Alert archive / West Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 271

June 14, 2021Allegany County, Garrett County, Washington County, Maryland; 6 counties in Virginia; 8 counties in West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 14, 2021, 3:59 PM EDT for Allegany County, Garrett County, Washington County, Maryland; 6 counties in Virginia; 8 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 14, 2021, 3:59 PM EDT (19:59 UTC)
Expired
Jun 14, 2021, 10:11 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt

Counties Allegany County, MD, Garrett County, MD, Washington County, MD, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Page County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Warren County, VA, Berkeley County, WV, Grant County, WV, Hampshire County, WV, Hardy County, WV, Jefferson County, WV, Mineral County, WV, Morgan County, WV, Pendleton County, WV

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

1 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 14, 5:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXGarrett38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 128 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-06-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-06-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 31 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-447 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1007 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
87 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

409 
WWUS20 KWNS 141956
SEL1  
SPC WW 141956
MDZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-150100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 271
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
400 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Maryland Panhandle
  Northern Virginia
  Eastern West Virginia Panhandle

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until
  900 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Discrete cells should spread east-southeast from southwest
Pennsylvania and may develop south across the eastern West Virginia
Panhandle.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 75 miles west of
Martinsburg WV to 20 miles south southeast of Martinsburg WV. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 269...WW 270...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30030.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 14, 11:31 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Garrett89 min
Jun 14, 3:55 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Garrett, Washington65 min
Jun 14, 6:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Caroline, Carroll, Cecil and 13 more2 hr
Jun 14, 7:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Caroline, Carroll, Cecil and 15 more6 hr
Jun 14, 7:37 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Garrett113 min
Jun 14, 11:46 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Bedford, Blair, Butler and 20 more6 hr
Jun 14, 1:40 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Berks, Bucks, Carbon, Chester, Columbia and 15 more3 hr
Jun 14, 2:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Berks, Bucks, Carbon, Chester, Columbia and 22 more9 hr
Jun 14, 2:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSusquehanna2 hr
Jun 14, 3:25 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFayette, Greene, Somerset, Washington, Westmoreland95 min
Jun 14, 6:18 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerks, Bucks, Chester, Delaware, Lancaster, Lehigh and 3 more117 min
Jun 14, 4:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarbour, Doddridge, Harrison, Lewis, Marion, Marshall and 11 more6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.