Alert archive / New York / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 484

September 1, 20214 counties in Connecticut; 5 counties in New Jersey; 9 counties in New York

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 1, 2021, 6:22 PM EDT for 4 counties in Connecticut; 5 counties in New Jersey; 9 counties in New York. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 1, 2021, 6:22 PM EDT (22:22 UTC)
Expired
Sep 2, 2021, 1:00 AM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Bergen County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Suffolk County, NY, Westchester County, NY

The radar

The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 41 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
40%

Warnings issued inside it

20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 1, 6:51 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region5 hr
Sep 1, 7:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXUnion46 min
Sep 1, 8:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXBergen, Essex, Hudson45 min
Sep 1, 8:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXEssex, Hudson, Union43 min
Sep 1, 9:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXBergen, Hudson42 min
Sep 1, 9:06 PM EDTTornado WarningOKXBronx, New York, Westchester24 min
Sep 1, 9:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region65 min
Sep 1, 9:28 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatOKXBronx, Kings, New York, Queens, Westchester2 hr
Sep 1, 9:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXKings, Nassau, Queens48 min
Sep 1, 10:08 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region4 hr
Sep 1, 10:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region55 min
Sep 1, 10:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXNassau, Suffolk45 min
Sep 1, 10:39 PM EDTTornado WarningOKXSuffolk36 min
Sep 1, 10:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXNassau46 min
Sep 1, 11:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region64 min
Sep 1, 11:13 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningOKXSuffolk6 hr
Sep 1, 11:54 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatOKXBergen, Essex, Hudson, Passaic, Union3 hr
Sep 2, 12:06 AM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatOKXLower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region5 hr
Sep 2, 12:13 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatOKXLower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region92 min
Sep 2, 12:25 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningOKXNassau, Queens, Suffolk4 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 41 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-09-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 51 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-09-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 31 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
51 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-80 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1274 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
201 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

588 
WWUS20 KWNS 012217
SEL4  
SPC WW 012217
CTZ000-NJZ000-NYZ000-CWZ000-020500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 484
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
620 PM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southern Connecticut
  Northern New Jersey
  Southern New York
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 620 PM
  until 100 AM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Related to the remnants of Ida, a moist environment in
conjunction with strong low-level shear/SRH will support the
possibility of transient supercells capable of a tornado risk.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles
north and south of a line from 5 miles west southwest of Newark NJ
to 15 miles south southeast of Groton CT. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 482...WW 483...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 1, 11:03 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCape May, Cumberland, Salem2 hr
Sep 1, 12:40 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 9 more9 hr
Sep 1, 3:09 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 5 more3 hr
Sep 1, 4:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurlington, Camden, Gloucester, Hudson, Mercer, Middlesex and 5 more2 hr
Sep 1, 6:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurlington, Camden, Gloucester, Hudson, Mercer, Middlesex and 3 more56 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in New York, 2021Tornado Watches in New Jersey, 2021Tornado Watches in Connecticut, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.