Alert archive / New Jersey / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 1674

September 1, 20219 counties in New Jersey; 4 counties in New York; Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Sep 1, 2021, 6:34 PM EDT for 9 counties in New Jersey; 4 counties in New York; Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 56 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 1, 2021, 6:34 PM EDT (22:34 UTC)
Expired
Sep 1, 2021, 7:30 PM EDT
In force
56 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Tornado watch 483

Counties Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Kings County, NY, New York County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Philadelphia County, PA

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 31 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 168 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-09-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 51 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-09-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 31 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
51 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-80 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1274 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
201 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

124 
ACUS11 KWNS 012234
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012234 
NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-012330-

Mesoscale Discussion 1674
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0534 PM CDT Wed Sep 01 2021

Areas affected...Far eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey

Concerning...Tornado Watch 483...

Valid 012234Z - 012330Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 483 continues.

SUMMARY...Confirmed tornadoes have occurred both north and south of
Philadelphia. The environment will continue to support tornadic
potential, particularly for areas in southern/central New Jersey.

DISCUSSION...Supercells moving northeast along the slowly northward
advancing warm front have recently produced tornadoes as confirmed
by TDS signatures from KDIX. The northern storm is now moving
Somerset County, NJ, with the southern storm moving through
Camden/Burlington Counties (NJ). Given objectively analyzed 0-1 km
effective SRH over 200 m2/s2 (confirmed by KDIX VWP), supercells
that can maintain strength are expected to continue posing a threat
for tornadoes. At present, the Camden/Burlington storm is moving
within an airmass unaffected by much precipitation and should have
the greatest tornado potential for the next 1-2 hours.

..Wendt.. 09/01/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...

LAT...LON   40337510 40597488 40837382 40557342 39987385 39797453
            39677505 39717529 39937532 40337510

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 1, 11:03 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCape May, Cumberland, Salem2 hr
Sep 1, 12:40 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 9 more9 hr
Sep 1, 3:09 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 5 more3 hr
Sep 1, 4:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurlington, Camden, Gloucester, Hudson, Mercer, Middlesex and 5 more2 hr
Sep 1, 6:22 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBergen, Essex, Hudson, Passaic, Union7 hr
Sep 1, 4:01 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChester, Delaware, Lancaster, York119 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New Jersey, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.