Tornado Warning 31, NWS Raleigh, NC

595 
WWUS52 KRAH 192152
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
552 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

NCC077-181-185-192215-
/O.CON.KRAH.TO.W.0031.000000T0000Z-190419T2215Z/
Vance NC-Warren NC-Granville NC-
552 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT FOR NORTHERN
VANCE...NORTHWESTERN WARREN AND NORTHEASTERN GRANVILLE COUNTIES...
    
At 552 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Oxford, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely. 

Locations impacted include...
Oxford, Stovall, Dabney, Tungsten, Satterwhite Point Marina, John H
Kerr Reservoir, Steele Creek Marina & Campground, Bullocksville and
Kerr Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3627 7851 3634 7866 3654 7865 3654 7823
TIME...MOT...LOC 2152Z 212DEG 37KT 3638 7853 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

BAH

781 
WWUS52 KRAH 192158
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
558 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

NCC077-181-185-192215-
/O.CON.KRAH.TO.W.0031.000000T0000Z-190419T2215Z/
Vance NC-Warren NC-Granville NC-
558 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT FOR NORTHERN
VANCE...NORTHWESTERN WARREN AND NORTHEASTERN GRANVILLE COUNTIES...
    
At 558 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 8 miles northwest of Henderson, moving northeast at 45
mph.

HAZARD...Tornado. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely. 

Locations impacted include...
Stovall, Dabney, Tungsten, Satterwhite Point Marina, John H Kerr
Reservoir, Steele Creek Marina & Campground, Bullocksville and Kerr
Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3631 7846 3636 7861 3654 7858 3654 7823
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 212DEG 37KT 3644 7848 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

BAH

491 
WWUS52 KRAH 192208
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
608 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

NCC185-192218-
/O.CAN.KRAH.TO.W.0031.000000T0000Z-190419T2215Z/
Warren NC-
608 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for central North
Carolina. A tornado watch also remains in effect until midnight EDT
for central North Carolina.

LAT...LON 3647 7831 3642 7836 3645 7855 3654 7857
      3654 7832
TIME...MOT...LOC 2208Z 212DEG 37KT 3653 7841 

$$

NCC077-181-192215-
/O.CON.KRAH.TO.W.0031.000000T0000Z-190419T2215Z/
Vance NC-Granville NC-
608 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT FOR NORTHERN
VANCE AND NORTHEASTERN GRANVILLE COUNTIES...
    
At 608 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 9 miles south of Boydton, or 14 miles north of Henderson,
moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely. 

Locations impacted include...
John H Kerr Reservoir, Steele Creek Marina & Campground,
Bullocksville, Kerr Lake, Tungsten and Satterwhite Point Marina.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3647 7831 3642 7836 3645 7855 3654 7857
      3654 7832
TIME...MOT...LOC 2208Z 212DEG 37KT 3653 7841 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

BAH

934 
WWUS52 KRAH 192214
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
614 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

NCC077-181-192224-
/O.EXP.KRAH.TO.W.0031.000000T0000Z-190419T2215Z/
Vance NC-Granville NC-
614 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHERN VANCE AND NORTHEASTERN GRANVILLE
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 615 PM EDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for central North
Carolina. A tornado watch also remains in effect until midnight EDT
for central North Carolina.

LAT...LON 3647 7831 3642 7836 3645 7855 3654 7857
      3654 7832
TIME...MOT...LOC 2214Z 212DEG 37KT 3658 7837 

$$

BAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
540 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Enhanced southerly flow will continue to strengthen this morning
between a Bermuda high to our east and a strengthening mid latitude
cyclone to our west. A related cold front will cross central NC
Friday night, spreading strong to severe thunderstorms. A mid and
upper level low will then linger over the central Appalachians and
middle Atlantic states through the weekend with surface high
pressure set to push in from the southwest on Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 215 PM Friday...

...Significant severe weather event likely through this evening...

The second round of showers and thunderstorms is moving into the
western edge of central NC as of 2 PM. As per the SPC mesoanalysis
page, CAPE is in the 500-1000 J/Kg range, with Bulk Shear values of
55-65 kts. 0-3 km SRH is roughly 200-250 m^2/s^2. Lapse rates aren't
terribly impressive. PWAT's are roughly 1.0-1.5" from west to east
across the area. SRH is expected to increase over the next few
hours. The CAPE has decreased in response to the earlier convection,
however some recovery is possible ahead of the line, especially if
the sun breaks out at all. Based on current radar and the above
parameters, there could be three successive rounds of convection
move through the area between 2 PM and 12 AM. Damaging winds,
isolated tornadoes and possibly some hail are all possible with the
storms. Also, given the available moisture there is also the
possibility for flash flooding, especially in urban areas.

Emergency Action plans should already be in place. Know where your
safe place is! If a warning is issued for your location take
shelter! Also, have multiple ways to receive watches and warnings.
Please check on your nearby family members and neighbors to ensure
they are also prepared.

Tonight...the strong/severe storms should be exiting the area around
or shortly after midnight as the cold front pushes through central
NC. Some additional showers are possible as the upper low swings
through the region, primarily across the far northwestern portions
of the area. Lows will depend on fropa timing and lingering clouds,
however for now expect lows around 50 degrees northwest to around 60
degrees east. Wind gusts should taper off behind the front, however
sustained winds around 15 kts will likely continue through the
overnight hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 440 PM Friday...

A mature deep upper level low over eastern KY will migrate slowly
east into WV Saturday night. While central NC will initially be in
the dry slow associated with the mature low, strong cyclonic flow
interacting with available low level moisture will result in a
broken/overcast stratocu field by late morning, persisting well into
the afternoon. With heating, expect scattered showers to develop
with the greatest concentration over the NW Piedmont, and less so
over the Sandhills and southern Coastal Plain. While the bilk of the
showers will dissipate with loss of heating, continued cyclonic flow
will maintain a small threat for a shower across the northern
counties into Saturday night.

Due to the presence of the deep low, it will remain breezy across
central NC Saturday. Anticipate gusts 25 to 35 mph with the
strongest expected across the Sandhills and Coastal Plain where
partial sun will aid to mix the stronger winds to the surface.

The upper level low will drift east Sunday from WV into VA,
maintaining a cyclonic flow, though weaker, over central NC. Still
expect a few showers across the NE Piedmont, mainly during the
afternoon hours, though quickly dissipating with loss of heating.

Presence of the upper level low in our vicinity and its associated
cool pool of air will result in cooler than normal temperatures
through Sunday. Highs Saturday should vary from the upper 50s NW to
the upper 60s SE, and the 60s Sunday.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 540 PM Friday...

The upper level low lifts away from the Mid Atlantic Monday into
Tuesday, resulting in rising mid/upper level heights and a milder
air mass regime. A s/w in the northern stream will drag a weak sfc
cold front into central NC on Wednesday. Expect an increase in
cloudiness along with a small threat for a shower though convergence
appears weak and overall moisture depth marginal at best. Tranquil
weather expected Thu while the deep upper level low over the
ARKLATEX migrates into the Deep South Friday. Associated upper
divergence, strong onshore moisture fetch, and a weak sfc front
dropping southward from VA will increase the threat for showers and
a few thunderstorms. Temperatures through the work week will average
near to above normal.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 130 PM Friday...

24 hour TAF period: A narrow window of high-end MVFR to VFR
conditions will occur between the showers that moved through central
NC this morning and the more intense line of storms expected to
cross the area this aft/eve. However, winds will be strong and
gusty, even in the absence of showers/storms. Sustained southerly
winds of around 15 kts with gusts of 25-35 kts are expected. As the
line of storms moves through, cigs will lower into the IFR/MVFR
range while periods of visbys in the LIFR to MVFR range are
anticipated. Winds with the strong storms will increase to sustained
20+ kts with gusts of 40+ kts. Main threats will be damaging winds
and tornadoes accompanied by heavy downpours. Some hail cannot be
ruled out. -KC

The severe convection will exit the the area this evening/early
overnight as the cold front crosses cntl NC. Expect a wind shift to
swly and continued breezy conditions for much of the night. In such,
somewhat atypical regimes of post-frontal swly flow, low level
drying is not as significant as the climatologically more typical
wly or nwly post-frontal flow regimes; and as such, some patchy MVFR
ceilings may linger through early Sat. -MWS/KC

Looking ahead: The lingering presence of a mid-upr level low in the
vicinity of the Appalachians will maintain a risk of mainly diurnal
showers and storms Sat-Sun. A prolonged period of largely VFR
conditions is then expected through mid-week. -MWS/KC

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for NCZ009>011-
026>028-041>043-077-078-085-086-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Haines/JM
NEAR TERM...Haines/JM
SHORT TERM...WSS
LONG TERM...WSS
AVIATION...JM/MWS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
120 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019

NCZ007-008-021>025-038>040-073>076-083-084-201730-
Person-Granville-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Durham-Davidson-
Randolph-Chatham-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Anson-Richmond-
120 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019

...TORNADO WATCH 88 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

Winds will be quite strong well ahead of the storms. Gusts between
30 and 35 mph from the south will be common.

Severe thunderstorms will be likely this afternoon and evening,
primarily between 12 PM and 10 PM. The main severe weather hazards
will be damaging straight-line winds, large hail, torrential
downpours, and a few tornadoes. An isolated strong and long track
tornado can't be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

NCZ009>011-026>028-042-043-078-088-089-201730-
Vance-Warren-Halifax-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Johnston-Wilson-Wayne-
Cumberland-Sampson-
120 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 91 IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

Winds will be quite strong well ahead of the storms. Gusts between
30 and 35 mph from the south will be common.

Severe thunderstorms will be likely this afternoon and evening,
primarily between 12 PM and 10 PM. The main severe weather hazards
will be damaging straight-line winds, large hail, torrential
downpours, and a few tornadoes. An isolated strong and long track
tornado can't be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

NCZ041-077-085-086-201730-
Wake-Harnett-Scotland-Hoke-
120 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 88 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

Winds will be quite strong well ahead of the storms. Gusts between
30 and 35 mph from the south will be common.

Severe thunderstorms will be likely this afternoon and evening,
primarily between 12 PM and 10 PM. The main severe weather hazards
will be damaging straight-line winds, large hail, torrential
downpours, and a few tornadoes. An isolated strong and long track
tornado can't be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
522 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 SE HOLLY SPRINGS      35.64N 78.81W
04/19/2019                   WAKE               NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN AT MISTYRIDGE RD AND CRISPWOOD CT
            IN HOLLY SPRINGS.

&&

JFD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
526 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1132 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NE WENDELL            35.81N 78.34W
04/19/2019                   WAKE               NC   911 CALL CENTER

            POWER LINES DOWN AT MACK TODD RD AND BLACK
            LOVE RD.

&&

JFD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
528 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0424 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     1 ENE WILLBANKS         35.75N 77.76W
04/19/2019                   WILSON             NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FUNNEL CLOUD SPOTTED NORTH OF SARATOGA NC,
            NEAR HWY 42.

&&

CC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
534 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1113 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SSE OXFORD            36.25N 78.54W
04/19/2019                   GRANVILLE          NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON HIGHT RD AND FAIRPORT RD.
            SEVERAL POWER LINES ALSO DOWN IN OXFORD.

&&

JFD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
538 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1155 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SSE FRANKLINTON       36.10N 78.45W
04/19/2019                   FRANKLIN           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON POWER LINE AT 454 S CHAVIS ST
            IN FRANKLINTON.

&&

JFD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
542 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1157 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 WSW LOUISBURG         36.08N 78.37W
04/19/2019                   FRANKLIN           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            POWER LINE DOWN AT 526 PEACH ORCHARD RD IN
            LOUISBURG.

&&

JFD