Alert archive / New Jersey / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 483
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 1, 2021, 12:40 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 1, 2021, 12:40 PM EDT (16:40 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 1, 2021, 9:54 PM EDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 33 counties
Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Caroline County, MD, Kent County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Adams County, PA, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, York County, PA
The radar
The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 70%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
40 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 1:29 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Berks, Lehigh | 6 hr |
| Sep 1, 2:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Adams | 53 min |
| Sep 1, 2:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | York | 77 min |
| Sep 1, 2:53 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | New Castle | 9 hr |
| Sep 1, 3:05 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | York | 23 min |
| Sep 1, 3:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Caroline, Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot | 44 min |
| Sep 1, 3:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lancaster, York | 35 min |
| Sep 1, 4:12 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Warren | 7 hr |
| Sep 1, 4:13 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Chester | 32 min |
| Sep 1, 4:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lancaster | 39 min |
| Sep 1, 4:24 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Adams, York | 4 hr |
| Sep 1, 4:42 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Chester, Delaware, Montgomery | 6 hr |
| Sep 1, 4:59 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Kent, Sussex | 46 min |
| Sep 1, 5:01 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Kent, New Castle | 44 min |
| Sep 1, 5:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Mercer | 47 min |
| Sep 1, 5:15 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Delaware, Montgomery, Philadelphia | 30 min |
| Sep 1, 5:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, Sussex | 44 min |
| Sep 1, 5:26 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | New Castle | 9 hr |
| Sep 1, 5:34 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Mercer | 26 min |
| Sep 1, 5:35 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Kent, New Castle | 25 min |
| Sep 1, 5:36 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Kent | 24 min |
| Sep 1, 5:42 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Mercer, Morris, Somerset, Warren | 10 hr |
| Sep 1, 5:57 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Gloucester, Salem | 33 min |
| Sep 1, 5:57 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Mercer, Somerset | 33 min |
| Sep 1, 6:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, Sussex | 42 min |
| Sep 1, 6:05 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Morris, Somerset | 10 hr |
| Sep 1, 6:08 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Morris, Somerset, Sussex, Warren | 6 hr |
| Sep 1, 6:20 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Mercer, Somerset | 40 min |
| Sep 1, 6:22 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Burlington, Camden, Gloucester | 23 min |
| Sep 1, 6:24 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | New Castle | 16 min |
| Sep 1, 6:42 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Burlington, Camden | 33 min |
| Sep 1, 6:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, Sussex | 63 min |
| Sep 1, 6:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Somerset | 61 min |
| Sep 1, 7:04 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Burlington, Mercer | 26 min |
| Sep 1, 7:05 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Bucks | 8 hr |
| Sep 1, 7:22 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Mercer | 11 min |
| Sep 1, 7:28 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Mercer, Middlesex, Morris, Somerset | 47 min |
| Sep 1, 7:31 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Mercer, Somerset | 4 hr |
| Sep 1, 8:02 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Middlesex, Morris, Somerset | 5 hr |
| Sep 1, 9:01 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Burlington, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean | 5 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 515 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -76 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 955 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 29 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 57 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 89 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 1.3
The text
As transmitted.
745
WWUS20 KWNS 011638
SEL3
SPC WW 011638
DEZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-CWZ000-020200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 483
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1240 PM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Delaware
Eastern Maryland
New Jersey
Southeast Pennsylvania
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 1240 PM
until 1000 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
SUMMARY...Discrete lower-topped supercells developing across eastern
Virginia will spread east-northeast as a broader cluster into this
evening. Tornadoes and damaging winds are expected.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles east southeast of Trenton NJ
to 40 miles west southwest of Wilmington DE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 482...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 25030.
...GramsSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 4:01 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | New Castle | 119 min |
| Sep 1, 11:03 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, New Castle, Sussex | 2 hr |
| Sep 1, 3:09 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, New Castle, Sussex | 3 hr |
| Sep 1, 4:28 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | New Castle | 2 hr |
| Sep 1, 12:19 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Montgomery, Prince George's | 86 min |
| Sep 1, 12:56 AM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Charles, Frederick, Harford and 4 more | 6 hr |
| Sep 1, 11:46 AM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Cecil, Charles and 11 more | 9 hr |
| Sep 1, 1:32 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Cecil, Charles and 9 more | 118 min |
| Sep 1, 6:22 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Passaic, Union | 7 hr |
| Sep 1, 6:34 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Hudson, Mercer, Middlesex and 3 more | 56 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in New Jersey, 2021Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Tornado Watches in Maryland, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.