Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 482
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 1, 2021, 11:46 AM EDT for 17 counties in Maryland; 63 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 1, 2021, 11:46 AM EDT (15:46 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 1, 2021, 9:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 80 counties
Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Accomack County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King George County, VA, King William County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northampton County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Orange County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, York County, VA
The radar
The Sterling radar (KLWX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 60%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
37 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 12:32 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Chesterfield, Prince George, City of Hopewell, City of Petersburg | 28 min |
| Sep 1, 12:41 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Caroline, Essex | 34 min |
| Sep 1, 12:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Charles City, Prince George, Surry, Sussex | 53 min |
| Sep 1, 12:55 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | King George | 35 min |
| Sep 1, 1:05 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Caroline | 10 min |
| Sep 1, 1:11 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Charles, Prince George's | 34 min |
| Sep 1, 1:23 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Charles | 17 min |
| Sep 1, 1:31 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Charles, Saint Mary's | 29 min |
| Sep 1, 1:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Gloucester, Lancaster, Mathews, Middlesex, Northumberland | 38 min |
| Sep 1, 1:47 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Westmoreland | 13 min |
| Sep 1, 1:56 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Prince George's | 34 min |
| Sep 1, 2:12 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Baltimore | 33 min |
| Sep 1, 2:23 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Baltimore | 15 min |
| Sep 1, 2:26 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Carroll, Frederick | 6 hr |
| Sep 1, 2:26 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Harford | 14 min |
| Sep 1, 2:27 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel | 15 min |
| Sep 1, 2:27 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Lancaster, Middlesex, Northumberland, Richmond | 36 min |
| Sep 1, 2:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Dorchester, Somerset, Wicomico | 50 min |
| Sep 1, 2:48 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Harford | 27 min |
| Sep 1, 3:03 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Somerset, Wicomico | 27 min |
| Sep 1, 3:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Gloucester, James City, King and Queen, York, City of Williamsburg | 39 min |
| Sep 1, 3:10 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Baltimore | 16 min |
| Sep 1, 3:17 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Harford | 28 min |
| Sep 1, 3:23 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Northumberland | 16 min |
| Sep 1, 3:25 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Carroll, Frederick | 5 hr |
| Sep 1, 3:34 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Cecil, Harford | 3 hr |
| Sep 1, 3:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Gloucester, Lancaster, Middlesex, Northumberland, Richmond | 54 min |
| Sep 1, 3:49 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Cecil, Harford | 26 min |
| Sep 1, 3:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Dorchester, Somerset, Wicomico | 49 min |
| Sep 1, 4:09 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Dorchester | 36 min |
| Sep 1, 4:25 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Dorchester | 35 min |
| Sep 1, 4:58 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Dorchester | 32 min |
| Sep 1, 5:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Dorchester, Wicomico | 41 min |
| Sep 1, 5:46 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Cecil | 29 min |
| Sep 1, 6:12 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Cecil | 19 min |
| Sep 1, 6:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Dorchester, Somerset, Wicomico | 52 min |
| Sep 1, 7:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Somerset, Wicomico, Worcester | 46 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 85 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 558 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -21 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 575 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 48 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 122 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 223 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.4
- Supercell composite
- 2.6
The text
As transmitted.
677 WWUS20 KWNS 011536 SEL2 SPC WW 011536 DCZ000-MDZ000-NCZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-012300- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 482 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1140 AM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Central to eastern Maryland Far northeast North Carolina Northern to eastern Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Wednesday morning and evening from 1140 AM until 700 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Several lower-topped supercells should develop within clusters that spread east-northeast this afternoon. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles north northwest of Baltimore MD to 30 miles southwest of Norfolk VA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 24025. ...Grams
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 12:19 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Montgomery, Prince George's | 86 min |
| Sep 1, 12:56 AM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Charles, Frederick, Harford and 4 more | 6 hr |
| Sep 1, 4:01 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Cecil, Harford, Howard and 4 more | 119 min |
| Sep 1, 11:03 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Caroline, Carroll, Cecil and 14 more | 2 hr |
| Sep 1, 12:40 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Caroline, Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot | 9 hr |
| Sep 1, 1:32 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Cecil, Charles and 9 more | 118 min |
| Sep 1, 3:09 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Caroline, Cecil, Dorchester, Harford, Kent, Queen Anne's and 2 more | 3 hr |
| Aug 31, 11:01 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Albemarle, Amherst, Augusta, Bath, Botetourt, Culpeper and 15 more | 89 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2021Tornado Watches in Maryland, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.