Severe Thunderstorm Warning 91, NWS North Platte, NE

592 
WWUS53 KLBF 301645
SVSLBF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1145 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

NEC089-183-301700-
/O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0091.000000T0000Z-220530T1700Z/
Holt NE-Wheeler NE-
1145 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN HOLT AND EASTERN WHEELER COUNTIES...

At 1145 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Bartlett, or
33 miles northeast of Ord, moving north at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Ewing, Bartlett, Knievels Corner, Cumminsville, Four Corners, Pibel
Lake State Recreation Area and Goose Lake State Wildlife Management
Area.

This includes Highway 281 between mile markers 136 and 171.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4174 9851 4174 9852 4204 9866 4229 9875
      4229 9830 4217 9830
TIME...MOT...LOC 1645Z 195DEG 37KT 4197 9850 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

CDC

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1020 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1020 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

The wind forecast today gets an update for gusts near 50 mph
across the Sandhills and ncntl Nebraska this afternoon. The
forecast is based on a blend of the short term models and the 500m
AGL winds of 30 to 35 mph shown in the synoptic models such as
the ECM and GFS.

It is important to note the Bufkit RAP model indicates high wind
gust potential while the NAM does not. Both models show low topped
convection and modest CAPE <500 J/KG which could mix down strong
winds aloft.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 402 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

Thunderstorm activity will continue today. The surface cold front
will remain draped through north central Nebraska as the surface low
migrates northeast through South Dakota. Storms will redevelop in
the late morning and early afternoon along the front. There is also
plenty of upper level support via an upper level jet. Although the
jet will be stronger to the east, speeds are 100 knots at 250 mb and
60 knots at 500 mb in north central Nebraska by the early afternoon.
Strong thunderstorms are possible with large hail and strong winds
as the main threats. Steep mid level lapse rates remain and MLCAPE
between 1500 and 2500 J/kg will be present along the front. An
isolated tornado might also be possible in far north central
Nebraska, but confidence is lower than yesterday based on dryer
soundings, weaker signatures on hodographs, and low helicity.
Steering winds aloft may push the storms north along the front
quickly, limiting the window of storm potential in north central
Nebraska. By the mid-afternoon, thunderstorms should be to the north
and east of the forecast area as the front moves east with the low.

There is also the potential for heavy rainfall in  the Panhandle and
Sandhills. Energy from upper level low rotates through that area
during the day and sufficient moisture is present at the surface
with dew points in the 50s.  Persistent rainfall is forecasted to
bring between 1.5 and 2 inches of total QPF by Tuesday morning. Some
thunderstorms may be strong at this time and location, but
widespread severe weather is not expected. Recent dry conditions at
the surface should also keep flood potential limited. Winds will be
strong out of the west during the afternoon across the forecast area
as the surface low still maintains influence over regional weather.
The position of the front also results in a steep temperature
gradient, with highs in the 50s in the Panhandle and in the 70s in
central Nebraska.

The weather pattern becomes less active Monday night into Tuesday as
the surface and upper level lows continue north out of Minnesota
into Canada. The upper level jet may still support some rainfall
in the Panhandle, but this should taper off by the afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 402 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

There is another possibility for precipitation on Wednesday as an
upper level disturbance moves east across Nebraska. Severe weather
is not expected at this time and rainfall totals should remain
light. Wednesday is the coolest day in the long term, with highs in
the 50s and 60s, which is between 15 and 20 degrees below normal for
early June. Temperatures increase and conditions dry out on Thursday
and Friday as an upper level ridge builds over the High Plains.
Precipitation chances return Friday night and into early next week
as a zonal pattern develops over Nebraska and a series of
disturbances move across the state. Temperatures remain below normal
through this time period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday morning)
Issued at 650 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

Wind and thunder will be the main challenges this TAF period.
Expect VCTS at both KVTN and KLBF throughout the day. Will amend
for predominate as radar trends dictate. Environment favors hail
production so expect any thunderstorms will be capable of hail.

There are indications for a narrow corridor of very strong winds
to push into central Nebraska from the west, but confidence in
timing and location are lacking. Will include some robust gusts
through this afternoon but leave out high end gusts until
confidence increases.

Low level moisture looks a bit limited across southern Nebraska so
expect KLBF will maintain VFR conditions outside of thunderstorms.
Moisture is deeper to the north and KVTN will trend down to MVFR
and may flirt with IFR later this afternoon.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

UPDATE...CDC
SHORT TERM...Meltzer
LONG TERM...Meltzer
AVIATION...MBS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service North Platte NE
351 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-310900-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-
Grant-Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-
Logan-Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
351 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022 /251 AM MDT Mon May 30 2022/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and
north central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

There is a marginal to slight risk for severe thunderstorms
generally east of highway 83 today with primary threats of
damaging winds and large hail.

There is an enhanced risk for severe thunderstorms today across
northeastern Nebraska with primary threats of damaging winds,
large hail, and a tornado is also possible.

Locally heavy rainfall is also possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

No hazardous weather is expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS.

&&

Full forecast details can be found on our website at
http://www.weather.gov/northplatte

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
841 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

NEZ006-007-009-010-301430-
Holt NE-Rock NE-Keya Paha NE-Boyd NE-
841 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Rock,
northwestern Holt, east central Keya Paha and Boyd Counties through
930 AM CDT...

At 840 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles northwest of Stuart, or 17 miles northeast of Bassett, moving
northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Spencer, Stuart, Butte, Naper, Gross, Bristow, Dustin, Anoka, Spencer
Dam, Parshall Bridge State Wildlife Management Area, Hull Lake State
Wildlife Management Area and Anncar.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 281 between mile markers 208 and 223.
 Highway 12 between mile markers 91 and 130.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 9844 4292 9839 4259 9909 4266 9937
      4300 9915 4299 9850
TIME...MOT...LOC 1340Z 209DEG 40KT 4269 9921

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

CDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
902 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 AM     HAIL             BRADY                   41.02N 100.37W
05/30/2022  E1.50 INCH       LINCOLN            NE   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

GOMEZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
934 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 AM     HAIL             BRADY                   41.02N 100.37W
05/30/2022  E1.75 INCH       LINCOLN            NE   PUBLIC

            GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL, REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA WITH
            PICTURES AND VIDEO.

&&

GOMEZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1040 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 AM     HAIL             BRADY                   41.02N 100.37W
05/30/2022  E1.50 INCH       LINCOLN            NE   CO-OP OBSERVER

            REPORTED CAR WINDOW BROKEN OUT FROM HAIL.

&&

GOMEZ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1050 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

NEZ007-010-301615-
Holt NE-Boyd NE-
1050 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Holt
and eastern Boyd Counties through 1115 AM CDT...

At 1050 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles south of Lynch, or 17 miles southeast of Spencer, moving north
at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lynch, Gross, Monowi, Dorsey, Scottville and Redbird State Wildlife
Management Area.

This includes Highway 12 between mile markers 131 and 144.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4296 9848 4293 9844 4293 9841 4288 9831
      4278 9830 4261 9833 4262 9857 4300 9858
      4300 9850
TIME...MOT...LOC 1550Z 183DEG 42KT 4270 9845

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

CDC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1052 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

NEZ010-028-029-301630-
Wheeler NE-Holt NE-Garfield NE-
1052 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Garfield, central Holt and northwestern Wheeler Counties through 1130
AM CDT...

At 1052 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Chambers, or 23 miles southwest of O'neill, moving north at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
O'neill, O'Neill, Atkinson, Chambers, Amelia, Emmet, Sunfish Lake,
Midway and Scottville.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 20 between mile markers 284 and 312.
 Highway 281 between mile markers 167 and 203.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4205 9871 4206 9895 4274 9911 4275 9846
TIME...MOT...LOC 1552Z 183DEG 42KT 4214 9883

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

CDC