Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 307
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 23, 2021, 10:37 PM CDT for 7 counties in Iowa; 44 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 23, 2021, 10:37 PM CDT (03:37 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 24, 2021, 5:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 80 kt
All 51 counties
Fremont County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Antelope County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Boone County, NE, Brown County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Cedar County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Holt County, NE, Howard County, NE, Knox County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Loup County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Rock County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Valley County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, York County, NE
The radar
The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 172 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 60%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 10:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Holt, Wheeler | 52 min |
| Jun 23, 10:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Brown, Cherry, Keya Paha, Loup, Rock | 48 min |
| Jun 23, 11:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Blaine, Brown, Custer, Loup | 25 min |
| Jun 23, 11:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Antelope, Knox, Madison, Pierce | 48 min |
| Jun 23, 11:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Blaine, Custer, Garfield, Holt, Loup, Rock and 1 more | 50 min |
| Jun 24, 12:07 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Valley | 53 min |
| Jun 24, 12:12 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Antelope, Madison, Pierce, Stanton, Wayne | 48 min |
| Jun 24, 12:30 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Greeley, Valley | 30 min |
| Jun 24, 12:30 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Blaine, Custer, Garfield, Holt, Loup, Wheeler | 30 min |
| Jun 24, 12:40 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Antelope, Boone, Madison, Platte | 50 min |
| Jun 24, 12:42 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Greeley, Howard, Merrick, Nance, Sherman, Valley | 48 min |
| Jun 24, 12:58 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Antelope, Boone, Colfax, Cuming, Madison, Pierce and 3 more | 47 min |
| Jun 24, 1:11 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Madison, Stanton | 34 min |
| Jun 24, 1:22 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Hall, Hamilton, Howard, Merrick, Nance, Polk and 1 more | 38 min |
| Jun 24, 1:22 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Burt, Butler, Colfax, Cuming, Dodge, Madison and 5 more | 23 min |
| Jun 24, 1:41 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Colfax, Cuming, Dodge, Stanton | 34 min |
| Jun 24, 1:43 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Monona | 47 min |
| Jun 24, 1:55 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Polk, York | 35 min |
| Jun 24, 1:55 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler, Colfax, Dodge, Lancaster, Saunders, Seward | 50 min |
| Jun 24, 2:15 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Harrison, Mills, Monona, Pottawattamie | 60 min |
| Jun 24, 2:24 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Cass, Gage, Jefferson, Lancaster, Otoe, Saline and 1 more | 51 min |
| Jun 24, 2:51 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Fremont, Mills, Montgomery | 39 min |
| Jun 24, 2:54 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Mills | 36 min |
| Jun 24, 3:17 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Fremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page | 58 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 3.6 hours before the alert went out and 173 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2039 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -306 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1664 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 60 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 168 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.4
The text
As transmitted.
193
WWUS20 KWNS 240335
SEL7
SPC WW 240335
IAZ000-NEZ000-241000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 307
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1035 PM CDT Wed Jun 23 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Far western Iowa
Central to eastern Nebraska
* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 1035
PM until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 90
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A forward-propagating cluster will likely develop
east-southeast from ongoing cells across north-central Nebraska,
spreading into eastern Nebraska and far western Iowa overnight.
Intense severe wind gusts are possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles northwest of
Broken Bow NE to 20 miles northeast of Omaha NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 306...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 80 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
29040.
...GramsSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 8:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Monona, Plymouth, Woodbury | 95 min |
| Jun 23, 10:12 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Harrison, Mills, Monona, Pottawattamie | 93 min |
| Jun 24, 1:36 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills, Montgomery and 4 more | 114 min |
| Jun 24, 2:20 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 15 more | 6 hr |
| Jun 24, 5:02 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Appanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Lucas, Madison and 8 more | 118 min |
| Jun 24, 3:44 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Fremont, Page | 5 hr |
| Jun 24, 5:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Fremont, Page | 60 min |
| Jun 24, 6:19 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Appanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Lucas, Monroe and 3 more | 56 min |
| Jun 24, 6:33 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adams, Appanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Lucas and 6 more | 3 hr |
| Jun 24, 2:45 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Gage, Jefferson, Johnson, Pawnee, Richardson | 3 hr |
| Jun 24, 4:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Dundy, Hitchcock | 6 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.