Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 311

June 24, 202112 counties in Iowa; 16 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 24, 2021, 6:33 PM CDT for 12 counties in Iowa; 16 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 24, 2021, 6:33 PM CDT (23:33 UTC)
Expired
Jun 24, 2021, 9:03 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 28 counties

Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Adair County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 139 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 24, 7:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXWapello42 min
Jun 24, 7:39 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXDaviess, DeKalb, Gentry, Grundy, Harrison, Mercer and 1 more6 hr
Jun 24, 7:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, DeKalb, Gentry, Nodaway45 min
Jun 24, 8:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Daviess, DeKalb, Gentry, Grundy, Harrison and 2 more48 min
Jun 24, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXMercer, Putnam24 min
Jun 24, 8:15 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXDavis, Wapello6 hr
Jun 24, 8:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Buchanan, Clinton, DeKalb, Holt38 min
Jun 24, 8:48 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEAXMercer3 hr
Jun 24, 8:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCaldwell, Daviess, DeKalb, Grundy, Harrison, Linn and 4 more54 min
Jun 24, 9:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXBuchanan, Caldwell, Clay, Clinton, DeKalb, Platte and 1 more60 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2021-06-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2072 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2021-06-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 342 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2072 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-283 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
688 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
342 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
386 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

046 
WWUS20 KWNS 242331
SEL1  
SPC WW 242331
IAZ000-MOZ000-250300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 311
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
635 PM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southern Iowa
  Northern Missouri

* Effective this Thursday evening from 635 PM until 1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 80 mph possible
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A couple supercells may be sustained across southern Iowa
and northern Missouri this evening, before growing upscale into a
broader cluster towards late evening.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
north and south of a line from 55 miles west southwest of Lamoni IA
to 20 miles north northeast of Kirksville MO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 309...WW 310...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 27030.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 23, 8:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMonona, Plymouth, Woodbury95 min
Jun 23, 10:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarrison, Mills, Monona, Pottawattamie93 min
Jun 23, 10:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFremont, Harrison, Mills, Monona, Pottawattamie, Shelby and 1 more6 hr
Jun 24, 1:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills, Montgomery and 4 more114 min
Jun 24, 2:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 15 more6 hr
Jun 24, 5:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Lucas, Madison and 8 more118 min
Jun 24, 3:44 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCFremont, Page5 hr
Jun 24, 5:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Page60 min
Jun 24, 6:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Lucas, Monroe and 3 more56 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2021Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.