Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2019

Tornado Watch 660

September 24, 20194 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 24, 2019, 4:43 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 24, 2019, 4:43 PM CDT (21:43 UTC)
Expired
Sep 24, 2019, 11:48 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 113 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Boone County, IA, Buena Vista County, IA, Butler County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Cherokee County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Clay County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Howard County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Ida County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Lyon County, IA, Madison County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mills County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Monona County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Page County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Plymouth County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Polk County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Story County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Warren County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Anoka County, MN, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Carver County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Cottonwood County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Dodge County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Jackson County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Martin County, MN, Mower County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Nobles County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Steele County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Washington County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Winona County, MN, Burt County, NE, Cass County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE, Barron County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Polk County, WI, Rusk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

50 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 24, 4:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Monona42 min
Sep 24, 5:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBuena Vista, Cherokee, Ida, Woodbury41 min
Sep 24, 5:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Monona53 min
Sep 24, 5:29 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDIda31 min
Sep 24, 5:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXSac54 min
Sep 24, 5:50 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXHarrison25 min
Sep 24, 5:54 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXSac36 min
Sep 24, 5:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXEmmet, Kossuth, Palo Alto50 min
Sep 24, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBlue Earth, Brown, Watonwan47 min
Sep 24, 6:14 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXHarrison, Shelby33 min
Sep 24, 6:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Pottawattamie34 min
Sep 24, 6:29 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXKossuth31 min
Sep 24, 6:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBuena Vista, Cherokee, O'Brien, Plymouth43 min
Sep 24, 6:42 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXFaribault16 min
Sep 24, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXKossuth, Winnebago36 min
Sep 24, 6:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Pottawattamie35 min
Sep 24, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXFreeborn, Steele, Waseca49 min
Sep 24, 7:00 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXGoodhue30 min
Sep 24, 7:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Shelby29 min
Sep 24, 7:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXRice, Steele, Waseca27 min
Sep 24, 7:03 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXSaint Croix27 min
Sep 24, 7:13 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXSteele32 min
Sep 24, 7:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBuena Vista, Cherokee46 min
Sep 24, 7:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXLe Sueur, Scott44 min
Sep 24, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXDodge43 min
Sep 24, 7:29 PM CDTTornado WarningARXDodge31 min
Sep 24, 7:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXGoodhue26 min
Sep 24, 7:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPottawattamie, Shelby25 min
Sep 24, 7:37 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXPottawattamie38 min
Sep 24, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXOlmsted, Wabasha48 min
Sep 24, 7:46 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXChippewa, Dunn29 min
Sep 24, 7:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCalhoun, Pocahontas, Sac43 min
Sep 24, 7:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXFillmore, Mower, Olmsted42 min
Sep 24, 7:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXDodge, Olmsted44 min
Sep 24, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPottawattamie, Shelby31 min
Sep 24, 8:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPottawattamie, Shelby10 min
Sep 24, 8:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXBuffalo39 min
Sep 24, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota, Washington31 min
Sep 24, 8:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXWinona44 min
Sep 24, 8:23 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXChippewa37 min
Sep 24, 8:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXTrempealeau33 min
Sep 24, 8:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPottawattamie29 min
Sep 24, 8:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAudubon, Cass43 min
Sep 24, 8:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXTrempealeau21 min
Sep 24, 8:59 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXEau Claire11 min
Sep 24, 9:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXHamilton, Webster, Wright44 min
Sep 24, 9:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXCass6 hr
Sep 24, 9:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Cass21 min
Sep 24, 9:57 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXPottawattamie3 hr
Sep 24, 10:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPottawattamie24 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2019-09-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 498 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2019-09-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 241 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
498 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-185 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1159 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
241 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
245 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

743 
WWUS20 KWNS 242141
SEL0  
SPC WW 242141
IAZ000-MNZ000-NEZ000-WIZ000-250500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 660
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
445 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2019

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Western and central Iowa
  Southern and east-central Minnesota
  Eastern Nebraska
  West-central Wisconsin

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon from 445 PM until Midnight
  CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 80 mph possible

SUMMARY...Several supercells are expected to develop from eastern
Nebraska and western Iowa northeast across southern Minnesota into
west-central Wisconsin this evening, capable of producing all severe
thunderstorm hazards. The greater tornado threat should exist from
northern Iowa across southern Minnesota into west-central Wisconsin.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 5 miles west of Shenandoah IA to 50
miles north northeast of Minneapolis MN. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 659...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 26040.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 24, 3:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Bremer, Buena Vista, Butler, Cerro Gordo, Chickasaw and 17 more3 hr
Sep 24, 6:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 40 more117 min
Sep 24, 5:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeltrami, Clearwater, Kittson, Koochiching, Lake of the Woods, Mahnomen and 6 more2 hr
Sep 24, 5:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGage, Jefferson, Johnson, Lancaster, Nemaha, Otoe and 4 more60 min
Sep 24, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCGage, Jefferson, Johnson, Lancaster, Nemaha, Otoe and 3 more6 hr
Sep 24, 6:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshland, Chippewa, Clark, Florence, Forest, Iron and 17 more53 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2019Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2019Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.