Alert archive / Tennessee / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 558

December 10, 20215 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 10, 2021, 10:44 PM CST for 5 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 10, 2021, 10:44 PM CST (04:44 UTC)
Expired
Dec 11, 2021, 5:00 AM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 102 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Miller County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Phillips County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Union County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Washington County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Macon County, TN, Madison County, TN, Maury County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Perry County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Wayne County, TN, Weakley County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN, Cass County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Marion County, TX

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

60 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 10, 10:46 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLee, St. Francis44 min
Dec 10, 10:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCaddo67 min
Dec 10, 10:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHempstead, Lafayette, Nevada62 min
Dec 10, 10:59 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatMEGHenry, Weakley46 min
Dec 10, 11:19 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleveland, Dallas, Grant, Jefferson27 min
Dec 10, 11:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi15 min
Dec 10, 11:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Lee, St. Francis9 min
Dec 10, 11:29 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedOHXStewart46 min
Dec 10, 11:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVLafayette, Miller45 min
Dec 10, 11:37 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatMEGHenry27 min
Dec 10, 11:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Dallas, Ouachita48 min
Dec 10, 11:48 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden42 min
Dec 10, 11:52 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGCrittenden34 min
Dec 10, 11:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBossier, Caddo49 min
Dec 11, 12:02 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Lee, St. Francis43 min
Dec 11, 12:03 AM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatOHXMontgomery, Stewart16 min
Dec 11, 12:05 AM CSTTornado WarningMEGShelby22 min
Dec 11, 12:09 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia, Lafayette51 min
Dec 11, 12:17 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCalhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Ouachita30 min
Dec 11, 12:19 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXMontgomery, Stewart41 min
Dec 11, 12:30 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden30 min
Dec 11, 12:36 AM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedMEGFayette, Hardeman, Haywood24 min
Dec 11, 12:46 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLee, Phillips, St. Francis44 min
Dec 11, 12:48 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Lee, St. Francis42 min
Dec 11, 12:57 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Crockett, Fayette, Gibson, Hardeman, Haywood and 1 more48 min
Dec 11, 12:59 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGFayette, Hardeman, Shelby31 min
Dec 11, 1:05 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Cleveland, Desha, Lincoln55 min
Dec 11, 1:25 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Carroll, Chester, Decatur, Gibson, Hardeman and 2 more65 min
Dec 11, 1:28 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXStewart21 min
Dec 11, 1:32 AM CSTTornado WarningMEGCarroll, Chester, Henderson, Madison28 min
Dec 11, 1:47 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatOHXDickson, Hickman, Houston, Humphreys, Lewis, Montgomery and 2 more73 min
Dec 11, 1:53 AM CSTTornado WarningMEGBenton, Carroll, Decatur, Henderson25 min
Dec 11, 2:03 AM CSTTornado WarningOHXHouston, Humphreys, Stewart27 min
Dec 11, 2:07 AM CSTTornado WarningOHXDickson, Hickman, Humphreys, Perry38 min
Dec 11, 2:23 AM CSTTornado WarningOHXDickson, Houston, Montgomery, Stewart37 min
Dec 11, 2:38 AM CSTTornado WarningOHXDickson, Hickman, Humphreys37 min
Dec 11, 2:39 AM CSTTornado WarningOHXCheatham, Dickson, Montgomery14 min
Dec 11, 2:41 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Marshall49 min
Dec 11, 2:47 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Hickman, Lewis, Maury and 5 more58 min
Dec 11, 2:51 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGDeSoto2 hr
Dec 11, 2:55 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGPanola, Tallahatchie, Yalobusha50 min
Dec 11, 2:58 AM CSTTornado WarningOHXCheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Williamson32 min
Dec 11, 2:59 AM CSTTornado WarningOHXDavidson, Williamson31 min
Dec 11, 3:03 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Benton, Tippah42 min
Dec 11, 3:19 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXDavidson, Hickman, Lewis, Marshall, Maury, Robertson and 5 more41 min
Dec 11, 3:21 AM CSTTornado WarningOHXDavidson, Sumner, Wilson39 min
Dec 11, 3:29 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threatOHXDavidson, Rutherford, Smith, Sumner, Trousdale, Williamson and 1 more46 min
Dec 11, 3:30 AM CSTTornado WarningMEGHardin, McNairy21 min
Dec 11, 3:33 AM CSTTornado WarningOHXDavidson, Macon, Smith, Sumner, Trousdale, Wilson42 min
Dec 11, 3:46 AM CSTTornado WarningOHXClay, Macon, Sumner, Trousdale44 min
Dec 11, 3:48 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXLewis, Perry, Wayne42 min
Dec 11, 3:50 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatOHXClay, DeKalb, Jackson, Macon, Putnam, Smith and 3 more17 min
Dec 11, 3:56 AM CSTTornado WarningOHXLewis, Perry, Wayne13 min
Dec 11, 3:59 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLafayette, Lee, Pontotoc, Union31 min
Dec 11, 4:03 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGCalhoun, Lafayette, Lee, Pontotoc, Prentiss, Tallahatchie and 3 more2 hr
Dec 11, 4:07 AM CSTTornado WarningOHXClay, Jackson, Macon, Overton, Smith, Trousdale38 min
Dec 11, 4:11 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatOHXClay, Fentress, Jackson, Macon, Overton, Pickett and 4 more34 min
Dec 11, 4:21 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba, Lee, Prentiss, Tishomingo39 min
Dec 11, 4:25 AM CSTTornado WarningMEGItawamba, Prentiss, Tishomingo35 min
Dec 11, 4:58 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba, Lee, Prentiss, Tishomingo47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 47 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2021-12-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1725 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2021-12-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 398 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1725 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-13 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
759 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
78 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
398 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
420 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
4.8
Supercell composite
16.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

714 
WWUS20 KWNS 110442
SEL8  
SPC WW 110442
ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-TXZ000-111100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 558
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1045 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southern and eastern Arkansas
  Northern Louisiana
  Northern Mississippi
  Western to middle Tennessee
  Far northeast Texas

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 1045 PM
  until 500 AM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Several clusters with embedded supercells should
consolidate into a broader QLCS overnight. A couple discrete
supercells may yet form in the open warm sector from northern
Louisiana into northern Mississippi.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles northwest of Nashville TN to
20 miles southeast of Shreveport LA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 552...WW 553...WW
554...WW 555...WW 556...WW 557...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 10, 6:22 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCraighead, Greene, Jackson, Mississippi, Poinsett53 min
Dec 10, 6:34 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 2 more4 hr
Dec 10, 6:37 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 10 more83 min
Dec 10, 6:51 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 10 more4 hr
Dec 10, 7:34 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crittenden, Cross, Faulkner, Garland, Grant and 16 more86 min
Dec 10, 7:54 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson, Logan and 7 more2 hr
Dec 10, 9:40 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clark, Cleveland, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross and 13 more2 hr
Dec 10, 10:00 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Columbia, Desha and 5 more90 min
Dec 10, 10:09 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 17 more96 min
Dec 11, 2:00 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Desha and 4 more90 min
Dec 11, 1:36 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeauregard, Caldwell, De Soto, Grant, LaSalle, Natchitoches and 4 more114 min
Dec 11, 4:02 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Caldwell, Catahoula and 9 more118 min
Dec 10, 6:21 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAlcorn, Benton, Itawamba, Lafayette, Lee, Pontotoc and 4 more10 hr
Dec 11, 3:15 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcorn, Benton, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw, Choctaw and 21 more90 min
Dec 11, 3:41 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCCalhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw, Choctaw, Clay, Grenada and 11 more6 hr
Dec 11, 6:15 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Lowndes, Monroe, Oktibbeha90 min
Dec 10, 7:41 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDyer, Gibson, Henry, Lake, Obion, Weakley64 min
Dec 10, 8:35 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMontgomery85 min
Dec 10, 11:36 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheatham, Dickson, Henry, Houston, Montgomery, Robertson and 2 more54 min
Dec 11, 2:51 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheatham, Davidson, Rutherford, Williamson, Wilson84 min
Dec 11, 5:32 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Campbell, Claiborne, Fentress, Morgan, Pickett and 2 more88 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2021Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2021Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.