Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2022

Tornado Watch 561

November 4, 202237 counties in Arkansas; 5 parishes in Louisiana; 32 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 4, 2022, 5:36 PM CDT for 37 counties in Arkansas; 5 parishes in Louisiana; 32 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Nov 4, 2022, 5:36 PM CDT (22:36 UTC)
Expired: Nov 5, 2022, 12:00 AM CDT
In force: 6 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected: 1.5 in
Strongest gust expected: 60 kt

All 74 counties

Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Izard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Marion County, AR, Miller County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Newton County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Houston County, TX, Madison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Panola County, TX, Polk County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Walker County, TX, Washington County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 153 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes: 70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes: 50%
Ten or more severe wind reports: 70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more: 20%
Ten or more severe hail reports: 30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more: 20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports: 90%

Warnings issued inside it

60 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Nov 4, 5:52 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SHV	Smith, Upshur, Wood	38 min
Nov 4, 5:53 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SHV	Red River	52 min
Nov 4, 6:01 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SHV	Wood	44 min
Nov 4, 6:22 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Scott	38 min
Nov 4, 6:22 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SHV	Camp, Morris, Titus, Upshur	38 min
Nov 4, 6:25 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SHV	Smith	35 min
Nov 4, 6:36 PM CDT	Tornado Warning EmergencyTornado observedConsiderable damage threat	SHV	Red River	39 min
Nov 4, 6:40 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SHV	Smith, Upshur, Wood	35 min
Nov 4, 6:51 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threat	SHV	Bowie, Cass, Morris, Titus	39 min
Nov 4, 6:57 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Logan, Scott	48 min
Nov 4, 7:00 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Logan, Scott	22 min
Nov 4, 7:05 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Considerable damage threat	SHV	Sevier	40 min
Nov 4, 7:11 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SHV	Camp, Cass, Marion, Morris, Upshur	34 min
Nov 4, 7:13 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Logan	47 min
Nov 4, 7:19 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Montgomery, Pike, Polk	41 min
Nov 4, 7:22 PM CDT	Tornado Warning EmergencyTornado observedConsiderable damage threat	SHV	Little River	38 min
Nov 4, 7:25 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SHV	Howard	35 min
Nov 4, 7:30 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SHV	Cherokee, Rusk	45 min
Nov 4, 7:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Boone, Newton	40 min
Nov 4, 7:39 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SHV	Cherokee, Nacogdoches, Rusk	51 min
Nov 4, 7:40 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SHV	Bowie, Cass, Morris	50 min
Nov 4, 7:50 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Johnson, Logan	40 min
Nov 4, 7:50 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SHV	Howard, Little River, Sevier	25 min
Nov 4, 7:52 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Boone	17 min
Nov 4, 7:58 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	LZK	Montgomery, Polk, Scott, Yell	47 min
Nov 4, 8:01 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Logan, Scott	3 hr
Nov 4, 8:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Boone, Marion	52 min
Nov 4, 8:08 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Considerable damage threat	SHV	Howard, Little River, Sevier	52 min
Nov 4, 8:14 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SHV	Panola, Rusk	36 min
Nov 4, 8:15 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SHV	Little River, Miller	22 min
Nov 4, 8:26 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Pike	49 min
Nov 4, 8:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Johnson, Logan, Newton, Pope, Searcy, Van Buren	48 min
Nov 4, 8:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Boone, Marion, Newton, Searcy	46 min
Nov 4, 8:39 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Johnson, Logan, Newton	3 hr
Nov 4, 8:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	SHV	Columbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Nevada	50 min
Nov 4, 8:41 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Logan, Montgomery, Perry, Scott, Yell	49 min
Nov 4, 9:02 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Clark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Pike	31 min
Nov 4, 9:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Baxter, Marion, Pope, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren	52 min
Nov 4, 9:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Montgomery, Perry, Saline	49 min
Nov 4, 9:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	SHV	Caddo	49 min
Nov 4, 9:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Conway, Perry, Pope, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren and 1 more	42 min
Nov 4, 9:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Nevada	22 min
Nov 4, 9:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Clark, Dallas, Hot Spring, Ouachita, Pike	50 min
Nov 4, 9:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	HGX	Polk	20 min
Nov 4, 9:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Baxter, Fulton, Izard, Marion	49 min
Nov 4, 9:53 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Baxter, Fulton	14 min
Nov 4, 9:54 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Clark, Dallas, Hot Spring	32 min
Nov 4, 10:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, De Soto, Red River, Sabine and 1 more	63 min
Nov 4, 10:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Conway, Faulkner, Garland, Hot Spring, Perry, Pulaski and 1 more	42 min
Nov 4, 10:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Baxter, Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Izard, Searcy and 3 more	40 min
Nov 4, 10:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Clark, Cleveland, Dallas, Garland, Grant, Hot Spring and 4 more	52 min
Nov 4, 10:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Bienville, Bossier, Claiborne, Webster	60 min
Nov 4, 10:38 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Grant, Hot Spring, Saline	28 min
Nov 4, 10:51 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SHV	Bienville, Bossier, Lincoln, Webster	23 min
Nov 4, 10:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Bienville, Bossier, De Soto, Natchitoches, Red River, Sabine and 1 more	67 min
Nov 4, 10:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Faulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline, White	48 min
Nov 4, 11:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Cleburne, Faulkner, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Lawrence and 4 more	43 min
Nov 4, 11:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Grant, Jefferson, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski and 1 more	40 min
Nov 4, 11:09 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	LZK	Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline	23 min
Nov 4, 11:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Grant, Jefferson and 1 more	45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 168 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 798 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 81 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 88 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Nov 4, 11:28 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Crawford, Polk, Sebastian, Sevier	62 min
Nov 4, 1:02 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more	7 hr
Nov 4, 5:13 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Logan, Miller, Montgomery and 6 more	92 min
Nov 3, 10:27 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Hemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree, Roberts	3 hr
Nov 4, 2:53 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Collingsworth, Gray, Hemphill, Lipscomb, Roberts, Wheeler	3 hr
Nov 4, 2:47 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Bosque, Collin, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton and 17 more	118 min
Nov 4, 6:26 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Bastrop, Caldwell, DeWitt, Goliad, Gonzales, Guadalupe and 5 more	2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2022 Tornado Watches in Texas, 2022 Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2022 Every tornado watch in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.