Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 1074

June 24, 202114 counties in Iowa; 32 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 24, 2021, 5:02 AM CDT for 14 counties in Iowa; 32 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 118 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 24, 2021, 5:02 AM CDT (10:02 UTC)
Expired
Jun 24, 2021, 7:00 AM CDT
In force
118 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 308
All 46 counties

Appanoose County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Marion County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Union County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Boone County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clark County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Howard County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 187 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 261 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2021-06-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2021-06-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 93 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1823 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
93 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
391 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

121 
ACUS11 KWNS 241002
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241002 
MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-241200-

Mesoscale Discussion 1074
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0502 AM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

Areas affected...Southern Iowa...Northern Missouri

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 308...

Valid 241002Z - 241200Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 308
continues.

SUMMARY...An isolated wind-damage threat will likely continue for a
few more hours across parts of the lower Missouri Valley. The threat
should become increasingly marginal with time and new weather watch
issuance downstream appears unlikely.

DISCUSSION...The latest radar imagery from Omaha shows a
well-developed bowing line segment in southwest Iowa and far
northwest Missouri. This line is expected to remain intact for a few
more hours, turning southeastward and moving across the remainder of
southern Iowa and northwest Missouri. A wind-damage threat will
likely continue for a few more hours. However, the RAP is showing
much weaker instability across southeast Iowa and north-central
Missouri, which is supported by cooler temperatures and lower
dewpoints evident in the surface observations. As this convective
line moves eastward toward the weaker instability, the severe threat
should become increasingly marginal. Although the line may continue
beyond the expiration of WW 308, new weather watch issuance will
probably not be necessary.

..Broyles.. 06/24/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...

LAT...LON   40919198 40419157 39769147 39029202 38809296 39189401
            39919500 41039458 41689373 40919198

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 23, 8:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMonona, Plymouth, Woodbury95 min
Jun 23, 10:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarrison, Mills, Monona, Pottawattamie93 min
Jun 23, 10:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFremont, Harrison, Mills, Monona, Pottawattamie, Shelby and 1 more6 hr
Jun 24, 1:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills, Montgomery and 4 more114 min
Jun 24, 2:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 15 more6 hr
Jun 24, 3:44 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCFremont, Page5 hr
Jun 24, 5:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Page60 min
Jun 24, 6:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Lucas, Monroe and 3 more56 min
Jun 24, 6:33 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Appanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Lucas and 6 more3 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.