River Flood Advisory 21, NWS Tulsa, OK

376 
WGUS84 KTSA 300138
FLSTSA
Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
838 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County

OKC021-300937-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-190602T0300Z/
/TALO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
838 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah
* until Saturday evening, or until the advisory is cancelled.
* At 8:30 PM Wednesday, the stage was 7.1 feet.
* Action stage is 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 10.5 feet by Friday morning,
  which is below flood stage, then fall below 9.5 feet Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, no flooding occurs but all recreational 
  floating along the Illinois River ceases at and above 9.5 feet.  
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Hanging Rock 
  downstream towards Tahlequah. Floating the river is too hazardous 
  due to strong turbulence.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496

$$

091 
WGUS84 KTSA 300803
FLSTSA
Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
303 AM CDT Thu May 30 2019

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County

OKC021-301603-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-190602T0300Z/
/TALO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
303 AM CDT Thu May 30 2019

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah
* until Saturday evening, or until the advisory is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 7.8 feet.
* Action stage is 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 10.5 feet by Friday morning,
  which is below flood stage, then fall below 9.5 feet Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, no flooding occurs but all recreational 
  floating along the Illinois River ceases at and above 9.5 feet.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Hanging Rock 
  downstream towards Tahlequah. Floating the river is too hazardous 
  due to strong turbulence.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496

$$

964 
WGUS84 KTSA 301526
FLSTSA
Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1026 AM CDT Thu May 30 2019

...The Flood Advisory is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Flint Creek near Kansas affecting Cherokee and Delaware Counties

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County

OKC021-302325-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-190602T0300Z/
/TALO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1026 AM CDT Thu May 30 2019

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah
* until Saturday evening.
* At  9:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Action stage is 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 10.6 feet late tonight, which
  is below flood stage. The river will fall below 9 feet by Saturday
  morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, no flooding occurs but all recreational floating
  along the Illinois River ceases at and above 9.5 feet.  
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Hanging Rock 
  downstream towards Tahlequah. Floating the river is too hazardous 
  due to strong turbulence.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496

$$

OKC021-041-301556-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-190531T1335Z/
/KNSO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1026 AM CDT Thu May 30 2019

The Flood Advisory is cancelled for
  The Flint Creek near Kansas.
* At  9:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Action stage is 8.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 7.9 feet and will
  continue falling.

 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3630 9461 3620 9456 3607 9482 3619 9483

$$

545 
WGUS84 KTSA 301916
FLSTSA
Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
216 PM CDT Thu May 30 2019

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County

...The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a Flood Advisory 
for the following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Illinois River at Chewey affecting Adair...Cherokee and Delaware 
  Counties

OKC001-021-041-310316-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.Y.0023.190530T1916Z-190531T1600Z/
/CWYO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
216 PM CDT Thu May 30 2019

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Advisory for
  The Illinois River at Chewey.
* At  1:15 PM Thursday, the stage was 9.0 feet.
* Action stage is 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is cresting at action stage and will begin to 
  fall this afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, no flooding occurs but all recreational 
  floating along the Illinois River ceases due to strong turbulence.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3619 9472 3611 9471 3606 9481 3612 9487

$$

OKC021-310316-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-190602T0300Z/
/TALO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
216 PM CDT Thu May 30 2019

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah
* until Saturday evening.
* At  1:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Action stage is 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 10.7 feet late tonight, which
  is below flood stage. The river is forecast to fall below action stage
  late Friday night.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, no flooding occurs but all recreational floating
  along the Illinois River ceases at and above 9.5 feet.  
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Hanging Rock 
  downstream towards Tahlequah. Floating the river is too hazardous 
  due to strong turbulence.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496

$$

222 
WGUS84 KTSA 310341
FLSTSA
Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1041 PM CDT Thu May 30 2019

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County

OKC021-311141-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-190602T0300Z/
/TALO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1041 PM CDT Thu May 30 2019

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah
* until Saturday evening, or until the advisory is cancelled.
* At 10:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Action stage is 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is below flood stage and will continue to fall
  but will remain above action stage through Friday. The river will
  fall below action stage Friday night.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, no flooding occurs but all recreational floating
  along the Illinois River ceases at and above 9.5 feet. 
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Hanging Rock 
  downstream towards Tahlequah. Floating the river is too hazardous 
  due to strong turbulence.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496

$$

409 
WGUS84 KTSA 310741
FLSTSA
Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
241 AM CDT Fri May 31 2019

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County

OKC021-311541-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-190602T0300Z/
/TALO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
241 AM CDT Fri May 31 2019

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah
* until Saturday evening, or until the advisory is cancelled.
* At 2:30 AM Friday, the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Action stage is 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is below flood stage and will continue to fall
  below action stage by early Sunday morning. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, no flooding occurs but all recreational floating
  along the Illinois River ceases at and above 9.5 feet. 
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Hanging Rock 
  downstream towards Tahlequah. Floating the river is too hazardous 
  due to strong turbulence.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496

$$

584 
WGUS84 KTSA 311456
FLSTSA
Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
956 AM CDT Fri May 31 2019

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County

OKC021-312255-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-190602T0300Z/
/TALO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
956 AM CDT Fri May 31 2019

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah
* until Saturday evening.
* At  9:30 AM Friday, the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Action stage is 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is below flood stage and will continue to fall,
  but will remain above action stage through late tonight.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, no flooding occurs but all recreational floating
  along the Illinois River ceases at and above 9.5 feet.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496

$$

482 
WGUS84 KTSA 311928
FLSTSA
Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
228 PM CDT Fri May 31 2019

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County

OKC021-010327-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-190602T0300Z/
/TALO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
228 PM CDT Fri May 31 2019

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah
* until Saturday evening, or until the advisory is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Friday, the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Action stage is 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is below flood stage and will continue to fall
  but will remain above action stage through early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, no flooding occurs but all recreational 
  floating along the Illinois River ceases at and above 9.5 feet.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496

$$

925 
WGUS84 KTSA 010220
FLSTSA
Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
920 PM CDT Fri May 31 2019

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County

OKC021-011019-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-190602T0300Z/
/TALO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
920 PM CDT Fri May 31 2019

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah
* until Saturday evening, or until the advisory is cancelled.
* At 8:30 PM Friday, the stage was 9.0 feet.
* Action stage is 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is at action stage at this time and 
  will fall below action stage Saturday before dawn.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, no flooding occurs but all recreational 
  floating along the Illinois River ceases at and above 9.5 feet.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496

$$

667 
WGUS84 KTSA 010359
FLSTSA
Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1059 PM CDT Fri May 31 2019

...The Flood Advisory is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County

OKC021-010429-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-190602T0300Z/
/TALO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1059 PM CDT Fri May 31 2019

The Flood Advisory is cancelled for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah.
* At 10:30 PM Friday, the stage was 8.9 feet.
* Action stage is 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has fallen below the action stage and will
  continue to slowly fall.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, no flooding occurs but all recreational 
  floating along the Illinois River ceases at and above 9.5 feet.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1237 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES
KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Widespread convection will continue through 00z across much of the
area with areal coverage decreasing from NW to SE after 02z. KBVO
may be the exception with TSRA ending between 22-00z. MVFR cigs to
prevail for most of the period, with cigs lifting to VFR levels
during the overnight period. VFR conditions then will prevail for
the remainder of the TAF period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1030 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019/

DISCUSSION...
Main update to the zones is adding severe watch 289 to most of
eastern OK and all of northwest AR. Tweaked pops some through 18z,
but otherwise rest of forecast elements have been left as they
are. Favorable environment for severe this afternoon will focus
across SE OK and NW AR, where the potential for supercells will be
in place. Additionally, the threat for heavy rainfall ahead of a
slowly moving frontal boundary will persist across the entire
area. Quick onset flash flooding, especially across northeast
Oklahoma will be possible through the afternoon. The heavy rain
potential will slowly shift southeast of the I-44 corridor by
late afternoon or early evening.

Updated ZFP/PFM/AFM already sent.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for OKZ049-053>076.

AR...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for ARZ001-002-010-
     011-019-020-029.

&&

AVIATION.....23

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
855 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
855 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

...SEVERE WEATHER WITH HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TODAY...
...DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC FLOODING POSSIBLE...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Mainly This afternoon.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Significant.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
	ONSET...This Morning.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Southeast Oklahoma into western Arkansas.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
	ONSET... This Morning.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Significant.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Southeast Oklahoma into western Arkansas.

DISCUSSION...
Storms have developed across parts of central and eastern Oklahoma
this morning. These storms will spread northeast and expand in areal
coverage as the morning progresses. Meanwhile, a cold front
extending from north central to southwest Oklahoma. This boundary
will slowly sag into eastern Oklahoma today. As upper level energy
spreads into the region, showers and thunderstorms will continue to
increase along and southeast of the Interstate 44 corridor and push
southeast during the afternoon.

Cities along the Arkansas River may experience flooding in areas
that typically remain dry and there is potential for catastrophic
flooding should the heavier totals be realized near the larger
Arkansas river channel.

Scattered strong to severe storm potential will continue
through the day. These storms will be capable of producing large
hail, damaging winds and isolated tornadoes. The highest severe risk
will be across southeast portions of Oklahoma into western Arkansas
during the afternoon, with a transition to heavy rain and flooding
by tonight as the front moves through the area.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY...No Hazards.
SATURDAY through TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
After a brief period of dry weather Thursday and Friday,
thunderstorm chances return by the weekend and continue into early
next week. The threat of organized severe weather will be less, but
there remains potential for at least locally heavy rainfall.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
An organized severe weather event is expected Wednesday with
warnings and watches for both flash flooding and severe weather
likely for portions of the area.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1221 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1137 AM     TSTM WND DMG     HIGHFILL                36.26N 94.36W
05/29/2019                   BENTON             AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POLICE REPORT TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. REPORT RELAYED
            BY MEDIA.

&&

JDS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1235 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019

OKZ066-067-070-071-291815-
Muskogee OK-Okmulgee OK-Wagoner OK-McIntosh OK-
1235 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN MCINTOSH...SOUTH
CENTRAL WAGONER...NORTHWESTERN MUSKOGEE AND EASTERN OKMULGEE COUNTIES
UNTIL 115 PM CDT...

At 1235 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Hoffman,
moving northeast at 35 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Muskogee...                       Okmulgee...
Henryetta...                      Haskell...
Morris...                         Dewar...
Schulter...                       Oktaha...
Taft...                           Boynton...
Grayson...                        Council Hill...
Rentiesville...                   Hoffman...
Stidham...                        Bald Hill...
Lake Eufaula State Park...        Wainwright...
Summit...                         Hitchita...

This includes Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 240 and
262.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 500 PM CDT for
southeastern, northeastern and east central Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3531 9568 3546 9601 3585 9590 3585 9561
      3579 9527
TIME...MOT...LOC 1735Z 224DEG 29KT 3551 9580

69

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1243 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1122 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NE SILOAM SPRINGS     36.21N 94.51W
05/29/2019                   BENTON             AR   PUBLIC

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN, BLOCKING DAWN HILL ROAD NORTHEAST OF
            SILOAM SPRINGS. REPORT RELAYED BY MEDIA.

&&

JDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
120 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1217 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 WNW TULSA             36.16N 95.99W
05/29/2019                   TULSA              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NEIGHBORHOOD STREET FLOODING IN THE 4300-4500 BLOCK OF W.
            5TH ST. DUE TO HEAVY RAIN.

&&

NMM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
122 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     HAIL             OAK GROVE               36.46N 93.45W
05/29/2019  E1.00 INCH       CARROLL            AR   PUBLIC

            RELAYED BY NWS SPRINGFIELD.

&&

JDS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
153 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019

ARZ029-OKZ076-291945-
Sebastian AR-Le Flore OK-
153 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL SEBASTIAN AND
NORTHEASTERN LE FLORE COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM CDT...

At 153 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Cameron, moving
northeast at 20 mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Fort Smith...                     Poteau...
Greenwood...                      Pocola...
Arkoma...                         Hackett...
Bonanza...                        Midland...
Cameron...                        Excelsior...
Jenny Lind...                     Rock Island...
Braden...                         Mill Creek...
Rye Hill...                       Jenson...

This includes Interstate 540 between mile markers 10 and 14.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for west central
Arkansas...and southeastern and east central Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3520 9418 3497 9450 3510 9466 3531 9449
      3531 9448 3532 9448 3538 9443
TIME...MOT...LOC 1853Z 222DEG 20KT 3510 9452

69