Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2019

Tornado Watch 293

May 29, 201938 counties in Arkansas; 7 counties in Oklahoma; 41 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 29, 2019, 12:46 PM CDT for 38 counties in Arkansas; 7 counties in Oklahoma; 41 counties in Texas. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 29, 2019, 12:46 PM CDT (17:46 UTC)
Expired
May 29, 2019, 9:55 PM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 86 counties

Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Howard County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Miller County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Yell County, AR, Choctaw County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Anderson County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Morris County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Red River County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Smith County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

54 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 12:48 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Madison, Washington5 hr
May 29, 12:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAFranklin, Madison55 min
May 29, 12:55 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAHaskell, McIntosh, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Sequoyah5 hr
May 29, 12:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDenton, Tarrant, Wise65 min
May 29, 12:58 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDParker, Tarrant47 min
May 29, 1:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Newton52 min
May 29, 1:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Newton44 min
May 29, 1:28 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDDenton47 min
May 29, 1:38 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDDallas, Denton, Tarrant52 min
May 29, 1:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Dallas, Denton, Tarrant63 min
May 29, 2:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKNewton, Searcy40 min
May 29, 2:15 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Sebastian6 hr
May 29, 2:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Sebastian17 min
May 29, 2:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Marion, Searcy, Stone48 min
May 29, 2:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAChoctaw, Pushmataha59 min
May 29, 2:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDLamar63 min
May 29, 3:01 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedFWDCollin, Rockwall44 min
May 29, 3:04 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDRains, Van Zandt41 min
May 29, 3:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVMcCurtain59 min
May 29, 3:32 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedSHVSmith, Wood28 min
May 29, 3:39 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDHunt, Kaufman, Rockwall51 min
May 29, 3:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAChoctaw46 min
May 29, 3:47 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDRains, Van Zandt13 min
May 29, 3:59 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVWood46 min
May 29, 4:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Stone, Van Buren55 min
May 29, 4:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVMcCurtain46 min
May 29, 4:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHenderson, Kaufman, Van Zandt59 min
May 29, 4:23 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDKaufman, Van Zandt52 min
May 29, 4:25 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedSHVMcCurtain50 min
May 29, 4:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Independence, Izard, Stone30 min
May 29, 4:31 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDGrayson119 min
May 29, 4:32 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedSHVCamp, Franklin, Titus, Wood43 min
May 29, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Perry45 min
May 29, 4:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHoward, Sevier43 min
May 29, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCamp, Franklin, Titus, Upshur, Wood49 min
May 29, 4:58 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedFWDVan Zandt62 min
May 29, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Perry, Van Buren51 min
May 29, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLawrence, Randolph, Sharp45 min
May 29, 5:15 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVCamp, Franklin, Titus45 min
May 29, 5:18 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKRandolph42 min
May 29, 5:24 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKVan Buren2 hr
May 29, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski, White47 min
May 29, 5:28 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVCamp, Titus, Upshur, Wood47 min
May 29, 5:38 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVSmith, Wood52 min
May 29, 5:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDelta, Fannin, Lamar54 min
May 29, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHoward, Sevier53 min
May 29, 5:53 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDKaufman, Van Zandt52 min
May 29, 5:58 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDFannin3 hr
May 29, 6:05 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKFaulkner, Grant, Hot Spring, Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline115 min
May 29, 7:06 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVRed River39 min
May 29, 7:35 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVBowie, Red River40 min
May 29, 8:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVLittle River58 min
May 29, 8:32 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVLittle River43 min
May 29, 8:49 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVLittle River, Miller41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 243 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2019-05-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1385 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2019-05-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 176 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1385 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-53 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
652 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
176 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
242 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
4.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

082 
WWUS20 KWNS 291743
SEL3  
SPC WW 291743
ARZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-300100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 293
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Parts of western and northern Arkansas
  Southeastern Oklahoma
  Parts of north central and northeastern Texas

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 1245 PM
  until 800 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

SUMMARY...Ongoing storms from north Texas into northwestern Arkansas
will continue to spread eastward through the afternoon.  Additional
warm sector, discrete storm development appears likely from
northeast Texas into western Arkansas through the afternoon.  The
storm environment is supportive of supercells with very large hail,
as well as storm clusters capable of damaging gusts.  Though
low-level shear is not particularly strong, some of the discrete
storms and/or storm interactions could pose a tornado threat, as
well as circulations embedded in line segments resulting from
upscale growth.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 20 miles north northeast of Flippin AR
to 50 miles east southeast of Stephenville TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 288...WW 289...WW
290...WW 291...WW 292...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24030.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 1:07 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 14 more113 min
May 29, 1:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCrawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian, Washington3 hr
May 29, 3:11 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Crawford, Franklin, Izard, Johnson and 8 more94 min
May 29, 3:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaxter, Boone, Cleburne, Conway, Fulton, Independence and 13 more5 hr
May 29, 6:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClay, Craighead, Greene, Mississippi, Poinsett2 hr
May 29, 9:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington65 min
May 29, 10:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more7 hr
May 29, 12:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Franklin, Garland, Hempstead, Hot Spring, Howard and 13 more87 min
May 29, 1:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Washington58 min
May 29, 3:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway, Crawford and 29 more63 min
May 29, 6:22 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCalhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas, Faulkner and 22 more7 hr
May 28, 8:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Creek, Garfield and 14 more85 min
May 29, 7:31 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Cleveland, Coal and 19 more119 min
May 28, 11:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrane, Ector, Glasscock, Midland, Pecos, Reagan and 3 more117 min
May 29, 1:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrews, Borden, Callahan, Coke, Crane, Dawson and 24 more8 hr
May 29, 4:50 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Coke, Ector, Fisher, Glasscock and 18 more115 min
May 29, 8:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCooke, Denton, Eastland, Erath, Grayson, Hood and 8 more4 hr
May 29, 9:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Baylor, Borden, Callahan, Coke, Crane and 19 more86 min
May 29, 2:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrockett, Edwards, Gillespie, Kerr, Kimble, Mason and 5 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2019Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2019Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.