Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2019
Tornado Watch 293
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 29, 2019, 12:46 PM CDT for 38 counties in Arkansas; 7 counties in Oklahoma; 41 counties in Texas. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 29, 2019, 12:46 PM CDT (17:46 UTC)
- Expired
- May 29, 2019, 9:55 PM CDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 86 counties
Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Howard County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Miller County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Yell County, AR, Choctaw County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Anderson County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Morris County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Red River County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Smith County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wood County, TX
The radar
The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 60%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 60%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
54 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 12:48 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Washington | 5 hr |
| May 29, 12:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Franklin, Madison | 55 min |
| May 29, 12:55 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Haskell, McIntosh, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Sequoyah | 5 hr |
| May 29, 12:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Denton, Tarrant, Wise | 65 min |
| May 29, 12:58 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Parker, Tarrant | 47 min |
| May 29, 1:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Newton | 52 min |
| May 29, 1:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Newton | 44 min |
| May 29, 1:28 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Denton | 47 min |
| May 29, 1:38 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Dallas, Denton, Tarrant | 52 min |
| May 29, 1:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Collin, Dallas, Denton, Tarrant | 63 min |
| May 29, 2:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Newton, Searcy | 40 min |
| May 29, 2:15 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian | 6 hr |
| May 29, 2:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian | 17 min |
| May 29, 2:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Marion, Searcy, Stone | 48 min |
| May 29, 2:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Choctaw, Pushmataha | 59 min |
| May 29, 2:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Lamar | 63 min |
| May 29, 3:01 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Collin, Rockwall | 44 min |
| May 29, 3:04 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Rains, Van Zandt | 41 min |
| May 29, 3:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | McCurtain | 59 min |
| May 29, 3:32 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Smith, Wood | 28 min |
| May 29, 3:39 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Hunt, Kaufman, Rockwall | 51 min |
| May 29, 3:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Choctaw | 46 min |
| May 29, 3:47 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Rains, Van Zandt | 13 min |
| May 29, 3:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Wood | 46 min |
| May 29, 4:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Stone, Van Buren | 55 min |
| May 29, 4:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | McCurtain | 46 min |
| May 29, 4:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Henderson, Kaufman, Van Zandt | 59 min |
| May 29, 4:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Kaufman, Van Zandt | 52 min |
| May 29, 4:25 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | McCurtain | 50 min |
| May 29, 4:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Independence, Izard, Stone | 30 min |
| May 29, 4:31 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Grayson | 119 min |
| May 29, 4:32 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Camp, Franklin, Titus, Wood | 43 min |
| May 29, 4:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Faulkner, Perry | 45 min |
| May 29, 4:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Howard, Sevier | 43 min |
| May 29, 4:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Camp, Franklin, Titus, Upshur, Wood | 49 min |
| May 29, 4:58 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Van Zandt | 62 min |
| May 29, 5:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Perry, Van Buren | 51 min |
| May 29, 5:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lawrence, Randolph, Sharp | 45 min |
| May 29, 5:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Camp, Franklin, Titus | 45 min |
| May 29, 5:18 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Randolph | 42 min |
| May 29, 5:24 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Van Buren | 2 hr |
| May 29, 5:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski, White | 47 min |
| May 29, 5:28 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Camp, Titus, Upshur, Wood | 47 min |
| May 29, 5:38 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Smith, Wood | 52 min |
| May 29, 5:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Delta, Fannin, Lamar | 54 min |
| May 29, 5:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Howard, Sevier | 53 min |
| May 29, 5:53 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Kaufman, Van Zandt | 52 min |
| May 29, 5:58 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Fannin | 3 hr |
| May 29, 6:05 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Grant, Hot Spring, Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline | 115 min |
| May 29, 7:06 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Red River | 39 min |
| May 29, 7:35 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Bowie, Red River | 40 min |
| May 29, 8:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Little River | 58 min |
| May 29, 8:32 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Little River | 43 min |
| May 29, 8:49 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Little River, Miller | 41 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 243 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1385 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -53 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 652 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 25 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 176 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 242 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.8
- Supercell composite
- 4.3
The text
As transmitted.
082
WWUS20 KWNS 291743
SEL3
SPC WW 291743
ARZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-300100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 293
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Parts of western and northern Arkansas
Southeastern Oklahoma
Parts of north central and northeastern Texas
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 1245 PM
until 800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Ongoing storms from north Texas into northwestern Arkansas
will continue to spread eastward through the afternoon. Additional
warm sector, discrete storm development appears likely from
northeast Texas into western Arkansas through the afternoon. The
storm environment is supportive of supercells with very large hail,
as well as storm clusters capable of damaging gusts. Though
low-level shear is not particularly strong, some of the discrete
storms and/or storm interactions could pose a tornado threat, as
well as circulations embedded in line segments resulting from
upscale growth.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 20 miles north northeast of Flippin AR
to 50 miles east southeast of Stephenville TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 288...WW 289...WW
290...WW 291...WW 292...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24030.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 1:07 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 14 more | 113 min |
| May 29, 1:39 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian, Washington | 3 hr |
| May 29, 3:11 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Crawford, Franklin, Izard, Johnson and 8 more | 94 min |
| May 29, 3:11 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Cleburne, Conway, Fulton, Independence and 13 more | 5 hr |
| May 29, 6:06 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Greene, Mississippi, Poinsett | 2 hr |
| May 29, 9:40 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington | 65 min |
| May 29, 10:04 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more | 7 hr |
| May 29, 12:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Franklin, Garland, Hempstead, Hot Spring, Howard and 13 more | 87 min |
| May 29, 1:32 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Washington | 58 min |
| May 29, 3:12 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway, Crawford and 29 more | 63 min |
| May 29, 6:22 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas, Faulkner and 22 more | 7 hr |
| May 28, 8:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Creek, Garfield and 14 more | 85 min |
| May 29, 7:31 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Cleveland, Coal and 19 more | 119 min |
| May 28, 11:48 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crane, Ector, Glasscock, Midland, Pecos, Reagan and 3 more | 117 min |
| May 29, 1:56 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Callahan, Coke, Crane, Dawson and 24 more | 8 hr |
| May 29, 4:50 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Coke, Ector, Fisher, Glasscock and 18 more | 115 min |
| May 29, 8:39 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Cooke, Denton, Eastland, Erath, Grayson, Hood and 8 more | 4 hr |
| May 29, 9:04 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Baylor, Borden, Callahan, Coke, Crane and 19 more | 86 min |
| May 29, 2:14 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crockett, Edwards, Gillespie, Kerr, Kimble, Mason and 5 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Texas, 2019Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2019Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.