Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 556

December 10, 202116 counties in Arkansas; 5 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 10, 2021, 6:51 PM CST for 16 counties in Arkansas; 5 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 10, 2021, 6:51 PM CST (00:51 UTC)
Expired
Dec 10, 2021, 11:00 PM CST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 21 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Polk County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Adair County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 10, 6:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAWashington34 min
Dec 10, 7:22 PM CSTTornado WarningTSAWashington22 min
Dec 10, 8:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAFranklin, Sebastian33 min
Dec 10, 8:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Scott52 min
Dec 10, 9:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLZKConway, Johnson, Logan, Pope, Van Buren, Yell48 min
Dec 10, 10:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren25 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 133 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2021-12-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 637 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2021-12-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 344 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
637 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-23 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1113 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
80 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
344 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
300 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.2
Supercell composite
8.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

257 
WWUS20 KWNS 110049
SEL6  
SPC WW 110049
ARZ000-OKZ000-110500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 556
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
650 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Western Arkansas
  Eastern Oklahoma

* Effective this Friday evening from 650 PM until 1100 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Linear clustering with embedded supercell structures
should rapidly spread east-northeast across western Arkansas this
evening.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
east and west of a line from 15 miles northeast of Harrison AR to 20
miles south of Poteau OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see
the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 552...WW 553...WW
554...WW 555...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 10, 6:22 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCraighead, Greene, Jackson, Mississippi, Poinsett53 min
Dec 10, 6:34 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 2 more4 hr
Dec 10, 6:37 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 10 more83 min
Dec 10, 7:34 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crittenden, Cross, Faulkner, Garland, Grant and 16 more86 min
Dec 10, 7:54 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson, Logan and 7 more2 hr
Dec 10, 9:40 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clark, Cleveland, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross and 13 more2 hr
Dec 10, 10:00 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Columbia, Desha and 5 more90 min
Dec 10, 10:09 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 17 more96 min
Dec 10, 10:44 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 16 more6 hr
Dec 11, 2:00 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Desha and 4 more90 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2021Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.