Alert archive / Louisiana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 348

April 9, 2021Ashley County, Arkansas; 16 parishes in Louisiana; 6 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 9, 2021, 5:19 PM CDT for Ashley County, Arkansas; 16 parishes in Louisiana; 6 counties in Texas. It was in force for 116 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 9, 2021, 5:19 PM CDT (22:19 UTC)
Expired
Apr 9, 2021, 7:15 PM CDT
In force
116 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 76
All 23 counties

Ashley County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 48 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-04-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 928 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-04-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 6 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
928 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-310 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1043 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
61 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

209 
ACUS11 KWNS 092219
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092219 
LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-100015-

Mesoscale Discussion 0348
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0519 PM CDT Fri Apr 09 2021

Areas affected...eastern Texas...northern Louisiana

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 76...

Valid 092219Z - 100015Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 76
continues.

SUMMARY...A threat of large hail will continue this evening, with
tornado or damaging wind potential late. A new severe thunderstorm
watch coordinated with WFO Shreveport will replace parts of watch 76
shortly.

DISCUSSION...An MCS continues to move east across southeast AR, with
an outflow boundary trailing southwestward into northern LA and into
northeast TX. Scattered storms persist mainly on the cool side of
this outflow, though storms over east TX are close to the warm side
of the boundary.

Despite somewhat disorganized storm structure as of 22Z, all these
cells will have large hail potential due to steep lapse rates aloft.
As the outflow modifies over the next several hours, a better
tornado risk is expected along and on the warm side of the outflow
boundary, where surface observations show winds gusting out of the
south.

..Jewell.. 04/09/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...

LAT...LON   31749558 32029455 32829311 33239190 33179159 32969150
            32749145 32039157 31529246 31079442 31279535 31509565
            31749558

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 9, 9:49 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Pike and 1 more116 min
Apr 9, 12:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 20 more6 hr
Apr 9, 1:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew and 5 more95 min
Apr 9, 2:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Cleburne and 18 more85 min
Apr 9, 3:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Cleveland, Desha and 5 more95 min
Apr 9, 3:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaxter, Fulton, Izard, Lawrence, Marion, Randolph and 1 more7 hr
Apr 9, 3:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Crawford, Franklin, Polk, Scott, Sebastian and 2 more61 min
Apr 9, 3:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshley, Chicot, Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross and 6 more7 hr
Apr 9, 5:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCColumbia, Union7 hr
Apr 9, 6:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington116 min
Apr 9, 2:49 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJefferson, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard2 hr
Apr 9, 6:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaldwell, East Carroll, Franklin, Madison, Morehouse, Ouachita and 2 more3 hr
Apr 8, 9:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Brazos, Cherokee, Freestone, Grimes, Henderson and 7 more2 hr
Apr 9, 3:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBastrop, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Burnet, Caldwell and 14 more2 hr
Apr 9, 4:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Bell, Bosque, Collin, Cooke, Coryell and 26 more9 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Louisiana, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.