Alert archive / Ohio / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 403
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 29, 2021, 3:13 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 29, 2021, 3:13 PM EDT (19:13 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 29, 2021, 10:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 106 counties
Dearborn County, IN, Fayette County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Union County, IN, Wayne County, IN, Boone County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Mason County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Adams County, OH, Athens County, OH, Belmont County, OH, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Coshocton County, OH, Darke County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Gallia County, OH, Greene County, OH, Guernsey County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Harrison County, OH, Highland County, OH, Hocking County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Jefferson County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Licking County, OH, Logan County, OH, Madison County, OH, Meigs County, OH, Miami County, OH, Monroe County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Morgan County, OH, Muskingum County, OH, Noble County, OH, Perry County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Pike County, OH, Preble County, OH, Ross County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Shelby County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Union County, OH, Vinton County, OH, Warren County, OH, Washington County, OH, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Butler County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Greene County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, Barbour County, WV, Brooke County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Doddridge County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Harrison County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Marion County, WV, Marshall County, WV, Mason County, WV, Monongalia County, WV, Ohio County, WV, Pleasants County, WV, Preston County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Roane County, WV, Taylor County, WV, Tucker County, WV, Tyler County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Wetzel County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV
The radar
The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
45 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 3:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Fairfield, Franklin, Pickaway | 47 min |
| Jul 29, 3:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Coshocton, Guernsey, Muskingum | 44 min |
| Jul 29, 3:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Delaware, Franklin, Licking, Madison, Union | 24 min |
| Jul 29, 3:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Fairfield, Franklin | 40 min |
| Jul 29, 3:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Champaign, Clark, Madison | 48 min |
| Jul 29, 4:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Guernsey, Monroe, Muskingum, Noble | 48 min |
| Jul 29, 4:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Fairfield, Hocking | 37 min |
| Jul 29, 4:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Carroll, Columbiana, Jefferson | 45 min |
| Jul 29, 4:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Fayette, Franklin, Madison, Pickaway | 47 min |
| Jul 29, 4:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Clark, Fayette, Madison | 42 min |
| Jul 29, 4:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Belmont, Harrison, Jefferson | 14 min |
| Jul 29, 4:53 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PBZ | Belmont, Harrison, Jefferson | 22 min |
| Jul 29, 4:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Monroe, Noble | 36 min |
| Jul 29, 4:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | Washington | 54 min |
| Jul 29, 5:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Fayette, Pickaway, Ross | 45 min |
| Jul 29, 5:02 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PBZ | Carroll, Columbiana, Jefferson | 13 min |
| Jul 29, 5:14 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PBZ | Carroll, Columbiana, Jefferson | 16 min |
| Jul 29, 5:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Indiana | 30 min |
| Jul 29, 5:20 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | ILN | Pickaway, Ross | 25 min |
| Jul 29, 5:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Fayette, Highland, Ross | 66 min |
| Jul 29, 5:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Belmont, Jefferson | 36 min |
| Jul 29, 5:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Harrison, Jefferson | 47 min |
| Jul 29, 5:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Belmont, Monroe, Noble | 38 min |
| Jul 29, 5:39 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PBZ | Jefferson | 21 min |
| Jul 29, 5:48 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PBZ | Greene, Washington | 27 min |
| Jul 29, 5:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Pike, Ross, Scioto | 62 min |
| Jul 29, 5:59 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PBZ | Jefferson | 31 min |
| Jul 29, 6:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Fayette, Greene | 52 min |
| Jul 29, 6:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Harrison, Jefferson | 48 min |
| Jul 29, 6:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Clinton, Fayette, Greene | 47 min |
| Jul 29, 6:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Greene | 32 min |
| Jul 29, 6:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Fayette, Franklin, Ripley | 40 min |
| Jul 29, 6:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Bedford, Blair, Cambria | 12 min |
| Jul 29, 6:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Fayette, Greene | 28 min |
| Jul 29, 6:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Belmont, Harrison, Jefferson | 24 min |
| Jul 29, 7:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Greene, Washington | 45 min |
| Jul 29, 8:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Adams, Scioto | 41 min |
| Jul 29, 8:11 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Lewis | 4 hr |
| Jul 29, 8:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Lewis | 28 min |
| Jul 29, 8:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Monongalia, Preston | 39 min |
| Jul 29, 9:10 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Adams, Highland, Pike, Ross, Scioto | 4 hr |
| Jul 29, 9:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Preston, Tucker | 48 min |
| Jul 29, 9:29 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Lewis, Mason | 4 hr |
| Jul 29, 9:31 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PBZ | Monongalia | 2 hr |
| Jul 29, 9:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Lewis | 48 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 117 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1163 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -29 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 775 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 24 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 108 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 109 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 2.2
The text
As transmitted.
780 WWUS20 KWNS 291911 SEL3 SPC WW 291911 INZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-PAZ000-WVZ000-300200- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 403 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 315 PM EDT Thu Jul 29 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Eastern Indiana Northeast Kentucky Southern Ohio Southwest Pennsylvania Northern West Virginia * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 315 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are developing along a weak front stretching across central Ohio into western Pennsylvania. Those storms will spread southward this afternoon and early evening, posing a risk of damaging wind gusts and hail. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles west northwest of Cincinnati OH to 45 miles east of Latrobe PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 401...WW 402... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 30030. ...Hart
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 1:32 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Elkhart, Fulton, Jasper, Kosciusko, LaGrange, Lake and 7 more | 88 min |
| Jul 29, 2:00 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adams, Allen, Benton, Cass, DeKalb, Elkhart and 20 more | 5 hr |
| Jul 29, 4:18 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Elkhart, Fulton, Jasper, Kosciusko, LaGrange, Lake and 7 more | 87 min |
| Jul 29, 5:55 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Allen, Blackford, DeKalb, Grant, Huntington and 6 more | 95 min |
| Jul 29, 3:19 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Brown, Clay, Fountain, Greene, Hamilton and 17 more | 116 min |
| Jul 29, 6:34 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dearborn, Fayette, Franklin, Henry, Rush, Union and 1 more | 116 min |
| Jul 29, 11:58 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Garrett | 2 hr |
| Jul 29, 1:21 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carroll, Frederick, Washington | 114 min |
| Jul 29, 2:23 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Caroline, Carroll, Cecil, Frederick and 7 more | 8 hr |
| Jul 29, 3:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allegany, Calvert, Charles, Dorchester, Garrett, Montgomery and 5 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 29, 4:26 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Cecil, Frederick, Harford and 5 more | 94 min |
| Jul 29, 2:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Athens, Brown, Butler, Champaign, Clark and 35 more | 117 min |
| Jul 29, 7:09 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Philadelphia | 96 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.