Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 566
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Dec 15, 2021, 6:00 PM CST for 5 states. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 15, 2021, 6:00 PM CST (00:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 16, 2021, 12:00 AM CST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 87 counties
Benton County, AR, Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Cass County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Knox County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Pike County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Linn County, KS, Adair County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Christian County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Maries County, MO, Marion County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Pike County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Shelby County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Taney County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Warren County, MO, Webster County, MO, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Mayes County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Washington County, OK
The radar
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 6:11 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Linn, Miami | 64 min |
| Dec 15, 6:15 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Caldwell, Carroll, Clay, Clinton, Daviess, Livingston and 1 more | 60 min |
| Dec 15, 6:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Bourbon | 59 min |
| Dec 15, 6:24 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Daviess, Grundy, Harrison, Mercer, Putnam, Sullivan | 66 min |
| Dec 15, 6:35 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Carroll, Jackson, Lafayette | 40 min |
| Dec 15, 6:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Cass, Jackson, Johnson | 47 min |
| Dec 15, 7:03 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Carroll, Chariton, Grundy, Linn, Livingston and 7 more | 87 min |
| Dec 15, 7:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Bourbon, Crawford | 67 min |
| Dec 15, 7:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Bates, Carroll, Cass, Chariton, Cooper, Henry and 7 more | 82 min |
| Dec 15, 7:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | St. Clair | 33 min |
| Dec 15, 8:01 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Knox, Lewis, Marion, Monroe, Ralls, Shelby | 44 min |
| Dec 15, 8:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Nowata, Osage, Washington | 50 min |
| Dec 15, 8:25 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Cooper, Howard, Randolph | 35 min |
| Dec 15, 8:34 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Moniteau, Monroe, Ralls | 41 min |
| Dec 15, 9:09 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Adams, Pike | 51 min |
| Dec 15, 9:22 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Adams, Brown | 53 min |
| Dec 15, 9:48 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Adams, Brown, Calhoun, Pike | 42 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 227 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 9 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -387 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1246 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 310 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 677 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted.
453
WWUS20 KWNS 152357
SEL6
SPC WW 152357
ARZ000-ILZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-160600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 566
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
600 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northwest Arkansas
West Central Illinois
Southeast Kansas
Central and Southwest Missouri
Northeast Oklahoma
* Effective this Wednesday night from 600 PM until Midnight CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms over eastern Kansas will track
eastward across the watch area this evening. The strongest cores
along the line will pose a risk of locally damaging wind gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north northwest
of Quincy IL to 40 miles southwest of Grove OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 563...WW 564...WW 565...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24040.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 9:48 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Carroll | 87 min |
| Dec 16, 2:08 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland and 29 more | 3 hr |
| Dec 15, 9:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Boone, Lee, Ogle, Winnebago | 3 hr |
| Dec 15, 7:14 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Labette, Linn, Montgomery and 1 more | 91 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.