting up on Thursday morning through
Friday morning before upper-level southwesterly flow sets in. With
the surface high pressure in place, temperatures are expected to
gradually climb each day with highs in the upper 60s forecast on
Wednesday climb to near 80 on Friday. Additionally, PWATs will also
gradually increase as mid- and upper-level moisture advect in to the
area over the surface high with values jumping from 0.25-0.50 inches
on Wednesday morning to around 1.25 inches on Friday afternoon,
priming the area for the next round of active showers and storms.

On Saturday, an upper-level shortwave with an accompanied low
pressure system across the MidWest will pull up Gulf moisture into
the region before a cold front enters the Southeastern CONUS. Model
consensus is pretty high currently, but seeing how this is well in
the extended forecast, changes may occur in the coming days.
However, at this moment rain showers and thunderstorms are once
again expected, though there's hope that at least this system could
be one that exits quickly and doesn't linger for several days.

Thiem

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 722 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

As winds become more SSW after 12Z, TSRA are more likely to push
north into ATL. The TEMPO for TSRA for 12-16Z still remains the best
time for ATL to see impacts. SHRA is expected to come to a pause
between 17-02Z and another wave will push through after 02Z. Winds
will remain west of south but could be variable at times; especially
between waves.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...

Medium on TSRA timing and winds
Medium to High on all other elements

Vaughn

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          61  79  50  68 /  90  60  20  40
Atlanta         63  77  52  67 /  90  70  20  40
Blairsville     55  72  44  64 /  80  40  10  30
Cartersville    60  77  48  67 /  80  30  20  30
Columbus        64  81  56  70 /  80  80  30  50
Gainesville     60  77  50  67 /  90  60  10  30
Macon           64  80  56  70 /  70  70  20  50
Rome            60  77  48  69 /  70   0  10  30
Peachtree City  62  79  51  69 /  90  70  20  40
Vidalia         67  81  61  73 /  50  50  20  60

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Monday morning for GAZ036>039-046>062-
066>076-078>085-089>095.

&&

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....Thiem
AVIATION...Vaughn

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
906 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-271000-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
906 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

A stationary frontal boundary will remain situated across north
and central portions of Georgia through tonight. The boundary
will serve as a focus for multiple waves of showers and
thunderstorms through early morning. Heavy rainfall will be
likely, and a Flash Flood Watch has been issued for widespread
totals of 1 to 3 inches of rainfall, with locally higher amounts
of up to 5 inches possible.

In addition, strong to severe storms will be possible later this
afternoon and into the overnight hours, mainly along and south of
the Interstate 20 corridor. The primary severe weather hazards
will be damaging wind gusts and large hail. Brief tornadoes will
also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

There is the potential for multiple rounds of heavy showers and
thunderstorms through Tuesday, with strong to severe storms and
isolated flash flooding possible each day.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
856 AM EDT SUN MAR 26 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N MILLEDGEVILLE       33.09N 83.23W
03/26/2023                   BALDWIN            GA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            SEVERAL TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN NEAR THE
            INTERSECTION OF MLK AND JEFFERSON ST.

&&

MGW

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
913 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

GAZ066-078-261400-
Harris GA-Troup GA-
913 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Troup and
northwestern Harris Counties through 1000 AM EDT...

At 913 AM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from State Line Park to near Denson to Chambers County
Lake, and moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, up to penny sized hail, frequent cloud
         to ground lightning and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
LaGrange, West Point, Hogansville, Mountville, Cannonville, Louise,
State Line Park, Abbottsford, Piedmont Heights, Hillcrest, Big
Springs, Wares Crossroads, Jones Crossroads, Baughs Crossroads,
Smiths Crossroad, Whitesville-Pine Lake and Long Cane.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM EDT for west central
Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3322 8486 3292 8486 3276 8513 3276 8514
      3278 8512 3281 8517 3283 8517 3285 8515
      3286 8519 3307 8522
TIME...MOT...LOC 1313Z 257DEG 29KT 3302 8519 3291 8527 3283 8536

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
915 AM EDT SUN MAR 26 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NW PINE MOUNTAIN-CALL 32.90N 84.91W
03/26/2023                   TROUP              GA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MULTIPLE TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN NEAR OAK
            GROVE RD NW OF PINE MOUNTAIN GA.

&&

MGW

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
915 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

GAZ059-071-072-261345-
Monroe GA-Jones GA-Jasper GA-
915 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Monroe,
northwestern Jones and southern Jasper Counties through 945 AM EDT...

At 915 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Forsyth, moving east at
40 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, up to penny sized hail, frequent cloud
         to ground lightning and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Bradley, Wayside, Hillsboro, Berner, Round Oak, Juliette,
Adgateville, Plant Scherer and Jarrell Plantation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM EDT for central
Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3304 8392 3317 8392 3320 8384 3318 8382
      3319 8381 3320 8382 3330 8354 3305 8355
TIME...MOT...LOC 1315Z 254DEG 35KT 3310 8390

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
929 AM EDT SUN MAR 26 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0743 AM     TORNADO          1 WNW MILLEDGEVILLE     33.09N 83.24W
03/26/2023                   BALDWIN            GA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            MULTIPLE TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN ACROSS
            NORTH MILLEDGEVILLE. THE HOSPITAL SUSTAINED
            ROOF DAMAGE.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
939 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

GAZ061-062-075-261445-
Hancock GA-Glascock GA-Warren GA-
939 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Warren, central
Hancock and northern Glascock Counties through 1045 AM EDT...

At 938 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was centered near Sparta,
moving east at 45 mph. Very heavy rainfall was also occurring.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, up to penny sized hail, frequent cloud
         to ground lightning and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         minor flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Warrenton, Sparta, Norwood, Camak, Springfield, Shoals, Devereux,
Jewell, Beall Springs, Mayfield, Powelton, Reese, Mesena,
Shoulderbone, Bastonville and Culverton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM EDT for east central
Georgia.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 PM EDT for
east central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3330 8240 3318 8309 3339 8309 3344 8292
      3344 8285 3346 8286 3354 8262 3346 8259
      3341 8255 3335 8255 3336 8253 3334 8250
      3334 8245 3333 8242 3332 8241 3331 8239
TIME...MOT...LOC 1338Z 254DEG 40KT 3329 8298

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH