Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Nashville, TN

004 
WGUS54 KOHX 060319
FFWOHX
TNC035-041-175-177-185-060530-
/O.EXT.KOHX.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-200206T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Nashville TN
919 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

The National Weather Service in Nashville has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Cumberland County in Middle Tennessee...
  Southeastern De Kalb County in Middle Tennessee...
  Van Buren County in Middle Tennessee...
  Northeastern Warren County in Middle Tennessee...
  White County in Middle Tennessee...

* Until 1130 PM CST.

* At 918 PM CST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
  heavy rain across the warned area. Flash flooding is already
  occurring.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas, 
           highways, streets and underpasses as well as other 
           drainage and low lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  McMinnville, Crossville, Sparta, Smithville, Spencer, Fairfield
  Glade, Crab Orchard, Pleasant Hill, Doyle, Dowelltown, Cumberland
  Mountain State Park, Slate Springs, Virgin Falls State Natural
  Area, Rock Island State Park, Lake Tansi and Indian Rock Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3583 8477 3576 8492 3575 8503 3577 8504
      3577 8525 3572 8527 3566 8533 3565 8582
      3583 8587 3601 8596 3601 8531 3599 8531
      3598 8526 3601 8526 3601 8511 3615 8490
      3608 8483 3609 8480 3600 8472 3591 8468

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

Barnwell

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
730 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

.UPDATE...
FOR MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...

&&

.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...

Main line of storms extends from Auburntown to Manchester. Looking
at a comparison of 23z and 00z instability parameters along and in
advance of that aforementioned line, we see a decrease in
instability levels. Helicity values, and surface capes are slowly
decreasing. Showalter are slowly increasing. LAL shows a slow
decrease in frequency and coverage as well.

The main sfc low is now over central MS. The event looks as though
it will unfold toward more of a flood threat across our Plateau.
As the sfc low moves across the area later tonight, rainfall in
our east may intensify once again. The flood watch still looks
good at this point. As for the tor watch, we will continue to
slowly clear the counties from west to east across our far south.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION.../ISSUED /
FXUS64 KOHX 052349
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
549 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

UPDATE...
FOR MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Stationary frontal boundary currently draped from sw-ne across the
mid state. Latest sfc analysis places a surface low near Tupelo
MS. This feature will ride northeastward overnight and bring an
increasing threat of heavy rainfall. Additionally, thunderstorm
activity will also be possible along and to the southeast of the
sfc low track. Rainfall will be heavy at times across southern
middle TN and the central and southern Plateau. Therefore, the CSV
area could experience some tstm activity with the potential for
higher wind gusts.

Further northwest across the remaining taf sites, these areas will
be to the northwest of the low track. Thus, tstm activity is less
likely. However, some heavier rainfall will still be possible for
the BNA and MQY areas.

Otw, look for cloudiness and shower activity to persist through
the day on Thursday. Beyond the 24 hr taf period, look for the
potential for some snowfall on Thursday night.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      46  48  33  41  34 /  90  40  40  10  20
Clarksville    40  42  31  40  32 /  80  30  40  10  20
Crossville     57  60  31  37  28 / 100  80  60  20  20
Columbia       47  49  32  43  34 /  90  50  40  10  20
Lawrenceburg   50  50  33  43  34 /  90  70  40  10  20
Waverly        41  43  30  42  33 /  90  30  40  10  20

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Thursday morning for Bedford-Cannon-Clay-
Coffee-Cumberland-Davidson-De Kalb-Fentress-Giles-Grundy-Jackson-
Lawrence-Lewis-Macon-Marshall-Maury-Overton-Pickett-Putnam-
Robertson-Rutherford-Smith-Sumner-Trousdale-Van Buren-Warren-
Wayne-White-Williamson-Wilson.

&&

DISCUSSION......21
AVIATION........21

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1054 AM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-061700-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-
Jackson-Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-
Maury-Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-
Coffee-Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
1054 AM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Middle
Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

A Flood Watch is in effect for portions of Middle Tennessee
through Noon Thursday. Moderate to heavy rain will continue this
afternoon into tomorrow morning, with an additional 1 to 3 inches
of rain expected. Localized flooding of roads, low lying areas,
and rivers and streams is possible.

Strong to severe storms will be possible between 2 and 9 pm CST
for areas of Middle TN south of I-40. A few storms may contain
winds of 50-60 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Light rain may mix with light snow Thursday night into early
Friday morning. A dusting of snow is possible on elevated surfaces
in the Upper Cumberland and on the Cumberland Plateau, but no
accumulation is expected elsewhere.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is requested for this afternoon and evening
across southern and eastern Middle Tennessee due to the potential
for flooding and a few severe storms.

27

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
624 PM CST WED FEB 05 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0612 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LAWRENCEBURG            35.25N  87.34W
02/05/2020                   LAWRENCE           TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            INJURIES WITH A BUILDING DAMAGED AT OLD HWY 64 JUST
            EAST OF LAWRENCEBURG

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX2000055

21

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
625 PM CST WED FEB 05 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LAWRENCEBURG            35.25N  87.34W
02/05/2020                   LAWRENCE           TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROOF BLOWN OFF A HOUSE AT GLEN SPRINGS RD ON THE WEST
            SIDE OF LAWRENCEBURG.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX2000056

21

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
627 PM CST WED FEB 05 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0614 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LAWRENCEBURG            35.25N  87.34W
02/05/2020                   LAWRENCE           TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROOF DAMAGE TO THE LAWRENCEBURG PUBLIC LIBRARY ON EAST
            GAINES STREET.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX2000057

21

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
643 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

TNZ059-061>063-075-077-060130-
Cannon TN-Rutherford TN-Williamson TN-Bedford TN-Coffee TN-
Marshall TN-
643 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN MARSHALL...
RUTHERFORD...SOUTHEASTERN WILLIAMSON...NORTHWESTERN COFFEE...NORTHERN
BEDFORD AND WESTERN CANNON COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CST...

At 642 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles south of Nolensville to 6 miles east of
Lewisburg. Movement was northeast at 45 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Murfreesboro, Shelbyville, Woodbury, Chapel Hill, Wartrace,
Eagleville, Bell Buckle, and Auburntown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CST for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3596 8607 3557 8601 3545 8674 3587 8670
TIME...MOT...LOC 0042Z 245DEG 37KT 3582 8664 3547 8668

13

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
701 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

TNZ062-063-065-075-077>079-060145-
Cannon TN-Rutherford TN-Bedford TN-Coffee TN-Grundy TN-Warren TN-
White TN-
701 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN RUTHERFORD...
WARREN...COFFEE...EASTERN BEDFORD...WESTERN GRUNDY...SOUTHWESTERN
WHITE AND SOUTHERN CANNON COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM CST...

At 701 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 13 miles south of Murfreesboro to near
Lynchburg. Movement was east at 65 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Shelbyville, McMinnville, Manchester, Tullahoma, Tracy City,
Monteagle, Altamont, Coalmont, Morrison, Wartrace, Bell Buckle,
Beersheba Springs, Centertown, Normandy, Viola, Rock Island State
Park, Beechgrove, Raus, Summitville and Hillsboro.

This includes Interstate 24 between mile markers 90 and 135.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CST for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3524 8582 3522 8587 3529 8592 3534 8603
      3536 8616 3534 8620 3534 8626 3538 8625
      3539 8628 3540 8626 3541 8625 3541 8626
      3532 8643 3570 8638 3585 8555 3580 8557
      3578 8561 3578 8560 3573 8559 3522 8577
TIME...MOT...LOC 0101Z 254DEG 58KT 3567 8632 3536 8636

Barnwell

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
720 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

TNZ032-063>065-078-080-060200-
Putnam TN-Cannon TN-Van Buren TN-De Kalb TN-Warren TN-White TN-
720 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DE KALB...VAN BUREN...NORTHERN
WARREN...WHITE...SOUTHERN PUTNAM AND CANNON COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM
CST...

At 719 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles southeast of Woodbury, moving east at 65 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Cookeville, McMinnville, Sparta, Smithville, Woodbury, Spencer,
Monterey, Doyle, Auburntown, Centertown, Hamptons Crossroads, Bakers
Crossroads, Virgin Falls State Natural Area, Burgess Falls State
Park, Rock Island State Park and Fall Creek Falls State Park.

This includes Interstate 40 between mile markers 294 and 301.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CST for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3580 8525 3579 8527 3576 8527 3572 8527
      3567 8532 3565 8598 3566 8599 3565 8600
      3565 8606 3595 8615 3597 8608 3596 8602
      3598 8602 3618 8527 3603 8525 3596 8526
      3591 8524 3584 8523
TIME...MOT...LOC 0119Z 258DEG 58KT 3573 8595

Barnwell