Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 550
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Dec 5, 2021, 8:54 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 5, 2021, 8:54 PM CST (02:54 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 6, 2021, 4:00 AM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 73 counties
Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Cross County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Barry County, MO, Christian County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Howell County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Mayes County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Dyer County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Weakley County, TN
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 145 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 8:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Stone, Taney | 18 min |
| Dec 5, 9:03 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Douglas, Ozark | 57 min |
| Dec 5, 9:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Delaware, Mayes, Rogers, Wagoner | 52 min |
| Dec 5, 9:50 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Stone, Taney | 55 min |
| Dec 5, 10:00 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton | 45 min |
| Dec 6, 1:04 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Logan, Pope | 41 min |
| Dec 6, 3:44 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Henry, Weakley | 31 min |
| Dec 6, 3:54 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Houston, Montgomery, Stewart | 51 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 143 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 125 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -146 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1105 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 34 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 286 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 462 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.4
The text
As transmitted.
234 WWUS20 KWNS 060252 SEL0 SPC WW 060252 ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-TNZ000-061000- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 550 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 855 PM CST Sun Dec 5 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern and central Arkansas Southern Missouri Eastern Oklahoma Northwest Tennessee * Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 855 PM until 400 AM CST. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Storms will continue to develop and intensify along and ahead of a cold front tonight, with a severe storm risk expected to continue through much of the overnight. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west northwest of Fort Smith AR to 50 miles northeast of Dyersburg TN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26035. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 8:06 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Crawford and 17 more | 114 min |
| Dec 5, 11:17 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Crawford, Franklin, Fulton, Izard and 9 more | 118 min |
| Dec 6, 3:01 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Faulkner, Garland, Jackson and 13 more | 59 min |
| Dec 6, 5:06 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Jefferson, Lee, Monroe, Phillips | 114 min |
| Dec 5, 8:59 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alexander, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Johnson and 7 more | 7 hr |
| Dec 5, 11:28 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 14 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 6, 2:47 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ballard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Fulton and 10 more | 88 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.