Tornado Warning 25, NWS Raleigh, NC

784 
WWUS52 KRAH 192042
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
442 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

NCC077-145-192100-
/O.CON.KRAH.TO.W.0025.000000T0000Z-190419T2100Z/
Person NC-Granville NC-
442 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT FOR EASTERN
PERSON AND NORTHWESTERN GRANVILLE COUNTIES...
    
At 441 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Roxboro, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely. 

Locations impacted include...
Roxboro, Bethel Hill, Mayo Reservoir and Surl. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3627 7884 3634 7904 3654 7893 3654 7860
TIME...MOT...LOC 2041Z 209DEG 37KT 3638 7890 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

BAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
219 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will cross central tonight, accompanied by strong to
severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. A mid and upper
level low will then linger over the central Appalachians and middle
Atlantic states through the weekend with surface high pressure set
to push in from the southwest on Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 215 PM...

...Significant severe weather event likely through this evening...

The second round of showers and thunderstorms is moving into the
western edge of central NC as of 2 PM. As per the SPC mesoanalysis
page, CAPE is in the 500-1000 J/Kg range, with Bulk Shear values of
55-65 kts. 0-3 km SRH is roughly 200-250 m^2/s^2. Lapse rates aren't
terribly impressive. PWAT's are roughly 1.0-1.5" from west to east
across the area. SRH is expected to increase over the next few
hours. The CAPE has decreased in response to the earlier convection,
however some recovery is possible ahead of the line, especially if
the sun breaks out at all. Based on current radar and the above
parameters, there could be three successive rounds of convection
move through the area between 2 PM and 12 AM. Damaging winds,
isolated tornadoes and possibly some hail are all possible with the
storms. Also, given the available moisture there is also the
possibility for flash flooding, especially in urban areas.

Emergency Action plans should already be in place. Know where your
safe place is! If a warning is issued for your location take
shelter! Also, have multiple ways to receive watches and warnings.
Please check on your nearby family members and neighbors to ensure
they are also prepared.

Tonight...the strong/severe storms should be exiting the area around
or shortly after midnight as the cold front pushes through central
NC. Some additional showers are possible as the upper low swings
through the region, primarily across the far northwestern portions
of the area. Lows will depend on fropa timing and lingering clouds,
however for now expect lows around 50 degrees northwest to around 60
degrees east. Wind gusts should taper off behind the front, however
sustained winds around 15 kts will likely continue through the
overnight hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY/...
As of 320 AM Friday...

The closed mid/upper low over the southern Appalachians will jog
slowly ENE across the southern Mid-Atlantic States through Sunday.
As the core of the cold(-20 to to -22 C) temps aloft pivots NE moves
through the area, isolated to widely scattered showers are expected
mainly across the northern portions of the forecast area where the
deeper moisture extends. With the core of the cold air aloft and
associated cloud cover/moisture centered over the area, expect below
normal temps through the weekend. Highs Saturday and Sunday
generally in the 60s, potentially cooler in the mid to upper 50s
across the northern portions where the best chance of showers exist.
It will be breezy on Saturday as well with gradient winds of 20 to
25 in the mixed layer. Lows in the 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 320 AM Friday...

Heights aloft rebound in the wake of the low lifting up the Mid-
Atlantic and New England Coast on Monday with shortwave ridging
building across the area on Tuesday. At the surface, weak surface
high pressure centered over the GOM will briefly build north over
the area Monday and Monday night and will shift offshore on Tuesday
with the development of a lee side sfc trough across western
portions of the state. Convective rain chances return Wednesday and
Wednesday night as a northern stream shortwave trough passage
through the NE US and Mid-Atlantic region will drive a cold front SE
into the Carolinas. Front looks to push south of the area by
Thursday morning, with mostly dry conditions on Thursday.
Significant rain chances look to hold off until Friday and possibly
even into the weekend, depending on the eastward progression of yet
another vigorous storm system across the southern CONUS.

Near seasonable high temperatures in the mid to upper 70s on Monday
will warm into the lower 80s to mid 80s Tuesday and Wednesday in
advance of the cold front. Temperatures cool return to more
seasonable temps behind the cold front on Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 130 PM Friday...

24 hour TAF period: A narrow window of high-end MVFR to VFR
conditions will occur between the showers that moved through central
NC this morning and the more intense line of storms expected to
cross the area this aft/eve. However, winds will be strong and
gusty, even in the absence of showers/storms. Sustained southerly
winds of around 15 kts with gusts of 25-35 kts are expected. As the
line of storms moves through, cigs will lower into the IFR/MVFR
range while periods of visbys in the LIFR to MVFR range are
anticipated. Winds with the strong storms will increase to sustained
20+ kts with gusts of 40+ kts. Main threats will be damaging winds
and tornadoes accompanied by heavy downpours. Some hail cannot be
ruled out. -KC

The severe convection will exit the the area this evening/early
overnight as the cold front crosses cntl NC. Expect a wind shift to
swly and continued breezy conditions for much of the night. In such,
somewhat atypical regimes of post-frontal swly flow, low level
drying is not as significant as the climatologically more typical
wly or nwly post-frontal flow regimes; and as such, some patchy MVFR
ceilings may linger through early Sat. -JM/KC

Looking ahead: The lingering presence of a mid-upr level low in the
vicinity of the Appalachians will maintain a risk of mainly diurnal
showers and storms Sat-Sun. A prolonged period of largely VFR
conditions is then expected through mid-week. -MWS/KC

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for NCZ009>011-
026>028-041>043-077-078-085-086-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Haines/JM/KC
NEAR TERM...KC
SHORT TERM...CBL
LONG TERM...CBL
AVIATION...KC/JM/MWS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
120 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019

NCZ007-008-021>025-038>040-073>076-083-084-201730-
Person-Granville-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Durham-Davidson-
Randolph-Chatham-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Anson-Richmond-
120 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019

...TORNADO WATCH 88 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

Winds will be quite strong well ahead of the storms. Gusts between
30 and 35 mph from the south will be common.

Severe thunderstorms will be likely this afternoon and evening,
primarily between 12 PM and 10 PM. The main severe weather hazards
will be damaging straight-line winds, large hail, torrential
downpours, and a few tornadoes. An isolated strong and long track
tornado can't be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

NCZ009>011-026>028-042-043-078-088-089-201730-
Vance-Warren-Halifax-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Johnston-Wilson-Wayne-
Cumberland-Sampson-
120 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 91 IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

Winds will be quite strong well ahead of the storms. Gusts between
30 and 35 mph from the south will be common.

Severe thunderstorms will be likely this afternoon and evening,
primarily between 12 PM and 10 PM. The main severe weather hazards
will be damaging straight-line winds, large hail, torrential
downpours, and a few tornadoes. An isolated strong and long track
tornado can't be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

NCZ041-077-085-086-201730-
Wake-Harnett-Scotland-Hoke-
120 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 88 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

Winds will be quite strong well ahead of the storms. Gusts between
30 and 35 mph from the south will be common.

Severe thunderstorms will be likely this afternoon and evening,
primarily between 12 PM and 10 PM. The main severe weather hazards
will be damaging straight-line winds, large hail, torrential
downpours, and a few tornadoes. An isolated strong and long track
tornado can't be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Raleigh NC
238 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

NCZ078-191930-
Wayne-
238 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF Wayne County Until
330 PM EDT...

At 238 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR Mount Olive...MOVING north AT 30 MPH.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
Goldsboro...Mount Olive...Walnut Creek...Mar-Mac...Brogden...Cliffs
Of The Neuse State Park...Elroy and Grantham.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
50 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL OR WEAKENED TREES AND
BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER
LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

&&

LAT...LON 3516 7791 3517 7793 3516 7797 3518 7799
      3519 7802 3518 7807 3519 7816 3521 7817
      3522 7824 3525 7827 3532 7824 3534 7822
      3535 7815 3537 7816 3539 7814 3542 7816
      3545 7814 3544 7783 3543 7782
TIME...MOT...LOC 1838Z 191DEG 27KT 3516 7812

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
321 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0253 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     RAMSEUR                 35.74N 79.66W
04/19/2019                   RANDOLPH           NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED BY RAMSEUR PD.

&&

JFD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
324 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     HAIL             3 NNW HIGH POINT        36.02N 80.02W
04/19/2019  M0.70 INCH       GUILFORD           NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME-SIZED HAIL AT JOHNSON ST AND OLD MILL
            RD.

&&

JFD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
335 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

NCZ011-027-028-043-192015-
Edgecombe NC-Nash NC-Halifax NC-Wilson NC-
335 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN NASH...NORTHWESTERN
EDGECOMBE...SOUTHWESTERN HALIFAX AND NORTHEASTERN WILSON COUNTIES
UNTIL 415 PM EDT...

At 335 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Elm City, or 13 miles southwest of Rocky Mount, moving northeast at
50 mph.

Locations impacted include...
Rocky Mount, Nashville, Wilson, Elm City, Dortches, Red Oak, Enfield,
Sharpsburg, Whitakers and Leggett.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Doppler radar has indicated weak rotation with this storm. If the
storm intensifies and rotation strengthens, a warning may need to be
issued.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 500 PM EDT for central North
Carolina. A tornado watch also remains in effect until midnight EDT
for central North Carolina.

LAT...LON 3565 7783 3574 7803 3619 7785 3621 7763
      3609 7751
TIME...MOT...LOC 1935Z 205DEG 43KT 3578 7789

BAH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Raleigh NC
404 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

NCZ007-192030-
Person-
404 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF northwestern Person
County Until 430 PM EDT...

At 404 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER Leasburg...or 9 miles east of Yanceyville...
MOVING northeast AT 45 MPH.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
Concord...Hyco Marina and Hyco Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
50 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL OR WEAKENED TREES AND
BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER
LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

&&

LAT...LON 3634 7911 3635 7915 3654 7914 3654 7894
TIME...MOT...LOC 2004Z 209DEG 40KT 3642 7918

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
426 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NNW SILER CITY        35.76N 79.48W
04/19/2019                   CHATHAM            NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTED TREE DOWN ON HOUSE. IN SILER CITY
            NEAR OLD US 421 N AND EDEN HILLS RD.

&&

CC