Alert archive / New York / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 484
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 1, 2021, 6:22 PM EDT for 4 counties in Connecticut; 5 counties in New Jersey; 9 counties in New York. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 1, 2021, 6:22 PM EDT (22:22 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 2, 2021, 1:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Bergen County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Suffolk County, NY, Westchester County, NY
The radar
The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 41 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 40%
Warnings issued inside it
20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 6:51 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | OKX | Greater Bridgeport Planning Region | 5 hr |
| Sep 1, 7:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Union | 46 min |
| Sep 1, 8:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Bergen, Essex, Hudson | 45 min |
| Sep 1, 8:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Essex, Hudson, Union | 43 min |
| Sep 1, 9:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Bergen, Hudson | 42 min |
| Sep 1, 9:06 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | OKX | Bronx, New York, Westchester | 24 min |
| Sep 1, 9:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Greater Bridgeport Planning Region | 65 min |
| Sep 1, 9:28 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | OKX | Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, Westchester | 2 hr |
| Sep 1, 9:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Kings, Nassau, Queens | 48 min |
| Sep 1, 10:08 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | OKX | Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region | 4 hr |
| Sep 1, 10:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region | 55 min |
| Sep 1, 10:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Nassau, Suffolk | 45 min |
| Sep 1, 10:39 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | OKX | Suffolk | 36 min |
| Sep 1, 10:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Nassau | 46 min |
| Sep 1, 11:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region | 64 min |
| Sep 1, 11:13 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | OKX | Suffolk | 6 hr |
| Sep 1, 11:54 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | OKX | Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Passaic, Union | 3 hr |
| Sep 2, 12:06 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | OKX | Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region | 5 hr |
| Sep 2, 12:13 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region | 92 min |
| Sep 2, 12:25 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | OKX | Nassau, Queens, Suffolk | 4 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 41 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 51 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -80 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1274 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 22 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 31 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 201 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
The text
As transmitted.
588 WWUS20 KWNS 012217 SEL4 SPC WW 012217 CTZ000-NJZ000-NYZ000-CWZ000-020500- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 484 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 620 PM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southern Connecticut Northern New Jersey Southern New York Coastal Waters * Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 620 PM until 100 AM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Related to the remnants of Ida, a moist environment in conjunction with strong low-level shear/SRH will support the possibility of transient supercells capable of a tornado risk. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles north and south of a line from 5 miles west southwest of Newark NJ to 15 miles south southeast of Groton CT. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 482...WW 483... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 23035. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 11:03 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cape May, Cumberland, Salem | 2 hr |
| Sep 1, 12:40 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 9 more | 9 hr |
| Sep 1, 3:09 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 5 more | 3 hr |
| Sep 1, 4:28 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Hudson, Mercer, Middlesex and 5 more | 2 hr |
| Sep 1, 6:34 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Hudson, Mercer, Middlesex and 3 more | 56 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in New York, 2021Tornado Watches in New Jersey, 2021Tornado Watches in Connecticut, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.