Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 267

June 13, 20217 counties in Kentucky; 13 counties in Virginia; 11 counties in West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 13, 2021, 4:56 PM EDT for 7 counties in Kentucky; 13 counties in Virginia; 11 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 13, 2021, 4:56 PM EDT (20:56 UTC)
Expired
Jun 13, 2021, 10:00 PM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 31 counties

Carter County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Martin County, KY, Pike County, KY, Alleghany County, VA, Bath County, VA, Bland County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Buchanan County, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Lexington, VA, Craig County, VA, Dickenson County, VA, Giles County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Boone County, WV, Fayette County, WV, Greenbrier County, WV, Logan County, WV, McDowell County, WV, Mercer County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Monroe County, WV, Raleigh County, WV, Summers County, WV, Wyoming County, WV

The radar

The Charleston,WV radar (KRLX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 13, 5:33 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRLXCarter, Greenup3 hr
Jun 13, 5:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAmherst, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista, City of Lexington41 min
Jun 13, 5:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Bath, Botetourt, Rockbridge66 min
Jun 13, 6:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXCabell, Lincoln, Logan, Wayne41 min
Jun 13, 6:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAmherst, Bedford, Botetourt, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista51 min
Jun 13, 6:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBraxton, Clay, Fayette, Kanawha, Nicholas, Pocahontas and 2 more42 min
Jun 13, 6:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Kanawha, Lincoln, Logan, Putnam39 min
Jun 13, 6:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAmherst, Bedford, Botetourt, Rockbridge, City of Lynchburg61 min
Jun 13, 6:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXClay, Fayette, Kanawha, Nicholas, Pocahontas, Raleigh and 1 more41 min
Jun 13, 6:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKGreenbrier70 min
Jun 13, 7:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXLogan, Mingo44 min
Jun 13, 7:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Fayette, Kanawha, Logan, Raleigh, Wyoming52 min
Jun 13, 7:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBedford, Botetourt, Campbell, Franklin, Roanoke, City of Lynchburg and 2 more62 min
Jun 13, 7:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXFayette, Nicholas, Pocahontas, Raleigh51 min
Jun 13, 7:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany55 min
Jun 13, 7:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXFayette, Raleigh51 min
Jun 13, 7:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Bath32 min
Jun 13, 8:00 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRLXBoone, Fayette, Kanawha, Raleigh2 hr
Jun 13, 8:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCraig, Giles, Montgomery, Pulaski, City of Radford58 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 206 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-06-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 60 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-06-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 22 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
60 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-22 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
614 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
11 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
58 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

512 
WWUS20 KWNS 132052
SEL7  
SPC WW 132052
KYZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-140200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 267
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
455 PM EDT Sun Jun 13 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Far eastern Kentucky
  Southwest Virginia
  Southern West Virginia

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 455 PM until
  1000 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible

SUMMARY...Multiple clusters across West Virginia may consolidate
into a south-southeast propagating short-line segment. Damaging
winds will be the primary hazard until thunderstorms weaken later
this evening.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles north and south of a line from 5 miles north of
Jackson KY to 40 miles east northeast of Roanoke VA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 264...WW 265...WW 266...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
33025.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 13, 12:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoyd, Greenup7 hr
Jun 13, 2:04 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bath, Boone, Bourbon, Boyle, Bracken and 48 more56 min
Jun 13, 3:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Greenup94 min
Jun 13, 4:31 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Boyd, Carter, Elliott, Fleming, Floyd and 11 more89 min
Jun 13, 7:05 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMartin85 min
Jun 13, 12:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFrederick, Rockingham, Shenandoah, City of Winchester2 hr
Jun 13, 12:32 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArlington, Clarke, Culpeper, Fairfax, Fauquier, Frederick and 13 more118 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.