Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 307

June 23, 20217 counties in Iowa; 44 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 23, 2021, 10:37 PM CDT for 7 counties in Iowa; 44 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 23, 2021, 10:37 PM CDT (03:37 UTC)
Expired
Jun 24, 2021, 5:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
80 kt
All 51 counties

Fremont County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Antelope County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Boone County, NE, Brown County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Cedar County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Holt County, NE, Howard County, NE, Knox County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Loup County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Rock County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Valley County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 172 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
60%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 23, 10:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHolt, Wheeler52 min
Jun 23, 10:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBrown, Cherry, Keya Paha, Loup, Rock48 min
Jun 23, 11:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBlaine, Brown, Custer, Loup25 min
Jun 23, 11:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Knox, Madison, Pierce48 min
Jun 23, 11:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBlaine, Custer, Garfield, Holt, Loup, Rock and 1 more50 min
Jun 24, 12:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDValley53 min
Jun 24, 12:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Madison, Pierce, Stanton, Wayne48 min
Jun 24, 12:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDGreeley, Valley30 min
Jun 24, 12:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBlaine, Custer, Garfield, Holt, Loup, Wheeler30 min
Jun 24, 12:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Boone, Madison, Platte50 min
Jun 24, 12:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDGreeley, Howard, Merrick, Nance, Sherman, Valley48 min
Jun 24, 12:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Boone, Colfax, Cuming, Madison, Pierce and 3 more47 min
Jun 24, 1:11 AM CDTTornado WarningOAXMadison, Stanton34 min
Jun 24, 1:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDHall, Hamilton, Howard, Merrick, Nance, Polk and 1 more38 min
Jun 24, 1:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXBurt, Butler, Colfax, Cuming, Dodge, Madison and 5 more23 min
Jun 24, 1:41 AM CDTTornado WarningOAXColfax, Cuming, Dodge, Stanton34 min
Jun 24, 1:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMonona47 min
Jun 24, 1:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPolk, York35 min
Jun 24, 1:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Colfax, Dodge, Lancaster, Saunders, Seward50 min
Jun 24, 2:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Mills, Monona, Pottawattamie60 min
Jun 24, 2:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass, Gage, Jefferson, Lancaster, Otoe, Saline and 1 more51 min
Jun 24, 2:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills, Montgomery39 min
Jun 24, 2:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills36 min
Jun 24, 3:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page58 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 3.6 hours before the alert went out and 173 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-06-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2039 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-06-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 60 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2039 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-306 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1664 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
168 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

193 
WWUS20 KWNS 240335
SEL7  
SPC WW 240335
IAZ000-NEZ000-241000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 307
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1035 PM CDT Wed Jun 23 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Far western Iowa
  Central to eastern Nebraska

* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 1035
  PM until 500 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 90
    mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A forward-propagating cluster will likely develop
east-southeast from ongoing cells across north-central Nebraska,
spreading into eastern Nebraska and far western Iowa overnight.
Intense severe wind gusts are possible.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles northwest of
Broken Bow NE to 20 miles northeast of Omaha NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 306...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 80 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
29040.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 23, 8:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMonona, Plymouth, Woodbury95 min
Jun 23, 10:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarrison, Mills, Monona, Pottawattamie93 min
Jun 24, 1:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills, Montgomery and 4 more114 min
Jun 24, 2:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 15 more6 hr
Jun 24, 5:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Lucas, Madison and 8 more118 min
Jun 24, 3:44 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCFremont, Page5 hr
Jun 24, 5:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Page60 min
Jun 24, 6:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Lucas, Monroe and 3 more56 min
Jun 24, 6:33 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Appanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Lucas and 6 more3 hr
Jun 24, 2:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGage, Jefferson, Johnson, Pawnee, Richardson3 hr
Jun 24, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDundy, Hitchcock6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.