Alert archive / Maryland / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 273

June 14, 20214 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 14, 2021, 7:29 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 14, 2021, 7:29 PM EDT (23:29 UTC)
Expired
Jun 15, 2021, 1:40 AM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 45 counties

Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Arlington County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, King George County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Madison County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA

The radar

The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 14, 8:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFairfax, Loudoun, Prince William, City of Fairfax, City of Manassas, City of Manassas Park37 min
Jun 14, 8:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHINew Castle50 min
Jun 14, 9:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Howard, City of Baltimore43 min
Jun 14, 9:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFrederick, Howard, Montgomery38 min
Jun 14, 9:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Harford, City of Baltimore46 min
Jun 14, 9:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXMontgomery50 min
Jun 14, 9:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Howard, City of Baltimore28 min
Jun 14, 10:05 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLWXBaltimore, City of Baltimore2 hr
Jun 14, 10:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Ocean53 min
Jun 14, 10:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXArlington, Fairfax, Loudoun, Prince William, City of Alexandria, City of Fairfax49 min
Jun 14, 10:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Harford33 min
Jun 14, 10:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Baltimore, City of Baltimore44 min
Jun 14, 10:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIKent, Queen Anne's67 min
Jun 14, 10:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George's45 min
Jun 14, 10:49 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLWXMontgomery, Prince George's3 hr
Jun 14, 11:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICaroline, Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot57 min
Jun 14, 11:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIKent63 min
Jun 14, 11:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Ocean39 min
Jun 14, 11:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAnne Arundel24 min
Jun 14, 11:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIKent, New Castle63 min
Jun 14, 11:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIKent, Sussex54 min
Jun 14, 11:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHISussex66 min
Jun 15, 12:12 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Gloucester51 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-06-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-06-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 48 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1284 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
48 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
65 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

730 
WWUS20 KWNS 142324
SEL3  
SPC WW 142324
DCZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-150600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 273
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
725 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  District Of Columbia
  Delaware
  Central and Eastern Maryland
  Southern New Jersey
  Northern and Eastern Virginia
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 725 PM
  until 200 AM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Clusters of storms are expected to develop and/or move
into the region from the west-northwest this evening, with an
increasing potential for damaging winds, some severe hail, and
possibly a brief tornado risk. The downstream air mass is warm and
unstable. The severe risk is expected to continue well into the late
evening and early overnight hours before storms weaken and/or clear
the coast.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles east southeast
of Dover DE to 50 miles west of Washington DC. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 270...WW 271...WW 272...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29030.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 14, 2:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCNew Castle9 hr
Jun 14, 6:18 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNew Castle117 min
Jun 14, 6:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex2 hr
Jun 14, 11:31 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Garrett89 min
Jun 14, 3:55 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Garrett, Washington65 min
Jun 14, 3:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegany, Garrett, Washington6 hr
Jun 14, 7:37 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Garrett113 min
Jun 14, 1:40 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurlington, Camden, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex and 3 more3 hr
Jun 14, 11:46 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrooke, Hancock, Marion, Marshall, Monongalia, Ohio and 2 more6 hr
Jun 14, 3:25 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrooke, Marshall, Ohio95 min
Jun 14, 4:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarbour, Doddridge, Harrison, Lewis, Marion, Marshall and 11 more6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Delaware, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.