Severe Thunderstorm Warning 92, NWS North Platte, NE

686 
WWUS53 KLBF 301725
SVSLBF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1225 PM CDT Mon May 30 2022

NEC089-183-301735-
/O.EXP.KLBF.SV.W.0092.000000T0000Z-220530T1730Z/
Holt NE-Wheeler NE-
1225 PM CDT Mon May 30 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN HOLT AND
NORTHEASTERN WHEELER COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1230 PM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 4190 9834 4198 9856 4255 9831 4255 9830
      4195 9829
TIME...MOT...LOC 1725Z 208DEG 31KT 4220 9828 

$$

CDC

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1020 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1020 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

The wind forecast today gets an update for gusts near 50 mph
across the Sandhills and ncntl Nebraska this afternoon. The
forecast is based on a blend of the short term models and the 500m
AGL winds of 30 to 35 mph shown in the synoptic models such as
the ECM and GFS.

It is important to note the Bufkit RAP model indicates high wind
gust potential while the NAM does not. Both models show low topped
convection and modest CAPE <500 J/KG which could mix down strong
winds aloft.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 402 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

Thunderstorm activity will continue today. The surface cold front
will remain draped through north central Nebraska as the surface low
migrates northeast through South Dakota. Storms will redevelop in
the late morning and early afternoon along the front. There is also
plenty of upper level support via an upper level jet. Although the
jet will be stronger to the east, speeds are 100 knots at 250 mb and
60 knots at 500 mb in north central Nebraska by the early afternoon.
Strong thunderstorms are possible with large hail and strong winds
as the main threats. Steep mid level lapse rates remain and MLCAPE
between 1500 and 2500 J/kg will be present along the front. An
isolated tornado might also be possible in far north central
Nebraska, but confidence is lower than yesterday based on dryer
soundings, weaker signatures on hodographs, and low helicity.
Steering winds aloft may push the storms north along the front
quickly, limiting the window of storm potential in north central
Nebraska. By the mid-afternoon, thunderstorms should be to the north
and east of the forecast area as the front moves east with the low.

There is also the potential for heavy rainfall in  the Panhandle and
Sandhills. Energy from upper level low rotates through that area
during the day and sufficient moisture is present at the surface
with dew points in the 50s.  Persistent rainfall is forecasted to
bring between 1.5 and 2 inches of total QPF by Tuesday morning. Some
thunderstorms may be strong at this time and location, but
widespread severe weather is not expected. Recent dry conditions at
the surface should also keep flood potential limited. Winds will be
strong out of the west during the afternoon across the forecast area
as the surface low still maintains influence over regional weather.
The position of the front also results in a steep temperature
gradient, with highs in the 50s in the Panhandle and in the 70s in
central Nebraska.

The weather pattern becomes less active Monday night into Tuesday as
the surface and upper level lows continue north out of Minnesota
into Canada. The upper level jet may still support some rainfall
in the Panhandle, but this should taper off by the afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 402 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

There is another possibility for precipitation on Wednesday as an
upper level disturbance moves east across Nebraska. Severe weather
is not expected at this time and rainfall totals should remain
light. Wednesday is the coolest day in the long term, with highs in
the 50s and 60s, which is between 15 and 20 degrees below normal for
early June. Temperatures increase and conditions dry out on Thursday
and Friday as an upper level ridge builds over the High Plains.
Precipitation chances return Friday night and into early next week
as a zonal pattern develops over Nebraska and a series of
disturbances move across the state. Temperatures remain below normal
through this time period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday morning)
Issued at 650 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

Wind and thunder will be the main challenges this TAF period.
Expect VCTS at both KVTN and KLBF throughout the day. Will amend
for predominate as radar trends dictate. Environment favors hail
production so expect any thunderstorms will be capable of hail.

There are indications for a narrow corridor of very strong winds
to push into central Nebraska from the west, but confidence in
timing and location are lacking. Will include some robust gusts
through this afternoon but leave out high end gusts until
confidence increases.

Low level moisture looks a bit limited across southern Nebraska so
expect KLBF will maintain VFR conditions outside of thunderstorms.
Moisture is deeper to the north and KVTN will trend down to MVFR
and may flirt with IFR later this afternoon.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

UPDATE...CDC
SHORT TERM...Meltzer
LONG TERM...Meltzer
AVIATION...MBS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service North Platte NE
351 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-310900-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-
Grant-Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-
Logan-Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
351 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022 /251 AM MDT Mon May 30 2022/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and
north central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

There is a marginal to slight risk for severe thunderstorms
generally east of highway 83 today with primary threats of
damaging winds and large hail.

There is an enhanced risk for severe thunderstorms today across
northeastern Nebraska with primary threats of damaging winds,
large hail, and a tornado is also possible.

Locally heavy rainfall is also possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

No hazardous weather is expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS.

&&

Full forecast details can be found on our website at
http://www.weather.gov/northplatte

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1040 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 AM     HAIL             BRADY                   41.02N 100.37W
05/30/2022  E1.50 INCH       LINCOLN            NE   CO-OP OBSERVER

            REPORTED CAR WINDOW BROKEN OUT FROM HAIL.

&&

GOMEZ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1050 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

NEZ007-010-301615-
Holt NE-Boyd NE-
1050 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Holt
and eastern Boyd Counties through 1115 AM CDT...

At 1050 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles south of Lynch, or 17 miles southeast of Spencer, moving north
at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lynch, Gross, Monowi, Dorsey, Scottville and Redbird State Wildlife
Management Area.

This includes Highway 12 between mile markers 131 and 144.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4296 9848 4293 9844 4293 9841 4288 9831
      4278 9830 4261 9833 4262 9857 4300 9858
      4300 9850
TIME...MOT...LOC 1550Z 183DEG 42KT 4270 9845

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

CDC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1052 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

NEZ010-028-029-301630-
Wheeler NE-Holt NE-Garfield NE-
1052 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Garfield, central Holt and northwestern Wheeler Counties through 1130
AM CDT...

At 1052 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Chambers, or 23 miles southwest of O'neill, moving north at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
O'neill, O'Neill, Atkinson, Chambers, Amelia, Emmet, Sunfish Lake,
Midway and Scottville.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 20 between mile markers 284 and 312.
 Highway 281 between mile markers 167 and 203.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4205 9871 4206 9895 4274 9911 4275 9846
TIME...MOT...LOC 1552Z 183DEG 42KT 4214 9883

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

CDC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1143 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

NEZ007-010-301700-
Holt NE-Boyd NE-
1143 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northeastern Holt and
eastern Boyd Counties through NOON CDT...

At 1143 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Lynch to near Ewing. Movement was north at
40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Spencer, Lynch, Page, Gross, Inman, Bristow, Monowi, Opportunity,
Spencer Dam, Dorsey, Scottville and Redbird State Wildlife Management
Area.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 20 between mile markers 316 and 328.
 Highway 281 between mile markers 203 and 223.
 Highway 12 between mile markers 123 and 144.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 9844 4293 9841 4288 9831 4230 9830
      4231 9851 4300 9875 4300 9850
TIME...MOT...LOC 1643Z 186DEG 32KT 4276 9845 4232 9834

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

CDC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1147 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

NEZ009-027-301730-
Loup NE-Rock NE-
1147 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Rock,
northeastern Loup and western Holt Counties through 1230 PM CDT...

At 1147 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 12
miles northwest of Calamus Reservoir State Recreation Area, or 14
miles north of Taylor, moving north at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Rose, Fox Bayou, Horseshoe Bend Lake, Pony Lake, Sybrant, Twin Lakes
State Wildlife Management Area and Hannamon Bayou Campground.

This includes Highway 183 between mile markers 133 and 174.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4244 9924 4229 9923 4189 9933 4190 9957
      4247 9955
TIME...MOT...LOC 1647Z 186DEG 31KT 4197 9945

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

CDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1159 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1129 AM     HAIL             11 N ONEILL             42.62N 98.65W
05/30/2022  E1.00 INCH       HOLT               NE   PUBLIC

&&

GOMEZ