Alert archive / Tennessee / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 558
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 10, 2021, 10:44 PM CST for 5 states. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 10, 2021, 10:44 PM CST (04:44 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 11, 2021, 5:00 AM CST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 102 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Miller County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Phillips County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Union County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Washington County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Macon County, TN, Madison County, TN, Maury County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Perry County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Wayne County, TN, Weakley County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN, Cass County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Marion County, TX
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 70%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 50%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
60 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 10:46 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lee, St. Francis | 44 min |
| Dec 10, 10:53 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Caddo | 67 min |
| Dec 10, 10:58 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Lafayette, Nevada | 62 min |
| Dec 10, 10:59 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Henry, Weakley | 46 min |
| Dec 10, 11:19 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleveland, Dallas, Grant, Jefferson | 27 min |
| Dec 10, 11:20 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Mississippi | 15 min |
| Dec 10, 11:25 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Lee, St. Francis | 9 min |
| Dec 10, 11:29 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Stewart | 46 min |
| Dec 10, 11:30 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Lafayette, Miller | 45 min |
| Dec 10, 11:37 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Henry | 27 min |
| Dec 10, 11:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Dallas, Ouachita | 48 min |
| Dec 10, 11:48 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden | 42 min |
| Dec 10, 11:52 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Crittenden | 34 min |
| Dec 10, 11:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bossier, Caddo | 49 min |
| Dec 11, 12:02 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Lee, St. Francis | 43 min |
| Dec 11, 12:03 AM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Montgomery, Stewart | 16 min |
| Dec 11, 12:05 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Shelby | 22 min |
| Dec 11, 12:09 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia, Lafayette | 51 min |
| Dec 11, 12:17 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Ouachita | 30 min |
| Dec 11, 12:19 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Montgomery, Stewart | 41 min |
| Dec 11, 12:30 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden | 30 min |
| Dec 11, 12:36 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Fayette, Hardeman, Haywood | 24 min |
| Dec 11, 12:46 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lee, Phillips, St. Francis | 44 min |
| Dec 11, 12:48 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Lee, St. Francis | 42 min |
| Dec 11, 12:57 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Carroll, Crockett, Fayette, Gibson, Hardeman, Haywood and 1 more | 48 min |
| Dec 11, 12:59 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Fayette, Hardeman, Shelby | 31 min |
| Dec 11, 1:05 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Cleveland, Desha, Lincoln | 55 min |
| Dec 11, 1:25 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Carroll, Chester, Decatur, Gibson, Hardeman and 2 more | 65 min |
| Dec 11, 1:28 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Stewart | 21 min |
| Dec 11, 1:32 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Carroll, Chester, Henderson, Madison | 28 min |
| Dec 11, 1:47 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Dickson, Hickman, Houston, Humphreys, Lewis, Montgomery and 2 more | 73 min |
| Dec 11, 1:53 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Benton, Carroll, Decatur, Henderson | 25 min |
| Dec 11, 2:03 AM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Houston, Humphreys, Stewart | 27 min |
| Dec 11, 2:07 AM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Dickson, Hickman, Humphreys, Perry | 38 min |
| Dec 11, 2:23 AM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Dickson, Houston, Montgomery, Stewart | 37 min |
| Dec 11, 2:38 AM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Dickson, Hickman, Humphreys | 37 min |
| Dec 11, 2:39 AM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Dickson, Montgomery | 14 min |
| Dec 11, 2:41 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Marshall | 49 min |
| Dec 11, 2:47 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Hickman, Lewis, Maury and 5 more | 58 min |
| Dec 11, 2:51 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | DeSoto | 2 hr |
| Dec 11, 2:55 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Panola, Tallahatchie, Yalobusha | 50 min |
| Dec 11, 2:58 AM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Williamson | 32 min |
| Dec 11, 2:59 AM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Davidson, Williamson | 31 min |
| Dec 11, 3:03 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Benton, Tippah | 42 min |
| Dec 11, 3:19 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Davidson, Hickman, Lewis, Marshall, Maury, Robertson and 5 more | 41 min |
| Dec 11, 3:21 AM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Davidson, Sumner, Wilson | 39 min |
| Dec 11, 3:29 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Davidson, Rutherford, Smith, Sumner, Trousdale, Williamson and 1 more | 46 min |
| Dec 11, 3:30 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Hardin, McNairy | 21 min |
| Dec 11, 3:33 AM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Davidson, Macon, Smith, Sumner, Trousdale, Wilson | 42 min |
| Dec 11, 3:46 AM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Clay, Macon, Sumner, Trousdale | 44 min |
| Dec 11, 3:48 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Lewis, Perry, Wayne | 42 min |
| Dec 11, 3:50 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Clay, DeKalb, Jackson, Macon, Putnam, Smith and 3 more | 17 min |
| Dec 11, 3:56 AM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Lewis, Perry, Wayne | 13 min |
| Dec 11, 3:59 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lafayette, Lee, Pontotoc, Union | 31 min |
| Dec 11, 4:03 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Lafayette, Lee, Pontotoc, Prentiss, Tallahatchie and 3 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 11, 4:07 AM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Clay, Jackson, Macon, Overton, Smith, Trousdale | 38 min |
| Dec 11, 4:11 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Clay, Fentress, Jackson, Macon, Overton, Pickett and 4 more | 34 min |
| Dec 11, 4:21 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Itawamba, Lee, Prentiss, Tishomingo | 39 min |
| Dec 11, 4:25 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Itawamba, Prentiss, Tishomingo | 35 min |
| Dec 11, 4:58 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Itawamba, Lee, Prentiss, Tishomingo | 47 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
- Mesoscale Discussion 1991 Tornado watch 552...555
- Mesoscale Discussion 1992 Tornado watch 552
- Mesoscale Discussion 1994 Tornado watch 554
- Mesoscale Discussion 1998 Tornado watch 552...554
- Mesoscale Discussion 2000 Tornado watch 555
- Mesoscale Discussion 2001 Tornado watch 552
- Mesoscale Discussion 2006 Tornado watch 554
- Mesoscale Discussion 2013 Tornado watch 558
- Mesoscale Discussion 2015 Tornado watch 558
- Mesoscale Discussion 2016 Tornado watch 558
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 47 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1725 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -13 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 759 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 78 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 398 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 420 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 4.8
- Supercell composite
- 16.2
The text
As transmitted.
714
WWUS20 KWNS 110442
SEL8
SPC WW 110442
ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-TXZ000-111100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 558
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1045 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern and eastern Arkansas
Northern Louisiana
Northern Mississippi
Western to middle Tennessee
Far northeast Texas
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 1045 PM
until 500 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Several clusters with embedded supercells should
consolidate into a broader QLCS overnight. A couple discrete
supercells may yet form in the open warm sector from northern
Louisiana into northern Mississippi.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles northwest of Nashville TN to
20 miles southeast of Shreveport LA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 552...WW 553...WW
554...WW 555...WW 556...WW 557...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
...GramsSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 6:22 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Craighead, Greene, Jackson, Mississippi, Poinsett | 53 min |
| Dec 10, 6:34 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Columbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 2 more | 4 hr |
| Dec 10, 6:37 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 10 more | 83 min |
| Dec 10, 6:51 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 10 more | 4 hr |
| Dec 10, 7:34 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Crittenden, Cross, Faulkner, Garland, Grant and 16 more | 86 min |
| Dec 10, 7:54 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson, Logan and 7 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 10, 9:40 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Clark, Cleveland, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross and 13 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 10, 10:00 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Columbia, Desha and 5 more | 90 min |
| Dec 10, 10:09 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 17 more | 96 min |
| Dec 11, 2:00 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Desha and 4 more | 90 min |
| Dec 11, 1:36 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beauregard, Caldwell, De Soto, Grant, LaSalle, Natchitoches and 4 more | 114 min |
| Dec 11, 4:02 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Caldwell, Catahoula and 9 more | 118 min |
| Dec 10, 6:21 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alcorn, Benton, Itawamba, Lafayette, Lee, Pontotoc and 4 more | 10 hr |
| Dec 11, 3:15 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alcorn, Benton, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw, Choctaw and 21 more | 90 min |
| Dec 11, 3:41 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw, Choctaw, Clay, Grenada and 11 more | 6 hr |
| Dec 11, 6:15 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Lowndes, Monroe, Oktibbeha | 90 min |
| Dec 10, 7:41 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dyer, Gibson, Henry, Lake, Obion, Weakley | 64 min |
| Dec 10, 8:35 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Montgomery | 85 min |
| Dec 10, 11:36 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cheatham, Dickson, Henry, Houston, Montgomery, Robertson and 2 more | 54 min |
| Dec 11, 2:51 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cheatham, Davidson, Rutherford, Williamson, Wilson | 84 min |
| Dec 11, 5:32 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Campbell, Claiborne, Fentress, Morgan, Pickett and 2 more | 88 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2021Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2021Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.