Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 401
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 29, 2021, 2:23 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 29, 2021, 2:23 PM EDT (18:23 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 29, 2021, 10:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 63 counties
Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Washington County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Adams County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Berks County, PA, Blair County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Centre County, PA, Chester County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Union County, PA, York County, PA
The radar
The Sterling radar (KLWX), 157 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
38 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Sussex | 62 min |
| Jul 29, 3:02 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Sussex | 43 min |
| Jul 29, 3:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Carroll, Frederick | 44 min |
| Jul 29, 3:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Berks, Lehigh, Northampton | 42 min |
| Jul 29, 4:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Carroll | 45 min |
| Jul 29, 4:01 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Carroll | 29 min |
| Jul 29, 4:03 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Berks, Lehigh, Northampton | 27 min |
| Jul 29, 4:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Carroll, Howard | 44 min |
| Jul 29, 4:27 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Lehigh, Northampton | 16 min |
| Jul 29, 4:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Warren | 45 min |
| Jul 29, 4:34 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Howard | 26 min |
| Jul 29, 4:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Howard, City of Baltimore | 55 min |
| Jul 29, 4:56 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Bucks, Lehigh, Northampton | 34 min |
| Jul 29, 4:59 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Howard | 31 min |
| Jul 29, 5:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Morris, Somerset, Sussex, Warren | 42 min |
| Jul 29, 5:08 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Hunterdon | 37 min |
| Jul 29, 5:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Calvert, Prince George's | 40 min |
| Jul 29, 5:32 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Warren | 2 hr |
| Jul 29, 5:32 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Hunterdon | 28 min |
| Jul 29, 5:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel | 17 min |
| Jul 29, 5:51 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Mercer | 24 min |
| Jul 29, 5:58 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Mercer, Somerset | 3 hr |
| Jul 29, 6:06 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Burlington, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth | 39 min |
| Jul 29, 6:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Bedford, Blair, Cambria | 12 min |
| Jul 29, 6:44 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Mercer, Monmouth, Ocean | 46 min |
| Jul 29, 6:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Burlington, Mercer | 45 min |
| Jul 29, 6:56 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean, Somerset | 4 hr |
| Jul 29, 7:07 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Burlington | 23 min |
| Jul 29, 7:12 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Burlington | 4 hr |
| Jul 29, 7:18 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean | 27 min |
| Jul 29, 7:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Burlington, Monmouth, Ocean | 50 min |
| Jul 29, 7:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Burlington, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean | 47 min |
| Jul 29, 8:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Burlington, Monmouth, Ocean | 57 min |
| Jul 29, 8:03 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Ocean | 27 min |
| Jul 29, 8:19 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Burlington, Monmouth, Ocean | 4 hr |
| Jul 29, 8:39 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Burlington, Ocean | 51 min |
| Jul 29, 8:42 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Monmouth | 19 min |
| Jul 29, 8:43 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Monmouth, Ocean | 3 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 6.4 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 269 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -91 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 893 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 39 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 62 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 62 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
The text
As transmitted.
970 WWUS20 KWNS 291821 SEL1 SPC WW 291821 DEZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-CWZ000-300100- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 401 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 225 PM EDT Thu Jul 29 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Delaware Central and Eastern Maryland Much of New Jersey Central and Southeast Pennsylvania Coastal Waters * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms over central Pennsylvania will intensify as they move eastward, while isolated storms form out ahead of the main activity. A few supercells and bowing lines are expected, capable of damaging winds, hail, and perhaps a few tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles south southwest of State College PA to 40 miles east of Atlantic City NJ. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27035. ...Hart
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 4:26 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, New Castle | 94 min |
| Jul 29, 11:58 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Garrett | 2 hr |
| Jul 29, 1:21 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carroll, Frederick, Washington | 114 min |
| Jul 29, 3:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allegany, Calvert, Charles, Dorchester, Garrett, Montgomery and 5 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 29, 7:09 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Mercer, Middlesex and 2 more | 96 min |
| Jul 29, 3:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Cambria, Clearfield and 6 more | 7 hr |
| Jul 29, 6:34 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegheny, Beaver, Fayette, Greene, Washington | 116 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Tornado Watches in New Jersey, 2021Tornado Watches in Maryland, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.