Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
329 PM EDT Sat Jun 12 2021

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Sunday Night/...

Impulse on SW extent of upper low will continue to aid convective
forcing this afternoon into evening as it pushes SEWD. While
weakly sheared, the destabilization with this feature will allow
for scattered to numerous storms with isolated strong to severe
development. Strong to damaging winds is main threat from
multicell clusters or wet microbursts given the still high PWATs.

We finally get a push of some drier air ahead of some weak NW
flow aloft for Sunday so pops/precip coverage look to be decently
lower, but still have slight to low end chance across northern
majority of area and some higher chances for parts of central GA.
Temps look to be slightly lower for Sunday afternoon, but should
still make it to the upper 80s for most locations.

Baker

&&

.LONG TERM /Monday through Saturday/...

Long term forecast continues to show relief from frequent diurnal
storm activity and a return to a more dry weather pattern.

Extended forecast models are in good agreement over the next week
with a large ridge of high pressure positioned over the western US
and broad trough over the Northeast. Expect this trough to dig down
the east coast late Monday, dragging a cold front through Georgia.
Models continue to show a slow progression with the front through
the state with a little assistance from another shortwave to push it
through on Wednesday. Highest rain chances Monday will generally be
south of I-20 - along and south of the front, and low-end PoPs over
far central/south Georgia Tuesday and Wednesday. Although there will
be a marked humidity change through midweek over much of the area,
by Friday another trough will usher back in the higher dew points
and precip chances.

Temperatures will be warmest Monday and Tuesday ahead of the front.
Highs will largely be in the 90s each day, with muggy lows Monday
morning around 70 and above. By Tuesday morning should start seeing
a little cooler morning low temperatures. Near normal temperatures
are expected mid week with pleasant morning lows and highs in the
80s Wednesday and Thursday. Warming temperatures return for the
weekend.

There continues to be a suggestion of a tropical low in the  Gulf by
Friday/Saturday, but with a good amount of uncertainty yet, will
have to continue watching.

31

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
Mainly 3500-5000 ft cu deck this afternoon with isolated to
scattered showers and TSRA development. Have tempo TSRA until
21/22z though could linger later esp for southern sites. Some MVFR
cigs could build into most sites Sunday morning. Shower and TSRA
chances are lower for Sunday, though may be high enough to warrant
prob30 TS at some locations. Winds mainly NW 8-10 kts with higher
and more VRB from any TSRA or outflows. Wind shift to NE after 05z
for KATL.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium on extent of MVFR cigs Sunday morning and Sunday afternoon
precip coverage.
High on all else.

Baker

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          68  88  70  93 /  50  20  10  20
Atlanta         70  88  71  92 /  30  20  10  20
Blairsville     63  83  65  87 /  20  30  20  10
Cartersville    67  89  69  91 /  20  20  10  10
Columbus        70  91  71  93 /  40  30  20  30
Gainesville     68  86  70  90 /  30  30  20  20
Macon           68  89  69  94 /  60  30  10  30
Rome            68  91  70  93 /  20  10  10  10
Peachtree City  68  88  69  92 /  40  20  10  20
Vidalia         71  87  71  92 /  70  60  30  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Baker
LONG TERM....31
AVIATION...Baker

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1103 AM EDT Sat Jun 12 2021

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-131515-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1103 AM EDT Sat Jun 12 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon into evening across
North and Central Georgia. A few strong to severe storms are
possible, especially across central Georgia, with strong to
damaging wind, heavy rain, and frequent lightning being the
primary threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

There will be a chance of thunderstorms across North and Central
Georgia Sunday, then mainly confined to parts of central Georgia
Monday through Wednesday. Thunderstorms will again be possible
across North and Central Georgia on Friday. The greatest chance
will be during the afternoon and evening hours. A few stronger
thunderstorms cannot be ruled out on any of these days, however no
organized or widespread severe weather is expected. The primary
threat from any thunderstorms will be frequent lightning, gusty
winds and brief heavy rain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
201 PM EDT Sat Jun 12 2021

GAZ044-053-054-121830-
Fayette GA-Coweta GA-South Fulton GA-
201 PM EDT Sat Jun 12 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FAYETTE...NORTHEASTERN COWETA AND
SOUTH FULTON COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM EDT...

At 201 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Palmetto, or 12 miles
northwest of Fayetteville...moving southeast at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Fayetteville, Peachtree City, East Point, Union City, Fairburn,
Tyrone, Palmetto, Senoia, Turin, Chattahoochee Hills, Cannongate,
Sandy Creek and Campbellton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3363 8475 3362 8474 3365 8471 3366 8466
      3368 8465 3368 8464 3373 8460 3357 8446
      3355 8446 3355 8444 3350 8442 3348 8439
      3345 8439 3344 8440 3340 8439 3330 8461
      3360 8480
TIME...MOT...LOC 1801Z 324DEG 17KT 3355 8464

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
231 PM EDT Sat Jun 12 2021

GAZ053-054-056-121900-
Fayette GA-Coweta GA-Spalding GA-
231 PM EDT Sat Jun 12 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN FAYETTE...SOUTHEASTERN
COWETA AND WESTERN SPALDING COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM EDT...

At 231 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Peachtree City, or 7
miles west of Fayetteville...moving southeast at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Fayetteville, Peachtree City, Tyrone, Senoia, Brooks, Turin,
Haralson, Woolsey, Starrs Mill, Digbey, Lake Horton and Vaughn.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3348 8453 3330 8436 3321 8442 3321 8445
      3320 8446 3320 8450 3322 8451 3322 8462
      3343 8465
TIME...MOT...LOC 1831Z 337DEG 14KT 3341 8457

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
255 PM EDT Sat Jun 12 2021

GAZ039-062-121930-
Wilkes GA-Warren GA-
255 PM EDT Sat Jun 12 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN WILKES AND NORTHERN
WARREN COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM EDT...

At 254 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Aonia, or 7 miles
southeast of Washington...moving south at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Aonia, Cadley, Rocky Creek Fire Dept. and Holliday Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3364 8248 3366 8251 3365 8252 3364 8256
      3365 8258 3363 8258 3364 8259 3363 8261
      3363 8262 3362 8262 3361 8265 3347 8259
      3347 8265 3369 8269 3373 8254
TIME...MOT...LOC 1854Z 341DEG 17KT 3366 8264

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
311 PM EDT Sat Jun 12 2021

GAZ019-030-121945-
Polk GA-Floyd GA-
311 PM EDT Sat Jun 12 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN POLK AND SOUTHERN FLOYD
COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

At 308 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Lindale, or 8 miles
south of Rome...moving south at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Rome, Cedartown, Rockmart, Aragon, Seney, Fish Creek, Lindale and
Antioch.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3426 8531 3430 8522 3405 8502 3394 8512
      3397 8526
TIME...MOT...LOC 1908Z 339DEG 14KT 3413 8519

WIND...40MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
343 PM EDT SAT JUN 12 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0324 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 WSW LINDALE           34.18N  85.21W
06/12/2021                   FLOYD              GA   PUBLIC

            A BUISNESS IN SIX MILE REPORTED DAMAGE TO AND LOSS OF
            POSTED SIGNS DUE TO WINDS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2100393

TV

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
344 PM EDT Sat Jun 12 2021

GAZ027-122015-
Madison GA-
344 PM EDT Sat Jun 12 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MADISON COUNTY UNTIL 415 PM
EDT...

At 344 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Danielsville...moving
south at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Danielsville, Comer and Paoli.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3421 8309 3417 8310 3415 8306 3412 8305
      3411 8303 3410 8304 3409 8302 3402 8310
      3405 8313 3403 8317 3409 8327 3421 8324
      3422 8308
TIME...MOT...LOC 1944Z 359DEG 14KT 3418 8316

WIND...40MPH