Alert archive / Oklahoma / Flash Flood Warnings in 2019

Flash Flood Warning 42, NWS Tulsa, OK

May 29, 20194 counties in Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this flash flood warning at May 29, 2019, 10:43 AM CDT for 4 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 29, 2019, 10:43 AM CDT (15:43 UTC)
Expired: May 29, 2019, 3:45 PM CDT
In force: 5 hr
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

Counties Creek County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 3.7 hours before the alert went out and 135 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 3136 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -33 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 578 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 186 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 192 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 3.5
Supercell composite: 14.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at May 29, 10:30 AM CDT, 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 29, 10:30 AM CDT, 13 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1030 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Main update to the zones is adding severe watch 289 to most of
eastern OK and all of northwest AR. Tweaked pops some through 18z,
but otherwise rest of forecast elements have been left as they
are. Favorable environment for severe this afternoon will focus
across SE OK and NW AR, where the potential for supercells will be
in place. Additionally, the threat for heavy rainfall ahead of a
slowly moving frontal boundary will persist across the entire
area. Quick onset flash flooding, especially across northeast
Oklahoma will be possible through the afternoon. The heavy rain
potential will slowly shift southeast of the I-44 corridor by
late afternoon or early evening.

Updated ZFP/PFM/AFM already sent.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for OKZ049-053>076.

AR...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for ARZ001-002-010-
     011-019-020-029.

&&

SHORT TERM...23

Hazardous weather outlook, May 29, 8:55 AM CDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
855 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
855 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

...SEVERE WEATHER WITH HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TODAY...
...DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC FLOODING POSSIBLE...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Mainly This afternoon.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Significant.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
	ONSET...This Morning.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Southeast Oklahoma into western Arkansas.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
	ONSET... This Morning.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Significant.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Southeast Oklahoma into western Arkansas.

DISCUSSION...
Storms have developed across parts of central and eastern Oklahoma
this morning. These storms will spread northeast and expand in areal
coverage as the morning progresses. Meanwhile, a cold front
extending from north central to southwest Oklahoma. This boundary
will slowly sag into eastern Oklahoma today. As upper level energy
spreads into the region, showers and thunderstorms will continue to
increase along and southeast of the Interstate 44 corridor and push
southeast during the afternoon.

Cities along the Arkansas River may experience flooding in areas
that typically remain dry and there is potential for catastrophic
flooding should the heavier totals be realized near the larger
Arkansas river channel.

Scattered strong to severe storm potential will continue
through the day. These storms will be capable of producing large
hail, damaging winds and isolated tornadoes. The highest severe risk
will be across southeast portions of Oklahoma into western Arkansas
during the afternoon, with a transition to heavy rain and flooding
by tonight as the front moves through the area.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY...No Hazards.
SATURDAY through TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
After a brief period of dry weather Thursday and Friday,
thunderstorm chances return by the weekend and continue into early
next week. The threat of organized severe weather will be less, but
there remains potential for at least locally heavy rainfall.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
An organized severe weather event is expected Wednesday with
warnings and watches for both flash flooding and severe weather
likely for portions of the area.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 29, 8:52 AM CDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
852 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

OKZ060-064-066-067-070-291445-
Tulsa OK-Muskogee OK-Okmulgee OK-Creek OK-Wagoner OK-
852 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL CREEK...SOUTHWESTERN
WAGONER...NORTHWESTERN MUSKOGEE...NORTHERN OKMULGEE AND SOUTHEASTERN
TULSA COUNTIES UNTIL 945 AM CDT...

At 852 AM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Depew to 4 miles north of Beggs to 2 miles east
of Okmulgee. Movement was northeast at 40 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Tulsa...                          Broken Arrow...
Muskogee...                       Okmulgee...
Bristow...                        Bixby...
Sapulpa...                        Jenks...
Glenpool...                       Coweta...
Haskell...                        Kiefer...
Morris...                         Beggs...
Mounds...                         Kellyville...
Porter...                         Depew...
Taft...                           Boynton...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 181 and 212.

LAT...LON 3603 9630 3603 9553 3571 9529 3556 9601
      3577 9616 3576 9661
TIME...MOT...LOC 1352Z 246DEG 35KT 3579 9653 3580 9609 3563 9592

Local storm report, May 29, 8:53 AM CDT, 1 hour 50 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
853 AM CDT WED MAY 29 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0851 AM     HAIL             OKMULGEE                35.62N 95.96W
05/29/2019  E0.88 INCH       OKMULGEE           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

JDS

Local storm report, May 29, 9:49 AM CDT, 54 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
949 AM CDT WED MAY 29 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0925 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SW BIXBY              35.91N 95.92W
05/29/2019                   TULSA              OK   PUBLIC

            ONE INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF, ROOF SHINGLES BLOWN OFF.

&&

BLH

Special weather statement, May 29, 9:54 AM CDT, 49 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
954 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

OKZ061-062-067-068-070-291545-
Muskogee OK-Cherokee OK-Rogers OK-Mayes OK-Wagoner OK-
954 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL ROGERS...MAYES...EASTERN
WAGONER...NORTHWESTERN CHEROKEE AND NORTHEASTERN MUSKOGEE COUNTIES
UNTIL 1045 AM CDT...

At 954 AM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 3 miles north of Catoosa to 4 miles southeast of Inola
to 4 miles east of Taft. Movement was northeast at 45 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Muskogee...                       Claremore...
Wagoner...                        Pryor...
Pryor Creek...                    Catoosa...
Fort Gibson...                    Verdigris...
Chouteau...                       Chelsea...
Inola...                          Locust Grove...
Salina...                         Adair...
Okay...                           Hulbert...
Foyil...                          Tullahassee...
Hoot Owl...                       Peggs...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 238 and 270.

LAT...LON 3656 9546 3635 9501 3580 9501 3573 9548
      3607 9551 3622 9581
TIME...MOT...LOC 1454Z 240DEG 39KT 3624 9576 3610 9546 3577 9547

Special weather statement, May 29, 10:05 AM CDT, 38 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1005 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

OKZ064>066-291545-
Okmulgee OK-Okfuskee OK-Creek OK-
1005 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CREEK...NORTHWESTERN
OKMULGEE AND NORTHERN OKFUSKEE COUNTIES UNTIL 1045 AM CDT...

At 1004 AM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 3 miles northeast
of Boley, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Okmulgee...                       Okfuskee...
Beggs...                          Boley...
Paden...                          Slick...
Castle...                         Preston...
Okmulgee State Park...            Welty...
Liberty...                        Mason...
Hectorville...

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 500 PM CDT for
northeastern and east central Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3555 9661 3586 9619 3586 9591 3561 9591
      3540 9644 3546 9644 3546 9647 3543 9650
      3543 9652 3546 9654 3544 9657 3543 9656
      3542 9656 3541 9654 3539 9654 3547 9662
TIME...MOT...LOC 1504Z 235DEG 29KT 3554 9645

69

Local storm report, May 29, 10:28 AM CDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1028 AM CDT WED MAY 29 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0936 AM     TSTM WND DMG     HASKELL                 35.82N 95.67W
05/29/2019                   MUSKOGEE           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            BARN DAMAGED BY THUNDERSTORM WINDS IN THE HASKELL AREA.

&&

JDS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 28, 7:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Craig, Ottawa	48 min
May 28, 7:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Pawnee	35 min
May 29, 12:57 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	McIntosh, Pittsburg	33 min
May 29, 1:12 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, McIntosh, Muskogee	48 min
May 29, 1:35 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell	40 min
May 29, 1:48 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Haskell, Muskogee, Sequoyah	42 min
May 29, 1:59 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah	46 min
May 29, 2:21 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, LeFlore, Sequoyah	39 min
May 29, 8:06 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okfuskee	24 min
May 29, 8:31 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okmulgee	44 min
May 29, 8:52 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek, Okmulgee, Wagoner	53 min
May 29, 9:01 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Creek, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Tulsa, Wagoner	119 min
May 29, 9:13 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner	47 min
May 29, 9:31 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Muskogee, Wagoner	44 min
May 29, 9:54 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Mayes, Rogers	51 min
May 29, 9:59 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Delaware, Mayes, Rogers, Wagoner	46 min
May 29, 10:05 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okfuskee, Okmulgee	40 min
May 29, 10:17 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Creek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee	118 min
May 29, 10:17 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Muskogee, Wagoner	43 min
May 29, 10:42 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Delaware	48 min
May 29, 10:46 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	44 min
May 29, 10:56 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Craig	49 min
May 29, 11:04 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Creek, Osage, Pawnee, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner	116 min
May 29, 11:26 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okmulgee, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner	64 min
May 29, 11:30 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Muskogee, Wagoner	5 hr
May 29, 11:45 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okfuskee	45 min
May 29, 12:10 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Creek, Tulsa	7 hr
May 29, 12:35 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	McIntosh	40 min
May 29, 12:48 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Adair	5 hr
May 29, 12:55 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Haskell, McIntosh, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Sequoyah	5 hr
May 29, 1:09 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning Emergency	TSA	Muskogee, Okfuskee, Okmulgee	5 hr
May 29, 1:53 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Creek	20 hr
May 29, 1:56 PM CDT	River Flood Advisory	TSA	Cherokee	57 hr
May 29, 2:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Latimer	59 min
May 29, 2:04 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Choctaw	56 min
May 29, 2:34 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	LeFlore	56 min
May 29, 2:41 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Craig, Delaware, Mayes, Nowata, Osage, Ottawa and 4 more	3 hr
May 29, 2:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Choctaw, Pushmataha	59 min
May 29, 3:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Choctaw	46 min
May 29, 4:17 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	TSA	Craig, Delaware, Mayes, Nowata, Osage, Ottawa and 3 more	24 hr
May 29, 4:25 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Creek, McIntosh, Muskogee, Okfuskee and 4 more	48 hr
May 29, 2:51 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian, Washington	39 min
May 29, 3:26 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Franklin, Madison	33 min
May 29, 4:24 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Logan	36 min
May 29, 11:30 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Benton, Washington	45 min
May 29, 11:41 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Benton, Washington	49 min
May 29, 11:54 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Benton, Washington	2 hr
May 29, 12:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Franklin	44 min
May 29, 12:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Benton, Carroll, Madison, Washington	55 min
May 29, 12:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Franklin, Madison	55 min
May 29, 12:51 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Carroll, Madison	114 min
May 29, 1:53 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sebastian	52 min
May 29, 2:15 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian	6 hr
May 29, 2:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian	17 min
May 29, 4:31 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	TSA	Benton, Carroll, Madison, Washington	24 hr
May 29, 4:34 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	TSA	Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian	48 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2019 Every flash flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.