Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 482

September 1, 202117 counties in Maryland; 63 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 1, 2021, 11:46 AM EDT for 17 counties in Maryland; 63 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 1, 2021, 11:46 AM EDT (15:46 UTC)
Expired
Sep 1, 2021, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 80 counties

Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Accomack County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King George County, VA, King William County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northampton County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Orange County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, York County, VA

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

37 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 1, 12:32 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQChesterfield, Prince George, City of Hopewell, City of Petersburg28 min
Sep 1, 12:41 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQCaroline, Essex34 min
Sep 1, 12:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCharles City, Prince George, Surry, Sussex53 min
Sep 1, 12:55 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXKing George35 min
Sep 1, 1:05 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQCaroline10 min
Sep 1, 1:11 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXCharles, Prince George's34 min
Sep 1, 1:23 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXCharles17 min
Sep 1, 1:31 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXCharles, Saint Mary's29 min
Sep 1, 1:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQGloucester, Lancaster, Mathews, Middlesex, Northumberland38 min
Sep 1, 1:47 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQWestmoreland13 min
Sep 1, 1:56 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Prince George's34 min
Sep 1, 2:12 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXBaltimore33 min
Sep 1, 2:23 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXBaltimore15 min
Sep 1, 2:26 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLWXCarroll, Frederick6 hr
Sep 1, 2:26 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXBaltimore, Harford14 min
Sep 1, 2:27 PM EDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLWXAnne Arundel15 min
Sep 1, 2:27 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQLancaster, Middlesex, Northumberland, Richmond36 min
Sep 1, 2:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatAKQDorchester, Somerset, Wicomico50 min
Sep 1, 2:48 PM EDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLWXBaltimore, Harford27 min
Sep 1, 3:03 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQSomerset, Wicomico27 min
Sep 1, 3:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQGloucester, James City, King and Queen, York, City of Williamsburg39 min
Sep 1, 3:10 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXBaltimore16 min
Sep 1, 3:17 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXHarford28 min
Sep 1, 3:23 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQNorthumberland16 min
Sep 1, 3:25 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLWXCarroll, Frederick5 hr
Sep 1, 3:34 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLWXCecil, Harford3 hr
Sep 1, 3:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQGloucester, Lancaster, Middlesex, Northumberland, Richmond54 min
Sep 1, 3:49 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXCecil, Harford26 min
Sep 1, 3:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQDorchester, Somerset, Wicomico49 min
Sep 1, 4:09 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQDorchester36 min
Sep 1, 4:25 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQDorchester35 min
Sep 1, 4:58 PM EDTTornado Warning Tornado observedAKQDorchester32 min
Sep 1, 5:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQDorchester, Wicomico41 min
Sep 1, 5:46 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXCecil29 min
Sep 1, 6:12 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXCecil19 min
Sep 1, 6:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQDorchester, Somerset, Wicomico52 min
Sep 1, 7:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQSomerset, Wicomico, Worcester46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 85 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-09-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 558 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-09-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 122 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
558 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-21 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
575 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
122 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
223 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
2.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

677 
WWUS20 KWNS 011536
SEL2  
SPC WW 011536
DCZ000-MDZ000-NCZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-012300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 482
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1140 AM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  District Of Columbia
  Central to eastern Maryland
  Far northeast North Carolina
  Northern to eastern Virginia
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Wednesday morning and evening from 1140 AM until
  700 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Several lower-topped supercells should develop within
clusters that spread east-northeast this afternoon.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles north northwest of Baltimore
MD to 30 miles southwest of Norfolk VA. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24025.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 1, 12:19 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Montgomery, Prince George's86 min
Sep 1, 12:56 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Charles, Frederick, Harford and 4 more6 hr
Sep 1, 4:01 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Cecil, Harford, Howard and 4 more119 min
Sep 1, 11:03 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Caroline, Carroll, Cecil and 14 more2 hr
Sep 1, 12:40 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCCaroline, Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot9 hr
Sep 1, 1:32 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Cecil, Charles and 9 more118 min
Sep 1, 3:09 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaroline, Cecil, Dorchester, Harford, Kent, Queen Anne's and 2 more3 hr
Aug 31, 11:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbemarle, Amherst, Augusta, Bath, Botetourt, Culpeper and 15 more89 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2021Tornado Watches in Maryland, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.