River Flood Warning 3, NWS Nashville, TN

573 
WGUS84 KOHX 070551
FLSOHX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1151 PM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

...The Flood Warnings continue for the following rivers in Tennessee...
 
  Duck River At Columbia affecting Maury County 
  Duck River At Centerville affecting Hickman County 
 
.Heavy rains have caused significant rises along the Duck river...which may stay in
flood through the weekend.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid flooded areas along the river...And move personal belongings to higher 
ground. Never drive through flooded roads as the depth of water may be too great
to pass...Even in trucks or sport utility vehicles. If you come across a flooded
road...Turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio or other local media for further information 
from the National Weather Service.

&&

TNC119-071750-
/O.EXT.KOHX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-200209T0031Z/
/COLT1.1.ER.200207T0043Z.200208T0000Z.200208T1831Z.NO/
1151 PM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

...Flood Warning extended until 02/08 18:31...The Flood Warning continues for
  The Duck River At Columbia
* Until 02/08 18:31.
* At 11PM Thursday the stage was 32.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Action stage is 28.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 35.0 feet tomorrow evening, then is 
  forecast to fall below flood stage Saturday early afternoon.
* At 37.5 feet...Flood waters enter the old TVA hydro electric plant.
* At 36.0 feet...Flood waters will reach Riverside Drive.
* At 34.5 feet...Flood waters reach Riverside Elementary School grounds, the 
  city ball field, and the packing company along Riverside Drive.
* At 34.0 feet...Flood waters reach Hwy 247 at the Duck River, west of Columbia.
* At 32.0 feet...Flood waters overflow the banks and low lying areas near 
  Columbia begin to flood.



&&

LAT...LON  3566 8732 3577 8721 3563 8682 3552 8689




$$

TNC081-071750-
/O.EXT.KOHX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-200210T1251Z/
/CNVT1.2.ER.200206T1937Z.200208T1200Z.200210T0651Z.NO/
1151 PM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

...Flood Warning extended until 02/10 06:51...The Flood Warning continues for
  The Duck River At Centerville
* Until 02/10 06:51.
* At 11PM Thursday the stage was 23.9 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Action stage is 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 27.5 feet Saturday morning, then is 
  forecast to fall below flood stage early Monday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...Flood waters cover the soccer fields and bottomland along the 
  river. Hickman Springs Road, Defeated Creek Road, and Leatherwood Road will be
  impassable. Defeated Creek will flood due to backwater from the Duck River.
* At 22.0 feet...Flood waters will cover the flood plain along the river. 
  Several roads near the river will be partially covered. In Centerville, 
  Hickman Springs Road and Defeated Creek Road will be affected. Leatherwood 
  Road between Shady Grove and Primm Springs near Tottys Bend will also be 
  affected.
* At 17.0 feet...Water begins to overflow the banks.



&&

LAT...LON  3582 8776 3592 8765 3577 8721 3566 8732




$$

917 
WGUS84 KOHX 071754
FLSOHX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1154 AM CST Fri Feb 7 2020

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in Tennessee...

  Duck River At Columbia affecting Maury County 
 
. After heavy rainfall of the last few days, flooding continues on the Duck 
River at Columbia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid flooded areas along the river...And move personal belongings to higher 
ground. Never drive through flooded roads as the depth of water may be too great
to pass...Even in trucks or sport utility vehicles. If you come across a flooded
road...Turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio or other local media for further information 
from the National Weather Service.

&&

TNC119-080553-
/O.CON.KOHX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-200209T0412Z/
/COLT1.1.ER.200207T0043Z.200208T0600Z.200208T2212Z.NO/
1154 AM CST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Duck River At Columbia
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 11 AM Friday the stage was 33.3 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Action stage is 28.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 34.0 feet after midnight tomorrow, then
  is forecast to fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.
* At 36.0 feet...Flood waters will reach Riverside Drive.
* At 34.5 feet...Flood waters reach Riverside Elementary School grounds, the 
  city ball field, and the packing company along Riverside Drive.
* At 34.0 feet...Flood waters reach Hwy 247 at the Duck River, west of Columbia.
* At 32.0 feet...Flood waters overflow the banks and low lying areas near 
  Columbia begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON  3566 8732 3577 8721 3563 8682 3552 8689

$$

27

380 
WGUS84 KOHX 080538
FLSOHX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1138 PM CST Fri Feb 7 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Tennessee...
 
  Duck River At Columbia affecting Maury County 
  Duck River At Centerville affecting Hickman County 
 
.  After heavy rainfall of the last few days, flooding continues on the Duck 
River at Columbia and Centerville. The river is near crest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid flooded areas along the river...And move personal belongings to higher 
ground. Never drive through flooded roads as the depth of water may be too great
to pass...Even in trucks or sport utility vehicles. If you come across a flooded
road...Turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio or other local media for further information 
from the National Weather Service.

&&

TNC119-081737-
/O.EXT.KOHX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-200208T2000Z/
/COLT1.1.ER.200207T0043Z.200207T2030Z.200208T1630Z.NO/
1138 PM CST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until 02/08 14:00...The Flood Warning continues for
  The Duck River At Columbia
* Until 02/08 14:00.
* At 11PM Friday the stage was 33.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Action stage is 28.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 33.4 feet after midnight tomorrow, then
  is forecast to fall below flood stage tomorrow late morning.
* At 36.0 feet...Flood waters will reach Riverside Drive.
* At 34.5 feet...Flood waters reach Riverside Elementary School grounds, the 
  city ball field, and the packing company along Riverside Drive.
* At 34.0 feet...Flood waters reach Hwy 247 at the Duck River, west of Columbia.
* At 32.0 feet...Flood waters overflow the banks and low lying areas near 
  Columbia begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON  3566 8732 3577 8721 3563 8682 3552 8689




$$

TNC081-081737-
/O.EXT.KOHX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-200210T0600Z/
/CNVT1.2.ER.200206T1937Z.200208T1200Z.200210T0000Z.NO/
1138 PM CST Fri Feb 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until 02/10 00:00...The Flood Warning continues for
  The Duck River At Centerville
* Until 02/10 00:00.
* At 11PM Friday the stage was 25.2 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Action stage is 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet tomorrow morning, then is 
  forecast to fall below flood stage Sunday evening.
* At 25.0 feet...Flood waters cover the soccer fields and bottomland along the 
  river. Hickman Springs Road, Defeated Creek Road, and Leatherwood Road will be
  impassable. Defeated Creek will flood due to backwater from the Duck River.
* At 22.0 feet...Flood waters will cover the flood plain along the river. 
  Several roads near the river will be partially covered. In Centerville, 
  Hickman Springs Road and Defeated Creek Road will be affected. Leatherwood 
  Road between Shady Grove and Primm Springs near Tottys Bend will also be 
  affected.
* At 17.0 feet...Water begins to overflow the banks.



&&

LAT...LON  3582 8776 3592 8765 3577 8721 3566 8732




$$

669 
WGUS84 KOHX 081338
FLSOHX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
738 AM CST Sat Feb 8 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Tennessee...
 
  Duck River At Columbia affecting Maury County
 
. The Duck River has dropped below flood stage but remains above action stage
therefore the flood warning has been replaced with an advisory. The river should
continue to fall this weekend with the break in the rain, but more rain will move
into the area early Monday morning which could lead to additional rises on the Duck
River.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid flooded areas along the river...And move personal belongings to higher 
ground. Never drive through flooded roads as the depth of water may be too great
to pass...Even in trucks or sport utility vehicles. If you come across a flooded
road...Turn around don't drown.

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio or other local media for further information 
from the National Weather Service.

&&

TNC119-081408-
/O.CAN.KOHX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-200208T2000Z/
/COLT1.1.ER.200207T0043Z.200207T2030Z.200208T1120Z.NO/
738 AM CST Sat Feb 8 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Duck River At Columbia
* Until 02/08 14:00.
* At 07AM Saturday the stage was 31.5 feet and falling.
* Action stage is 28.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* At 32.0 feet...Flood waters overflow the banks and low lying areas near 
  Columbia begin to flood.



&&

LAT...LON  3566 8732 3577 8721 3563 8682 3552 8689




$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1128 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Rain is ending across the Mid State this morning, bringing an end
to additional flooding concerns. Drier weather is certainly
welcome, considering many locations are still dealing with
flooding issues from overnight. Cloud cover will keep temperatures
in the mid and upper 40s this afternoon.

Colder air will filter in from northwest to southeast this
evening. Strong mid-level energy will ride atop the region late
tonight into early Friday morning. This is expected to spark
light precipitation, likely in the form of some snow. Light
accumulations may occur, mainly along the Cumberland Plateau. A
full update on the light snow potential will be provided in the
afternoon forecast package.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

MVFR/IFR conditions will continue through all of this TAF cycle.
Rains are tapering off from west to east, improving vis, but more
light rain, then a changeover to snow is likely this evening for
all mid-state terminals. Some LIFR conditions will be possible for
a few hours during any heavier snow bands, but should be short-
lived.

Winds will begin to pick up this evening as well, as the surface
pressure gradient tightens. Look for west to northwest gusts of
18-20 kts overnight and into the Friday morning.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

DISCUSSION......Schaper
AVIATION........Unger

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
511 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-071115-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-
Jackson-Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-
Maury-Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-
Coffee-Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
511 AM CST Thu Feb 6 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Middle
Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Light to moderate rain will continue to affect southeastern Middle
Tennessee this morning. Some flooding of roads and other low lying
areas will continue before waters recede later today.

Light rain is expected to redevelop this evening, then mix with
and change to light snow tonight across Middle Tennessee. A
dusting to a few tenths of an inch is possible, with up to 1 inch
on the Cumberland Plateau.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Several more waves of heavy rainfall are likely from Monday
through Friday of next week, which could lead to additional
significant flooding across the area.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated until the middle of next
week.

Shamburger