Alert archive / New Jersey / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 483

September 1, 20214 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 1, 2021, 12:40 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 1, 2021, 12:40 PM EDT (16:40 UTC)
Expired
Sep 1, 2021, 9:54 PM EDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 33 counties

Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Caroline County, MD, Kent County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Adams County, PA, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, York County, PA

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

40 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 1, 1:29 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIBerks, Lehigh6 hr
Sep 1, 2:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPAdams53 min
Sep 1, 2:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPYork77 min
Sep 1, 2:53 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHINew Castle9 hr
Sep 1, 3:05 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPYork23 min
Sep 1, 3:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICaroline, Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot44 min
Sep 1, 3:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster, York35 min
Sep 1, 4:12 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIHunterdon, Warren7 hr
Sep 1, 4:13 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIChester32 min
Sep 1, 4:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster39 min
Sep 1, 4:24 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatCTPAdams, York4 hr
Sep 1, 4:42 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyConsiderable damage threatPHIChester, Delaware, Montgomery6 hr
Sep 1, 4:59 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIKent, Sussex46 min
Sep 1, 5:01 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIKent, New Castle44 min
Sep 1, 5:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer47 min
Sep 1, 5:15 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIDelaware, Montgomery, Philadelphia30 min
Sep 1, 5:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIKent, Sussex44 min
Sep 1, 5:26 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHINew Castle9 hr
Sep 1, 5:34 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIMercer26 min
Sep 1, 5:35 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIKent, New Castle25 min
Sep 1, 5:36 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIKent24 min
Sep 1, 5:42 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Morris, Somerset, Warren10 hr
Sep 1, 5:57 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIGloucester, Salem33 min
Sep 1, 5:57 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Somerset33 min
Sep 1, 6:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIKent, Sussex42 min
Sep 1, 6:05 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Morris, Somerset10 hr
Sep 1, 6:08 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIHunterdon, Morris, Somerset, Sussex, Warren6 hr
Sep 1, 6:20 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Somerset40 min
Sep 1, 6:22 PM EDTTornado Warning Tornado observedPHIBurlington, Camden, Gloucester23 min
Sep 1, 6:24 PM EDTTornado WarningPHINew Castle16 min
Sep 1, 6:42 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIBurlington, Camden33 min
Sep 1, 6:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIKent, Sussex63 min
Sep 1, 6:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Somerset61 min
Sep 1, 7:04 PM EDTTornado Warning EmergencyTornado observedCatastrophic damage threatPHIBurlington, Mercer26 min
Sep 1, 7:05 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatPHIBucks8 hr
Sep 1, 7:22 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer11 min
Sep 1, 7:28 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIMercer, Middlesex, Morris, Somerset47 min
Sep 1, 7:31 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Somerset4 hr
Sep 1, 8:02 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatPHIMiddlesex, Morris, Somerset5 hr
Sep 1, 9:01 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIBurlington, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean5 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-09-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 515 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-09-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 57 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
515 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-76 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
955 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
57 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
89 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

745 
WWUS20 KWNS 011638
SEL3  
SPC WW 011638
DEZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-CWZ000-020200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 483
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1240 PM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Delaware
  Eastern Maryland
  New Jersey
  Southeast Pennsylvania
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 1240 PM
  until 1000 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible

SUMMARY...Discrete lower-topped supercells developing across eastern
Virginia will spread east-northeast as a broader cluster into this
evening. Tornadoes and damaging winds are expected.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles east southeast of Trenton NJ
to 40 miles west southwest of Wilmington DE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 482...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 25030.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 1, 4:01 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNew Castle119 min
Sep 1, 11:03 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex2 hr
Sep 1, 3:09 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex3 hr
Sep 1, 4:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNew Castle2 hr
Sep 1, 12:19 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Montgomery, Prince George's86 min
Sep 1, 12:56 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Charles, Frederick, Harford and 4 more6 hr
Sep 1, 11:46 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Cecil, Charles and 11 more9 hr
Sep 1, 1:32 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Cecil, Charles and 9 more118 min
Sep 1, 6:22 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBergen, Essex, Hudson, Passaic, Union7 hr
Sep 1, 6:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurlington, Camden, Gloucester, Hudson, Mercer, Middlesex and 3 more56 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in New Jersey, 2021Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Tornado Watches in Maryland, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.