Alert archive / Maryland / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 273
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 14, 2021, 7:29 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 14, 2021, 7:29 PM EDT (23:29 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 15, 2021, 1:40 AM EDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 45 counties
Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Arlington County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, King George County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Madison County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA
The radar
The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 8:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Fairfax, Loudoun, Prince William, City of Fairfax, City of Manassas, City of Manassas Park | 37 min |
| Jun 14, 8:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | New Castle | 50 min |
| Jun 14, 9:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Howard, City of Baltimore | 43 min |
| Jun 14, 9:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Frederick, Howard, Montgomery | 38 min |
| Jun 14, 9:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Harford, City of Baltimore | 46 min |
| Jun 14, 9:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Montgomery | 50 min |
| Jun 14, 9:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Howard, City of Baltimore | 28 min |
| Jun 14, 10:05 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Baltimore, City of Baltimore | 2 hr |
| Jun 14, 10:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Ocean | 53 min |
| Jun 14, 10:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Arlington, Fairfax, Loudoun, Prince William, City of Alexandria, City of Fairfax | 49 min |
| Jun 14, 10:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Harford | 33 min |
| Jun 14, 10:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, City of Baltimore | 44 min |
| Jun 14, 10:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, Queen Anne's | 67 min |
| Jun 14, 10:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George's | 45 min |
| Jun 14, 10:49 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Montgomery, Prince George's | 3 hr |
| Jun 14, 11:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Caroline, Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot | 57 min |
| Jun 14, 11:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent | 63 min |
| Jun 14, 11:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Atlantic, Burlington, Ocean | 39 min |
| Jun 14, 11:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel | 24 min |
| Jun 14, 11:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, New Castle | 63 min |
| Jun 14, 11:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, Sussex | 54 min |
| Jun 14, 11:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Sussex | 66 min |
| Jun 15, 12:12 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Atlantic, Burlington, Gloucester | 51 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1284 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 23 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 48 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 65 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
730 WWUS20 KWNS 142324 SEL3 SPC WW 142324 DCZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-150600- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 273 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 725 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Delaware Central and Eastern Maryland Southern New Jersey Northern and Eastern Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 725 PM until 200 AM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Clusters of storms are expected to develop and/or move into the region from the west-northwest this evening, with an increasing potential for damaging winds, some severe hail, and possibly a brief tornado risk. The downstream air mass is warm and unstable. The severe risk is expected to continue well into the late evening and early overnight hours before storms weaken and/or clear the coast. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles east southeast of Dover DE to 50 miles west of Washington DC. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 270...WW 271...WW 272... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29030. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | New Castle | 9 hr |
| Jun 14, 6:18 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | New Castle | 117 min |
| Jun 14, 6:41 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, New Castle, Sussex | 2 hr |
| Jun 14, 11:31 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Garrett | 89 min |
| Jun 14, 3:55 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Garrett, Washington | 65 min |
| Jun 14, 3:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allegany, Garrett, Washington | 6 hr |
| Jun 14, 7:37 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Garrett | 113 min |
| Jun 14, 1:40 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex and 3 more | 3 hr |
| Jun 14, 11:46 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Brooke, Hancock, Marion, Marshall, Monongalia, Ohio and 2 more | 6 hr |
| Jun 14, 3:25 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brooke, Marshall, Ohio | 95 min |
| Jun 14, 4:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Barbour, Doddridge, Harrison, Lewis, Marion, Marshall and 11 more | 6 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Delaware, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.